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Author Topic: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36  (Read 574 times)
Bevinevitable
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« on: October 22, 2018, 11:16:03 pm »

New Poll: Arkansas Governor by Hendrix College/Talk Business on 2018-10-19

Summary: D: 24%, R: 60%, I: 0%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Galletito
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2018, 12:41:55 am »

Bill Clinton could have made this competitive /s
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2018, 12:59:48 am »

Bill Clinton could have made this competitive /s

It's already competitive. Hutchinson is only leading by 36 points in a single poll which is not enough evidence to rate this safe R, Arkansas is hard to poll (just ask Sen. Pryor), and anything can happen in politics. In fact, I'm predicting Dems take this seat because polls are fake news and muh Dem wave.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2018, 01:07:41 am »

Arkansas only has 23 more presidential cycles before it breaks Vermontís GOP streak. The GOP just need to solidify the trailer park vote for another 4 generations.
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2018, 07:27:44 am »

arkansas best knows what clinton did to a state. because of that dems are forever gone there.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2018, 09:03:44 am »

Looks about right
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2018, 09:33:30 am »

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2018, 10:02:52 am »

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2018, 10:21:29 am »

Nothing to see here.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2018, 02:56:34 pm »

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.
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Arkansas Yankee
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2018, 09:39:23 pm »

Bill Clinton could have made this competitive /s
Like Hillary did.  Arkansas as moved on from the Clintons.
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#WalkAwayFromDesantis
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2018, 09:45:11 pm »

Bill Clinton could have made this competitive /s

It's already competitive. Hutchinson is only leading by 36 points in a single poll which is not enough evidence to rate this safe R, Arkansas is hard to poll (just ask Sen. Pryor), and anything can happen in politics. In fact, I'm predicting Dems take this seat because polls are fake news and muh Dem wave.

Hutchinson's margin is under 40. Not good!
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ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2018, 09:48:50 pm »

Does Arkansas still have a reverse age gap?  The article noted that Hutchinson was leading with all age groups but was doing "particularly well with voters under 30".
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Jalaketu West
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« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2018, 09:56:18 pm »

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.
That was a fairly sensible statement back in 2013. Obama carried it in 2012, and Clinton got 90% in the 2008 primary there. Before we knew the candidates, it would be sensible to expect her to run a more populist campaign than Obama and outperform in Appalachia.
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« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2018, 10:08:51 pm »

Yep. It's practically illegal to vote for a Democrat in Arkansas.
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Beet
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« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2018, 10:11:00 pm »

Yep. It's practically illegal to vote for a Democrat in Arkansas.

And yet as recently as 2014 mainstream pundits were saying Mark Pryor would likely survive.
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Chateaubriand Pact
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« Reply #16 on: October 23, 2018, 10:32:44 pm »

Yep. It's practically illegal to vote for a Democrat in Arkansas.

And yet as recently as 2014 mainstream pundits were saying Mark Pryor would likely survive.

He did get 79%. Clearly Safe D.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2018, 09:38:29 am »

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.
That was a fairly sensible statement back in 2013. Obama carried it in 2012, and Clinton got 90% in the 2008 primary there. Before we knew the candidates, it would be sensible to expect her to run a more populist campaign than Obama and outperform in Appalachia.

It was being said in mid to late 2016, not just 2013 lol.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=240905.0
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2018, 10:21:58 am »

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.
That was a fairly sensible statement back in 2013. Obama carried it in 2012, and Clinton got 90% in the 2008 primary there. Before we knew the candidates, it would be sensible to expect her to run a more populist campaign than Obama and outperform in Appalachia.

It was being said in mid to late 2016, not just 2013 lol.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=240905.0

This thread is just sad.
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