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Author Topic: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7  (Read 1102 times)
Fremont Speaker/Sen.-Elect ON Progressive
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« on: October 22, 2018, 05:37:45 pm »

Andrew Gillum (D) 49
Ron DeSantis (R) 42

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=cfbb4f43-54d4-4d79-b06f-5bfd01c72a34
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2018, 05:43:05 pm »

First time Nelson has out performed Gillum.
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2018, 05:47:13 pm »

Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....

Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17

Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.

These Pollsters really have completely lost.

WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2018, 05:47:31 pm »

Looks like DeSantis really monkeyed his campaign up
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2018, 05:48:56 pm »

First time Nelson has out performed Gillum.

And it's still a great poll for Gillum. Probably a bit exaggerated, but Florida going Democratic in a good year for Democrats isn't exactly revolutionary.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2018, 05:50:25 pm »

But, Bagel has it Lean R
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Snek!
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2018, 05:50:43 pm »

First time Nelson has out performed Gillum.

And it's still a great poll for Gillum. Probably a bit exaggerated, but Florida going Democratic in a good year for Democrats isn't exactly revolutionary.

This is like their first election since like 1990 that the FDL is unambiguously in the driver seat.
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2018, 06:32:39 pm »

Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....

Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17

Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.

These Pollsters really have completely lost.

WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.
ok, lets say its even. gillum still leads by 2 and nelson by 3
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2018, 06:35:44 pm »

Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....

Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17

Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.

These Pollsters really have completely lost.

WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.

Dunno how to embed this but this is me when I read this:

https://giphy.com/gifs/people-hd-gifsremastered-10Jpr9KSaXLchW
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For England, James?

No. For me.
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« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2018, 07:27:02 pm »

Looks like DeSantis really monkeyed his campaign up

Clever. By the way, I never thought that joke would end up harming his campaign, and perhaps it didn't. But that should have been a sign that DeSantis was truly the awful candidate that he has turned out to be.
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« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2018, 08:11:21 pm »

Dunno how to embed this but this is me when I read this:

https://giphy.com/gifs/people-hd-gifsremastered-10Jpr9KSaXLchW

I'll tell you what, it's nice to be on the side that isn't constantly having to rationalize bad polls in the run-up to the election. It's been a long time coming Tongue



^ That gif is the greatest thing ever


Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....

Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17

Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.

These Pollsters really have completely lost.

WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.

Trying to unskew all these polls is a fool's errand. Take it from Democrats (and Republicans) who vigorously unskewed polls only to get egg on their faces over the past 10 years. Just throw the poll into the average and it usually works itself out.
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2018, 10:05:02 pm »

Dunno how to embed this but this is me when I read this:

https://giphy.com/gifs/people-hd-gifsremastered-10Jpr9KSaXLchW

I'll tell you what, it's nice to be on the side that isn't constantly having to rationalize bad polls in the run-up to the election. It's been a long time coming Tongue



^ That gif is the greatest thing ever


Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....

Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17

Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.

These Pollsters really have completely lost.

WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.

Trying to unskew all these polls is a fool's errand. Take it from Democrats (and Republicans) who vigorously unskewed polls only to get egg on their faces over the past 10 years. Just throw the poll into the average and it usually works itself out.

If my time on Atlas leaves only Nuclear Elmo and Nodding Nicholson as memes itís still a success
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For England, James?

No. For me.
Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #12 on: November 30, 2018, 07:50:04 pm »

But, Bagel has it Lean R

Oh did I Cory?
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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #13 on: November 30, 2018, 08:00:40 pm »

Looks like I guessed every seat right on my atlas governor map except Kansas.

Looks like on the atlas governor map that Cory guessed he got Kansas, Alaska, Georgia, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, South Dakota, and New Hampshire wrong.

Thanks for playing.

Ps. feel free to hit me back for my house prediction which I admit was completely awful.
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I'm a Southern Blue-Dog Democrat... one of the few still left...

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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #14 on: November 30, 2018, 08:08:40 pm »

So I got 35/36 gov seats right on my official atlas map while Cory got 28/36.
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I'm a Southern Blue-Dog Democrat... one of the few still left...

#FDT

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olowakandi
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« Reply #15 on: November 30, 2018, 08:27:10 pm »

Politician played politics with his predictions, and so did Solid. They vanished since the election and won't admit their mistakes.

Too many like us followed him
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RussFeingoldWasRobbedk
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« Reply #16 on: November 30, 2018, 08:44:17 pm »

I look back at these polls and weep....
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2020 Senate Dream Team
CO- Neguse/Carroll
IA- Cindy Axne(so we can run DeJear for IA-03)
MT- Bullock
KS- Barry Grissom
AZ- Ruben Gallego
ME- Jared Golden
NC- Jeff Jackson
GA- Sanford Bishop/Stacey Abrams(other should run for Senate/Gov 2022)
TX- Colin Allred
VA- Lee Carter
2020-
1. Gillibrand
2. O'Rourke
3. Sanders
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« Reply #17 on: November 30, 2018, 09:22:59 pm »

Never again will I trust a Florida poll that shows a Democrat leading.  Never again.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbedk
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« Reply #18 on: November 30, 2018, 11:01:02 pm »

Never again will I trust a Florida poll that shows a Democrat leading.  Never again.
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2020 Senate Dream Team
CO- Neguse/Carroll
IA- Cindy Axne(so we can run DeJear for IA-03)
MT- Bullock
KS- Barry Grissom
AZ- Ruben Gallego
ME- Jared Golden
NC- Jeff Jackson
GA- Sanford Bishop/Stacey Abrams(other should run for Senate/Gov 2022)
TX- Colin Allred
VA- Lee Carter
2020-
1. Gillibrand
2. O'Rourke
3. Sanders
Bevinevitable
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« Reply #19 on: December 01, 2018, 12:04:35 am »

Politician played politics with his predictions, and so did Solid. They vanished since the election and won't admit their mistakes.

Too many like us followed him

lol
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olowakandi
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« Reply #20 on: December 01, 2018, 12:46:31 am »

Where are they? They both said Cordray and Gillum winning and Solid still had Garcia winning
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« Reply #21 on: December 01, 2018, 01:45:06 am »

This poll was taken before Hamiltongate, you know the one that most of the Forum called me a troll for saying would cost Gillum the race.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #22 on: December 01, 2018, 03:22:34 am »

This poll was taken before Hamiltongate, you know the one that most of the Forum called me a troll for saying would cost Gillum the race.

You also said Republicans would win the House in a landslide like the day before that.
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« Reply #23 on: December 04, 2018, 12:02:33 am »

This poll was taken before Hamiltongate, you know the one that most of the Forum called me a troll for saying would cost Gillum the race.

You also said Republicans would win the House in a landslide like the day before that.



The Republicans were headed towards a red wave on the day I decided to stop posting about the midterms. It abruptly reverse on the day I left. See, the more I obsess over politics, the more everything I care about goes to hell in it.
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