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Author Topic: FL CNN/SSRS: Gillum +12  (Read 3025 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: October 21, 2018, 09:21:00 am »

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2018/images/10/21/rel1_fl.pdf

Gillum 54
DeSantis 42
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2018, 09:21:58 am »

DOMINATING.
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Snek!
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2018, 09:22:16 am »

That's wicked!
« Last Edit: October 21, 2018, 09:46:27 am by Come on! »Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbedk
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2018, 09:22:33 am »

Wow!!!
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Ohio more D than Texas
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2018, 09:22:48 am »

RIP DeSantis
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cvparty
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2018, 09:23:50 am »

lmaooo
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President Johnson
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2018, 09:32:35 am »

Toss-up -> Lean Democratic

Little Ronny has completely screwed up. Republicans may regret listening to the God Emperor as Putnam would have been a stronger candidate.
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Thomas D
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2018, 09:37:40 am »

That's Amazing.   
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2018, 09:40:51 am »

Not likely, lol, but I wish.
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OneJ
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2018, 09:42:07 am »

I like this poll.
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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2018, 09:57:43 am »

Likely D.
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
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« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2018, 10:09:50 am »

Either CNN/SSRS and Marist will be our new gold standards/Trafalgars who accurately predicted the Democratic tidal wave of historic proportions, or they’ll be discredited once and for all on election day. We’ll see.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2018, 10:10:44 am »

Gillum is up by I highly doubt by this much.
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New Frontier
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« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2018, 10:15:42 am »

Img
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KingSweden
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« Reply #14 on: October 21, 2018, 10:17:05 am »

Gillum is up by I highly doubt by this much.

Agreed.

Also think Putnam would be keeping it much more competitive
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OneJ
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« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2018, 10:20:25 am »

Also, it's interesting to note that Nelson is losing the white vote 55-41 against Scott, but Gillum is losing the white vote by just 52-44 against DeSantis. Huh
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The Saint
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« Reply #16 on: October 21, 2018, 10:22:03 am »

Gillum is up by I highly doubt by this much.

Agreed.

Also think Putnam would be keeping it much more competitive
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: October 21, 2018, 10:25:49 am »

Outlier until proven otherwise.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: October 21, 2018, 10:28:35 am »

Either CNN/SSRS and Marist will be our new gold standards/Trafalgars who accurately predicted the Democratic tidal wave of historic proportions, or they’ll be discredited once and for all on election day. We’ll see.

Not in Nevada. Clearly Gillum is going to win by double digits at the same time Dean Heller wins re-election. Wink
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #19 on: October 21, 2018, 10:32:15 am »

Outlier until proven otherwise.

This.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #20 on: October 21, 2018, 10:38:53 am »

I don't think it'll be this high in the end, but high single digits at least are not that surprising anymore. This would be the 3rd blowout (relative to Florida) poll in the past month, with others showing him up mid-single digits. I get that Florida is a somewhat close state, but all but 3 of the gubernatorial elections since the 80s have been modest-to-large wins. Rick Scott is the only recent candidate to keep it close, and Chiles barely won in 1994, but I think that can easily be attributed to the fact that it was a GOP wave year in a state that was completing its transition away from old southern Democrats.

Probably Gillum+4 - Gillum+6 in the end.
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Senate/SCOTUS/EC Delenda Est 👁
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« Reply #21 on: October 21, 2018, 10:40:01 am »

Beautiful.
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Snek!
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« Reply #22 on: October 21, 2018, 10:52:27 am »

I don't think it'll be this high in the end, but high single digits at least are not that surprising anymore. This would be the 3rd blowout (relative to Florida) poll in the past month, with others showing him up mid-single digits. I get that Florida is a somewhat close state, but all but 3 of the gubernatorial elections since the 80s have been modest-to-large wins. Rick Scott is the only recent candidate to keep it close, and Chiles barely won in 1994, but I think that can easily be attributed to the fact that it was a GOP wave year in a state that was completing its transition away from old southern Democrats.

Probably Gillum+4 - Gillum+6 in the end.

What would Gillum+5 look like on a map?
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #23 on: October 21, 2018, 10:57:16 am »

I don't think it'll be this high in the end, but high single digits at least are not that surprising anymore. This would be the 3rd blowout (relative to Florida) poll in the past month, with others showing him up mid-single digits. I get that Florida is a somewhat close state, but all but 3 of the gubernatorial elections since the 80s have been modest-to-large wins. Rick Scott is the only recent candidate to keep it close, and Chiles barely won in 1994, but I think that can easily be attributed to the fact that it was a GOP wave year in a state that was completing its transition away from old southern Democrats.

Probably Gillum+4 - Gillum+6 in the end.

What would Gillum+5 look like on a map?

Obama 2008 minus Flagler, plus Duval, Madison and Seminole, maybe also plus Sarasota.
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TX more competitive than OH
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« Reply #24 on: October 21, 2018, 10:59:30 am »

I don't think it'll be this high in the end, but high single digits at least are not that surprising anymore. This would be the 3rd blowout (relative to Florida) poll in the past month, with others showing him up mid-single digits. I get that Florida is a somewhat close state, but all but 3 of the gubernatorial elections since the 80s have been modest-to-large wins. Rick Scott is the only recent candidate to keep it close, and Chiles barely won in 1994, but I think that can easily be attributed to the fact that it was a GOP wave year in a state that was completing its transition away from old southern Democrats.

Probably Gillum+4 - Gillum+6 in the end.

What would Gillum+5 look like on a map?

Obama 2008 minus Flagler, plus Duval, Madison and Seminole, maybe also plus Sarasota.

Maybe Polk too. Now, a Gillum +{high single digits or more} map would probably be Bill Nelson’s 2012 map minus some of the Demosaur panhandle counties
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