Rate the independent city of Chesapeake, Virginia

[christian peralta]

This city has voted consistently Republican since 1980 until 2008, Obama carried it in that election and in 2012, Trump flipped by a narrow margin.

Year   Republican   Democratic   Third Parties
2016   48.0% 54,047   46.7% 52,627   5.3% 5,988
2012   48.8% 53,900   49.9% 55,052   1.3% 1,473
2008   48.9% 52,625   50.2% 53,994   0.8% 902
2004   57.1% 52,283   42.3% 38,744   0.6% 514
2000   53.2% 39,684   45.0% 33,578   1.8% 1,323
1996   46.7% 29,251   45.8% 28,713   7.5% 4,722
1992   46.7% 28,909   38.0% 23,495   15.3% 9,464
1988   60.9% 29,738   38.5% 18,828   0.6% 289
1984   61.6% 27,542   37.5% 16,740   0.9% 402
1980   48.5% 17,888   46.5% 17,155   5.0% 1,861
1976   40.0% 12,851   54.9% 17,651   5.2% 1,655
1972   68.0% 17,722   28.0% 7,289   4.1% 1,069
1968   25.2% 6,234   27.6% 6,843   47.2% 11,683
1964   48.5% 9,038   51.2% 9,532   0.3% 51

[TML]

This place is a bit swingy, but Democrats have won it more often than not this decade (including gubernatorial and Senatorial races downballot). I'll go with tossup to Tilt-D for now.