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Author Topic: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6  (Read 1090 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: October 23, 2018, 11:07:07 am »

https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=2582

Gillum 52
DeSantis 46
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2018, 11:10:45 am »

He's probably going to be fine.
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Senator ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2018, 11:11:04 am »

A Lean D race remains Lean D.
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2018, 11:11:30 am »

Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2018, 11:11:58 am »

Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.

They were really smart with Crist in 2006.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2018, 11:13:10 am »

Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.

It'll be nice to see the electoral truism of "Democrats can't win NV-GOV/FL-GOV because they haven't in X many cycles!" finally die.
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TX more competitive than OH
Mizzouian
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2018, 11:13:18 am »

Roughly as expected. Would be nice if a quality pollster would poll the row offices
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2018, 11:14:46 am »

If you throw out the outliers on both sides, everything has been around 6-7 points in favor of Gillum.
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2018, 11:19:16 am »

Gillum is one point away from 100% support amongst blacks (Currently at 99-1% over DeSantis). Of course, that is unsurprising, but it's nice to see Andrew poking a hole into Kanye's balloon.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2018, 01:54:47 pm »

So Nelson and Gillum are now running even? Interesting development.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2018, 03:06:04 pm »

I like how some polls show a close race in both the Sen/Gov race, some show Dems winning easily in both, and some show Gillum winning handily while Nelson lags far behind.

Regardless, it's fairly clear at this point you'd much rather be Gillum/Nelson than DeSantis/Scott.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2018, 03:34:49 pm »

Cause Scott is the incumbent
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2018, 06:20:07 pm »

Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.

*Rubs hands together* excellent!
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2018, 07:04:18 pm »

Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.

*Rubs hands together* excellent!
https://goo.gl/images/ALyRnk
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2018, 10:44:43 pm »

Why are people so reluctant to move this to Likely D? You can let go, folks.
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Hammy
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« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2018, 11:18:36 pm »

Why are people so reluctant to move this to Likely D? You can let go, folks.

Best guess is because people have been burned by Florida so many times in the past.
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2018, 07:38:27 am »

Why are people so reluctant to move this to Likely D? You can let go, folks.

Best guess is because people have been burned by Florida so many times in the past.

There is a pretty clear advantage built up now.
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History505
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2018, 08:35:48 am »

Gillum is going to bring it home.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2018, 11:03:31 am »

Why are people so reluctant to move this to Likely D? You can let go, folks.

Best guess is because people have been burned by Florida so many times in the past.

There is a pretty clear advantage built up now.

Yes. Not only that, but polls - at least polling averages - are not that inaccurate in Florida. They did pretty well in gov/presidential races and only missed the Senate races in 2012/2016 by a somewhat comfortable amount (understated the winner).
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Use Your Illusion
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« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2018, 12:28:17 pm »

Can't nut hard enough
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President Johnson
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« Reply #20 on: October 24, 2018, 02:22:14 pm »

Yeah, even RCP now moved this to lean Democratic. Andrew Gillum should be the first person to win the governorship since Lawton Chiles' reelection in 1994.
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sg0508
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« Reply #21 on: October 24, 2018, 03:50:17 pm »

Just watch for that "hidden" GOP vote, because it's become more socially unacceptable in the last four years to vote Republican. He may win, but watch out.
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #22 on: October 24, 2018, 03:54:33 pm »

Based on the early vote, Republicans have a tiny lead, I dont see this +6 Gillum electorate voting and 14% of the vote is already in
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #23 on: October 24, 2018, 07:04:16 pm »

Closing strong in Florida for both SEN and GOV - let's bring it home!
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Mondale
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« Reply #24 on: October 24, 2018, 10:45:35 pm »

DeRacist is finished
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