Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 17, 2019, 04:33:12 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6  (Read 1205 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 726
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 23, 2018, 11:07:07 am »

https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=2582

Gillum 52
DeSantis 46
Logged
Edgar Suit Larry
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,666
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2018, 11:10:45 am »

He's probably going to be fine.
Logged
Senator ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,833
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2018, 11:11:04 am »

A Lean D race remains Lean D.
Logged
Lou Barletta's Teeth
PittsburghSteel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,198
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2018, 11:11:30 am »

Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.
Logged
Edgar Suit Larry
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,666
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2018, 11:11:58 am »

Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.

They were really smart with Crist in 2006.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2018, 11:13:10 am »

Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.

It'll be nice to see the electoral truism of "Democrats can't win NV-GOV/FL-GOV because they haven't in X many cycles!" finally die.
Logged
Gass3268
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,176
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2018, 11:14:46 am »

If you throw out the outliers on both sides, everything has been around 6-7 points in favor of Gillum.
Logged
Lou Barletta's Teeth
PittsburghSteel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,198
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2018, 11:19:16 am »

Gillum is one point away from 100% support amongst blacks (Currently at 99-1% over DeSantis). Of course, that is unsurprising, but it's nice to see Andrew poking a hole into Kanye's balloon.
Logged
Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,955
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2018, 01:54:47 pm »

So Nelson and Gillum are now running even? Interesting development.
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2018, 03:06:04 pm »

I like how some polls show a close race in both the Sen/Gov race, some show Dems winning easily in both, and some show Gillum winning handily while Nelson lags far behind.

Regardless, it's fairly clear at this point you'd much rather be Gillum/Nelson than DeSantis/Scott.
Logged
Olawakandi
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24,981
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2018, 03:34:49 pm »

Cause Scott is the incumbent
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,613
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2018, 06:20:07 pm »

Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.

*Rubs hands together* excellent!
Logged
Edgar Suit Larry
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,666
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2018, 07:04:18 pm »

Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.

*Rubs hands together* excellent!
https://goo.gl/images/ALyRnk
Logged
TarHeelDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,175
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2018, 10:44:43 pm »

Why are people so reluctant to move this to Likely D? You can let go, folks.
Logged
Hammy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,961
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2018, 11:18:36 pm »

Why are people so reluctant to move this to Likely D? You can let go, folks.

Best guess is because people have been burned by Florida so many times in the past.
Logged
Edgar Suit Larry
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,666
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2018, 07:38:27 am »

Why are people so reluctant to move this to Likely D? You can let go, folks.

Best guess is because people have been burned by Florida so many times in the past.

There is a pretty clear advantage built up now.
Logged
History505
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,239
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2018, 08:35:48 am »

Gillum is going to bring it home.
Logged
Virginiá
Virginia C
Modadmin
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,188
Ukraine


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2018, 11:03:31 am »

Why are people so reluctant to move this to Likely D? You can let go, folks.

Best guess is because people have been burned by Florida so many times in the past.

There is a pretty clear advantage built up now.

Yes. Not only that, but polls - at least polling averages - are not that inaccurate in Florida. They did pretty well in gov/presidential races and only missed the Senate races in 2012/2016 by a somewhat comfortable amount (understated the winner).
Logged
Use Your Illusion
Full Member
***
Posts: 134


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2018, 12:28:17 pm »

Can't nut hard enough
Logged
President Johnson
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,767
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2018, 02:22:14 pm »

Yeah, even RCP now moved this to lean Democratic. Andrew Gillum should be the first person to win the governorship since Lawton Chiles' reelection in 1994.
Logged
sg0508
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,580
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 24, 2018, 03:50:17 pm »

Just watch for that "hidden" GOP vote, because it's become more socially unacceptable in the last four years to vote Republican. He may win, but watch out.
Logged
Chaddyr23
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 476
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.19, S: -5.83


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 24, 2018, 03:54:33 pm »

Based on the early vote, Republicans have a tiny lead, I dont see this +6 Gillum electorate voting and 14% of the vote is already in
Logged
Mr. Illini
liberty142
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,973
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.87, S: -5.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 24, 2018, 07:04:16 pm »

Closing strong in Florida for both SEN and GOV - let's bring it home!
Logged
Mondale
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,246
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 24, 2018, 10:45:35 pm »

DeRacist is finished
Logged
Galletito
cookiedamage
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,631


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 25, 2018, 12:27:38 am »

Based on the early vote, Republicans have a tiny lead, I dont see this +6 Gillum electorate voting and 14% of the vote is already in

Thank you for your feelings
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC