Competitive House Race Predictions - Georgia and Illinois
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  Competitive House Race Predictions - Georgia and Illinois		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Predict Who Will Win in Each House Race
#1
GA-06: Karen Handel (R)*		  
#2
GA-06: Lucy McBath (D)		  
#3
GA-07: Rob Woodall (R)*		  
#4
GA-07: Carolyn Bourdeaux (D)		  
#5
IL-06: Peter Roskam (R)*		  
#6
IL-06: Sean Casten (D)		  
#7
IL-12: Mike Bost (R)*		  
#8
IL-12: Brendan Kelly (D)		  
#9
IL-13: Rodney Davis (R)*		  
#10
IL-13: Betsy Dirksen Londrigan (D)		  
#11
IL-14: Randy Hultgren (R)*		  
#12
IL-14: Lauren Underwood (D)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 57

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Competitive House Race Predictions - Georgia and Illinois  (Read 1363 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: October 19, 2018, 12:04:15 AM »
Previous threads you can still vote in and affect the overal result:

AL to AR CA CO and FL

GA-06: Handel (R)
GA-07: Bourdeaux (D+1)
IL-06: Casten (D+1)
IL-12: Bost (R)
IL-13: Davis (R)
IL-14: Hultgren (R)

Predictions Showing Competitive Races



Predictions Showing Pickups



Safe D: 182
Safe R: 138

Competitive D: 12
Competitive R: 14

Democrats: 194
Republicans: 152

Pickups

AZ-02
CA-10
CA-25
CA-45
CA-48
CA-49
CO-06
FL-26
FL-27

Net: D+9
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2018, 12:09:43 AM »
GA-06: Likely R
GA-07: Lean R
IL-06: Lean D (D+10)
IL-12: Toss-Up/Tilt R
IL-13: Lean R
IL-14: Toss-Up/Tilt R
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2018, 12:13:45 AM »
All the republicans hold their seats in these districts.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2018, 07:01:28 AM »
GA-6: Handel +8
GA-7: Woodall +5
IL-6: Casten +6
IL-12: Kelly +2
IL-13: Londrigan +3
IL-14: Underwood +1

The last three are bold, I know.
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andjey
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2018, 09:49:43 AM »
D gain: IL-06, IL-12
Other seats Republican hold
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2018, 10:04:56 AM »
GA-06: Lean R
GA-07: Lean R
IL-06: Lean D (FLIP, closer to Likely D than Toss-up)
IL-12: Toss-Up/Tilt R
IL-13: Toss-Up/Tilt R
IL-14: Toss-Up/Tilt R
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JGibson
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2018, 12:54:52 PM »
« Edited: October 24, 2018, 01:48:16 AM by JGibson »
GA-06: Lean R, Handel (R) +4.6
GA-07: Lean R, Woodall (R) +5.7
IL-06: Lean D, Casten (D) +7.3
IL-12: Tossup, Kelly (D) +0.8
IL-13: Tossup/Tilt R, Dirksen Londrigan (D) +1.1
IL-14: Lean R, Hultgren (R) +3.3
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2018, 01:41:56 PM »
Can't really comment about Illinois.  Here in Georgia, it will be tight for both races, but Handel and Woodall will hold on.  Still, it's a big change here from only 7-8 years ago.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2018, 02:23:37 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on October 19, 2018, 10:04:56 AM
GA-06: Lean R
GA-07: Lean R
IL-06: Lean D (FLIP, closer to Likely D than Toss-up)
IL-12: Toss-Up/Tilt R
IL-13: Toss-Up/Tilt R
IL-14: Toss-Up/Tilt R

Yea I have Illinois 6 as likely Dem

And one of those three tilt r seats will flip. I'd bet on the 13th. What do you think?
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Libertas Vel Mors
Haley/Ryan
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« Reply #9 on: April 13, 2020, 02:43:18 AM »
> IL-12 D

Bruh
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Lognog
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« Reply #10 on: April 13, 2020, 01:49:51 PM »

yeah this has rapidly slipped away from the Dems and 2018 clearly proved that. On the flip side look at how much this poll under estimated how much GA 06 slipped away from the Republicans.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #11 on: April 14, 2020, 01:26:17 AM »
Quote from: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 19, 2018, 12:13:45 AM
All the republicans hold their seats in these districts.

Wtf u total dumb@$$
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #12 on: April 14, 2020, 03:29:03 AM »
The IL-12 and GA-6 prédictions have not aged well
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #13 on: April 14, 2020, 10:25:30 AM »

Indeed. IL-6 flipping could be seen a year out in advance
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