Reaction to this Trump re-election map
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Author Topic: Reaction to this Trump re-election map  (Read 900 times)
Woody
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 18, 2018, 11:59:46 AM »


Trump : 323
Dem : 215
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2018, 12:01:07 PM »
It would mean that the economy stays great until 2020 and that the Dems went to the far-left and alienated moderate suburbanites in Virginia while Trump maintains his margins with the WWC.
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TML
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« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2018, 12:01:08 PM »
The opponent is likely another establishment candidate who fails to inspire progressive base voters.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2018, 01:14:13 PM »
Quote from: TML on October 18, 2018, 12:01:08 PM
The opponent is likely another establishment candidate who fails to inspire progressive base voters.

Or a progressive who turned off more moderates.
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TML
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2018, 01:39:50 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on October 18, 2018, 01:14:13 PM
Quote from: TML on October 18, 2018, 12:01:08 PM
The opponent is likely another establishment candidate who fails to inspire progressive base voters.

Or a progressive who turned off more moderates.

I don't think "moderates" would go to Trump - I think it is more likely that they would be turned off by Trump more than a progressive candidate.
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OBD
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2018, 01:42:09 PM »
Michigan is interesting. Perhaps Gretchen Whitmer is VP...

I could see the progressive nominee scenario occuring, but it ain't Sanders or Warren because of NH.
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2018, 01:44:25 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2018, 02:19:19 PM by Lakigigar »
Quote from: President Johnson on October 18, 2018, 01:14:13 PM
Quote from: TML on October 18, 2018, 12:01:08 PM
The opponent is likely another establishment candidate who fails to inspire progressive base voters.

Or a progressive who turned off more moderates.

Quote from: TML on October 18, 2018, 12:01:08 PM
The opponent is likely another establishment candidate who fails to inspire progressive base voters.

Trump's approval ratings will have increased a bit (45-50 approve of him), (which i see as something likely to happen). Trump solidifies mainly it's base, added Never Trump conservatives to his alliance, while dems had a rough campaign where multiple scandals / controversies popped up (#MeToo? Or something different). It would probably be an uninspiring classic liberal ticket with low turn-out, no enthusiasm among progressives, and trump winning over the independents. I do however believe that Trump will lose some voters that went for Trump in 2016 by: "let's give him a chance", and that might explain in this scenario why Michigan flipped (but that wouldn't explain Minnesota).
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Skye
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« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2018, 01:44:42 PM »
I mean, if Trump is having a great night, it wouldn't be unbelievable, except Michigan sticks out like a sore thumb.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2018, 04:09:21 PM »
Trump isn’t winning VA, NV and NH, especially when he’s losing ME and MI, lol.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2018, 04:11:55 PM »
Who nuked Northern Virginia?
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #10 on: October 18, 2018, 06:23:47 PM »
I'm more curious about the popular vote this time. It has to be a lot closer
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #11 on: October 18, 2018, 06:29:03 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on October 18, 2018, 04:09:21 PM
Trump isn’t winning VA, NV and NH, especially when he’s losing ME and MI, lol.
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bagelman
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« Reply #12 on: October 18, 2018, 06:32:28 PM »
People argue whether the Democrat is too moderate or too progressive. I say this candidate is both - an ultra liberal for social justice on social issues, but sketchy on economic issues. S/he tries too hard to win on bread and butter issues and ends up looking nuts.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2018, 10:56:07 AM »
How many votes were suppressed this time?
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Grassroots
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« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2018, 11:40:55 AM »
Very 2008 looking. But as of 2016, Minnesota wouldn't go republican without Michigan, and Virginia is pretty unlikely.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #15 on: October 19, 2018, 01:34:58 PM »
I believe MN is more likely to go to Trump than MI in 2020 but VA is not going to Trump unless he wins MI , ME and CO as well
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Person Man
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« Reply #16 on: October 19, 2018, 01:41:48 PM »
Switch Virginia and this is a likely map if Trump wins in a typical status-quo pro-incumbency election.
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #17 on: October 19, 2018, 01:52:24 PM »
This is honestly one of the more realistic trump second term maps
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: October 19, 2018, 02:26:56 PM »
PA isn't going GOP
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