MT: MTN-MSU: Tester +3

[reagente]

Tester (D) - 46.2
Rosendale (R) - 43.1
Breckenridge (L) - 2.6

https://krtv.com/news/2018/10/22/mtn-msu-poll-tester-holds-narrow-lead-in-u-s-senate-race/?fbclid=IwAR2Ge9R3NuV9sgiylZDWFMHm83jqrkdmQG3-fpaInFGXPNVUYGDXK9mT0y4

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Yeah, it looks like Tester will be fine.

[IceSpear]

But Charlie Cook told me that Jon Tester was less vulnerable than Angus King, Tina Smith, and Tammy Baldwin.

[Bidenworth2020]

decimals

[KingSweden]

College poll with decimals from several weeks ago.

*sigh*

Realllllly wish we could get someone else to come in here so we don’t have to settle for this or that farcical Tester +24

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

College poll with decimals from several weeks ago.

*sigh*

Realllllly wish we could get someone else to come in here so we don’t have to settle for this or that farcical Tester +24

It would actually be really funny if the election actually did end up being around that margin...

[Xing]

Not a great poll for Tester, but I suppose he has a narrow edge. Not the best poll in general, though.

[Skye]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

...what? As in, they sent polls to people's houses? Am I missing something?

[Beet]

I have this on my R pickup list, and have since last July. In the end there won't be a whiff of difference between flattop and his colleague adjacent east. There's no way a state that voted against Hillary Clinton by 20 points, and loves assaulting journalists, will reelect a Democrat.

[Calthrina950]

It's fascinating to me that Jon Tester has never won by more than four points in his Senate career, and has never received an absolute majority. It appears that trend will be continuing this year.

[MT Treasurer]

College poll with decimals from several weeks ago.

*sigh*

Realllllly wish we could get someone else to come in here so we don’t have to settle for this or that farcical Tester +24

Yeah, no Mason-Dixon poll this year, unfortunately.

[IceSpear]

I have this on my R pickup list, and have since last July. In the end there won't be a whiff of difference between flattop and his colleague adjacent east. There's no way a state that voted against Hillary Clinton by 20 points, and loves assaulting journalists, will reelect a Democrat.

Well, let's start with the fact that R+36 is a lot different than R+20. That alone would erase Heitkamp's deficit, all else being equal.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

That fat fingerless f*** needs to go down. #SendTrumpReinforcements

I'm sorry, but this is absolutely disgusting. We can argue over policy, and heck, it's even mostly within bounds to insult his looks, but it's really messed up and beyond the pale to bring his tragic injury in to this. I hate my governor Greg Abbott, but I would never insult him in that fashion and make fun of his disabilities.

[KingSweden]

College poll with decimals from several weeks ago.

*sigh*

Realllllly wish we could get someone else to come in here so we don’t have to settle for this or that farcical Tester +24

It would actually be really funny if the election actually did end up being around that margin...

The thing is, I think the margin looks within reason.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

...what? As in, they sent polls to people's houses? Am I missing something?

That... doesn’t strike me as best practice

[MT Treasurer]

That fat fingerless f*** needs to go down. #SendTrumpReinforcements

I'm sorry, but this is absolutely disgusting. We can argue over policy, and heck, it's even mostly within bounds to insult his looks, but it's really messed up and beyond the pale to bring his tragic injury in to this. I hate my governor Greg Abbott, but I would never insult him in that fashion and make fun of his disabilities.

Says the guy who is in favor of running a racist Dixiecrat campaign against Tim Scott and who was disappointed when he found out that Rosendale didn’t have a speech impediment because it would hurt him in the debates, lmao

[Bidenworth2020]

That fat fingerless f*** needs to go down. #SendTrumpReinforcements

I'm sorry, but this is absolutely disgusting. We can argue over policy, and heck, it's even mostly within bounds to insult his looks, but it's really messed up and beyond the pale to bring his tragic injury in to this. I hate my governor Greg Abbott, but I would never insult him in that fashion and make fun of his disabilities.

Says the guy who is in favor of running a racist Dixiecrat campaign against Tim Scott and who was disappointed when he found out that Rosendale didn’t have a speech impediment because it would hurt him in the debates, lmao

still a pretty mean thing to say, regardless. Nobody messes with #populists

[2016]

That fat fingerless f*** needs to go down. #SendTrumpReinforcements

I'm sorry, but this is absolutely disgusting. We can argue over policy, and heck, it's even mostly within bounds to insult his looks, but it's really messed up and beyond the pale to bring his tragic injury in to this. I hate my governor Greg Abbott, but I would never insult him in that fashion and make fun of his disabilities.

Says the guy who is in favor of running a racist Dixiecrat campaign against Tim Scott and who was disappointed when he found out that Rosendale didn’t have a speech impediment because it would hurt him in the debates, lmao

So we finally have that MTN-MSU Poll out you talked about in another Thread. This is a Toss Up Race for me. Along with Missouri, Indiana and North Dakota the best Pick Up Opportunities for the GOP.

I can see Tester losing along with Heitkamp and McCaskill....

This Graphic though seems odd to me

Tester ahead with older Voters especially those 65+ is a little bit suspicious.

[libertpaulian]

That fat fingerless f*** needs to go down. #SendTrumpReinforcements

I'm sorry, but this is absolutely disgusting. We can argue over policy, and heck, it's even mostly within bounds to insult his looks, but it's really messed up and beyond the pale to bring his tragic injury in to this. I hate my governor Greg Abbott, but I would never insult him in that fashion and make fun of his disabilities.

Says the guy who is in favor of running a racist Dixiecrat campaign against Tim Scott and who was disappointed when he found out that Rosendale didn’t have a speech impediment because it would hurt him in the debates, lmao

Ouch.

[KingSweden]

That fat fingerless f*** needs to go down. #SendTrumpReinforcements

I have this taint-waffle on ignore, so I can’t report him, but this kind of BS warrants an infraction.

[ON Progressive]

That fat fingerless f*** needs to go down. #SendTrumpReinforcements

I have this taint-waffle on ignore, so I can’t report him, but this kind of BS warrants an infraction.

I am so stealing "taint-waffle" as an insult.

[MT Treasurer]

This Graphic though seems odd to me

Tester ahead with older Voters especially those 65+ is a little bit suspicious.

Nah, that’s actually believable in a state like Montana, and keep in mind that it’s not a particularly large lead anyway. The crosstabs look fine, and so does the topline/margin. It’s probably the best snapshot we’re going to get of this race before election day.

Anyone want to guess what their MT-AL poll will show? I’ll say Gianforte +3.5

[KingSweden]

This Graphic though seems odd to me

Tester ahead with older Voters especially those 65+ is a little bit suspicious.

Nah, that’s actually believable in a state like Montana, and keep in mind that it’s not a particularly large lead anyway. The crosstabs look fine, and so does the topline/margin. It’s probably the best snapshot we’re going to get of this race before election day.

Anyone want to guess what their MT-AL poll will show? I’ll say Gianforte +3.5

Yeah Grapplin’ Greg up by 2 or 3 sounds reasonable

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Anyways pure tossup but gove the narrowest edge to Tester. I will also take the unpopular position that he is in better shape for reelection than Manchin.

[KingSweden]

Anyways pure tossup but gove the narrowest edge to Tester. I will also take the unpopular position that he is in better shape for reelection than Manchin.

Thank you for bearing that cross on behalf of the rest of us

[OneJ]

This Graphic though seems odd to me

Tester ahead with older Voters especially those 65+ is a little bit suspicious.

Nah, that’s actually believable in a state like Montana, and keep in mind that it’s not a particularly large lead anyway. The crosstabs look fine, and so does the topline/margin. It’s probably the best snapshot we’re going to get of this race before election day.

Anyone want to guess what their MT-AL poll will show? I’ll say Gianforte +3.5

Yeah Grapplin’ Greg up by 2 or 3 sounds reasonable

For a moment, I thought that said "Gropin' Greg". But yeah I'd say about 3-4 points in Gianforte's favor.