Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 24, 2019, 09:01:12 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | | | |-+  CA-PPIC: Newsom +11
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: CA-PPIC: Newsom +11  (Read 685 times)
Interlocutor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 719


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 25, 2018, 03:02:42 am »

PPIC poll (Oct 12-21,  last poll was Sept 9-18)


Governor
Gavin Newsom:         49%   (-2)
John Cox:                 38%    (-1)
Undecided/No vote:   12%   (+2)


#NewsomUnder50 (Getting that out of the way)
« Last Edit: October 25, 2018, 01:18:56 pm by Interlocutor »Logged
wbrocks67
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 696
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2018, 05:59:57 am »

What is it with CA that their polls are consistently wonky? Is it that hard to poll?
Logged
Ishan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 989
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2018, 06:16:42 am »

What is it with CA that their polls are consistently wonky? Is it that hard to poll?
CA is big
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2018, 08:34:54 am »

Junk poll!

Well, Cox might get 38%.
Logged
IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,605
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2018, 08:55:41 am »

Cox is only losing because Trump is president/Trumpism. In a Clinton midterm, this would have flipped because Clinton midterm.
Logged
Coastal Elitist
Tea Party Hater
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 817
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.19, S: -2.61

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2018, 09:58:29 am »

Junk poll!

Well, Cox might get 38%.
Do you say this about every poll you don't like. If anyone had looked at the crosstabs they would have said that the Emerson poll was junk and the USC/LA Times poll was done over a month so that should have also been called junk as well, but it wasn't because Newsom was up by 20.

This was done by the Public Policy Institute of California, which is basically the best polling company for California. To call it junk is like calling the Marquette poll of Wisconsin junk.

Anyways from looking at all these California polls NPP voters are all over the place, which makes me think that they are hard to poll, because some might not be as Independent as you might believe.
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2018, 10:26:24 am »

Junk poll!

Well, Cox might get 38%.
Do you say this about every poll you don't like. If anyone had looked at the crosstabs they would have said that the Emerson poll was junk and the USC/LA Times poll was done over a month so that should have also been called junk as well, but it wasn't because Newsom was up by 20.

This was done by the Public Policy Institute of California, which is basically the best polling company for California. To call it junk is like calling the Marquette poll of Wisconsin junk.

Anyways from looking at all these California polls NPP voters are all over the place, which makes me think that they are hard to poll, because some might not be as Independent as you might believe.

Well, we'll see in 12 days. But something tells me you probably don't want to die on the "Newsom only wins by 11 points" hill, lol.

By the way, PPIC also said Obama would win California by 12 points when he won it by 23, so it would hardly be insane and unprecedented for them to have a big miss.
Logged
Coastal Elitist
Tea Party Hater
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 817
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.19, S: -2.61

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2018, 10:29:21 am »

Junk poll!

Well, Cox might get 38%.
Do you say this about every poll you don't like. If anyone had looked at the crosstabs they would have said that the Emerson poll was junk and the USC/LA Times poll was done over a month so that should have also been called junk as well, but it wasn't because Newsom was up by 20.

This was done by the Public Policy Institute of California, which is basically the best polling company for California. To call it junk is like calling the Marquette poll of Wisconsin junk.

Anyways from looking at all these California polls NPP voters are all over the place, which makes me think that they are hard to poll, because some might not be as Independent as you might believe.

Well, we'll see in 12 days. But something tells me you probably don't want to die on the "Newsom only wins by 11 points" hill, lol.

By the way, PPIC also said Obama would win California by 12 points when he won it by 23, so it would hardly be insane and unprecedented for them to have a big miss.
It's called undecideds. I doubt he only wins by 11. Again it's called undecideds. If 2/3 go to Newsom he still wins by like 16-17.
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2018, 10:33:19 am »

Junk poll!

Well, Cox might get 38%.
Do you say this about every poll you don't like. If anyone had looked at the crosstabs they would have said that the Emerson poll was junk and the USC/LA Times poll was done over a month so that should have also been called junk as well, but it wasn't because Newsom was up by 20.

This was done by the Public Policy Institute of California, which is basically the best polling company for California. To call it junk is like calling the Marquette poll of Wisconsin junk.

Anyways from looking at all these California polls NPP voters are all over the place, which makes me think that they are hard to poll, because some might not be as Independent as you might believe.

Well, we'll see in 12 days. But something tells me you probably don't want to die on the "Newsom only wins by 11 points" hill, lol.

By the way, PPIC also said Obama would win California by 12 points when he won it by 23, so it would hardly be insane and unprecedented for them to have a big miss.
It's called undecideds. I doubt he only wins by 11. Again it's called undecideds. If 2/3 go to Newsom he still wins by like 16-17.

Well yeah, that's what I said in my initial post. It wouldn't surprise me if Cox got 38%.
Logged
Lou Barletta's Teeth
PittsburghSteel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,866
United States


P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2018, 12:34:43 am »

"Soft Tilt D" -Bagel, probably
Logged
Prolocutor Bagel23
Bagel23
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,544
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2018, 03:16:25 pm »

"Soft Tilt D" -Bagel, probably

What are you talking about? Safe D, nothing to see here.
Logged
#WalkAwayFromDesantis
Zyzz
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,242


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2018, 03:27:03 pm »

#NewsonUnder50
#CaliforniaGoingBackToIt'sReaganiteRoots
Logged
President Johnson
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,157
Germany


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2018, 04:07:06 am »

Either this race is really closer than expected or these polls are complete nuts. The latter seems more likely. Newsom should break 60%.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines