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Author Topic: Awful Poll by Good Pollster: Kansas Guv Kelly(D) 41% Kobach(R) 41%  (Read 867 times)
Snek!
Angry_Weasel
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« on: October 23, 2018, 03:54:44 pm »

 Kansas Guv Kelly(D) 41% Kobach(R) 41%  (TCTC)


Normally, they are pretty decent but how do you get 18% undecided just 13 days away?

https://www.cjonline.com/news/20181023/new-kansas-poll-laura-kelly-kris-kobach-in-dead-heat-at-home-stretch-of-governors-race
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2018, 03:58:11 pm »

There are probably enough Republicans that know that KKKobach is awful, but not sure if they can pull the trigger and vote for the Democrat.
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2018, 04:02:38 pm »

This is a recipe for a one-way breakaway at the end, likelier for Kobach than Kelly.
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Snek!
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2018, 04:02:57 pm »

There are probably enough Republicans that know that KKKobach is awful, but not sure if they can pull the trigger and vote for the Democrat.

Sebelius was a fairly standard democrat.  Kansas was probably at least as Republican back then. Probably one of the few far-right states you can say that about nowadays save maybe Utah or Montana.
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2018, 04:05:17 pm »

Goofy Greg has 10% and there's some other indies as well
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2018, 04:06:25 pm »

There's not 18% undecided. Orman has 10%.
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2018, 04:09:45 pm »

In a head to head race they have Kelly +4, 48-44.
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2018, 04:13:37 pm »

In a head to head race they have Kelly +4, 48-44.

Thanks Goofy Greg!
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2018, 04:19:12 pm »

Hopefully she makes it.
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2018, 04:25:47 pm »

Orman has to drop out, but we know he won't.
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2018, 04:27:40 pm »

The movement in the head-to-head is interesting.

Maybe Kelly is gaining some traction among Orman voters? That could be a positive come election day and with some split second decisions.
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2018, 04:38:30 pm »

Awful title. I thought there were rules about editorializing a title?
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Snek!
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2018, 05:20:04 pm »

I thought Orman dropped.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2018, 06:21:37 pm »

Too close for comfort.
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« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2018, 06:43:45 pm »

In a head to head race they have Kelly +4, 48-44.

Thanks Goofy Greg!
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« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2018, 10:47:07 pm »

Too close for comfort.
False alarm, not sure what he saw in the polling to change course and stay in the race.
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« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2018, 01:10:43 am »

This one's going to be close.
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2018, 01:28:05 am »

F**k you Orman, f**k you so hard.
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« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2018, 12:37:00 pm »

The graph for this race tho:

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« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2018, 12:59:52 pm »

Gee...I wonder which way those undecideds will break...truly a mystery!
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #20 on: October 25, 2018, 11:07:49 pm »

I actually think high undecideds makes sense here. Lots of Republicans don't want to vote for a Democrat, but they cannot stomach Kobach. In they end, they'll hold their nose, vote Kobach, and not tell their friends who they chose on Sunday.
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The Inevitable Kevin Stitt
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« Reply #21 on: October 25, 2018, 11:50:16 pm »

Anyone’s guess is as good as the next as to how undecideds break in KS-Gov. Kelly better hope that Orman’s remaining support collapses in half though
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« Reply #22 on: October 26, 2018, 06:37:10 pm »

I actually think high undecideds makes sense here. Lots of Republicans don't want to vote for a Democrat, but they cannot stomach Kobach. In they end, they'll hold their nose, vote Kobach, and not tell their friends who they chose on Sunday.

That's why I think Kobach wins. This always happens and the Republicans that end up doing this usually never end up feeling any remorse for it.
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