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| | |-+  Why didn't Trump's message resonate in Illinois?
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Author Topic: Why didn't Trump's message resonate in Illinois?  (Read 2681 times)
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katman46
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« on: October 24, 2018, 12:27:19 am »

It was the only midwestern/rust belt state to swing to Hillary in 2016. Why?
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TML
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2018, 12:49:08 am »

In Illinois, the influence of Chicago (Cook County) is overwhelming. This county contains over 40% of IL's total population, and every election over the past three decades have results in Democratic blowouts at the presidential level. In addition, the suburban collar counties surrounding Cook have voted Democratic over the past 10 years.

Downstate, there are some Democratic bastions, primarily in counties with major universities (Champaign, Jackson), as well as some counties with relatively high populations. However, Trump did manage to flip a string of counties in NW Illinois, as this region is located next to NE  Iowa & SW Wisconsin (both of which flipped to Trump). Nonetheless, this shift was offset by Democratic gains in the Chicago area and other Democratic bastions mentioned above.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2018, 11:39:44 pm »

Trump spent the entire campaign calling Chicago a crime-ridden hellhole.
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Lourdes
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2018, 12:48:57 am »

Chiraq
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2018, 12:56:05 am »

Because Chicago and its suburbs swung D, and that's the vast majority of the state population. Add McLean and Champlain giving solid swings towards Hillary too, and it doesn't matter that the small and declining rural counties downstate swung hard to Trump.
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whitesox130
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2018, 07:18:56 pm »

Short answer: because Chicago

Long answer: wealthy outer suburbs that voted Romney swung 15+ points left for Hillary.
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AudmanOut
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2018, 02:54:47 pm »

Trump spent the entire campaign calling Chicago a crime-ridden hellhole.
^^^
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #7 on: November 11, 2018, 07:54:22 pm »

It did.  Look at the trend/swing maps.  Swings in downstate Illinois were as dramatic as the swings in IA, OH, MI and other Rust Belt states.  Chicagoland more than mitigated these swings though.
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« Reply #8 on: November 11, 2018, 08:18:51 pm »

Rich people who live in DuPage county are happy with the way things are.

Thing about Trump is that everyone believed his core message on economic and trade issues, it's just that many wealthier and less partisan Republicans were not enticed.
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Grassr00ts
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« Reply #9 on: November 12, 2018, 07:54:59 pm »

Chicago and adjacent suburbs that voted Kasich in the primaries swung Hillary, but the rest of the state was more in tune with the rest of America.
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blacknwhiterose
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« Reply #10 on: November 13, 2018, 03:17:39 am »

Upscale suburban country clubbers in Lake and DuPage Counties cucked out.
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Mumph
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« Reply #11 on: November 19, 2018, 06:22:52 pm »

Upscale suburban country clubbers in Lake and DuPage Counties cucked out.
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Flyersfan232
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« Reply #12 on: November 23, 2018, 06:07:49 pm »

It was the only midwestern/rust belt state to swing to Hillary in 2016. Why?
Cook county
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Fmr. Deputy Speaker Spark
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« Reply #13 on: November 23, 2018, 09:05:48 pm »

Trump spent the entire campaign calling Chicago a crime-ridden hellhole.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #14 on: November 26, 2018, 10:09:59 am »

Dupage is part of Cook metro areas. It has transformed like Orsnge County. Outside of Dupage and Cook, it's GOP
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #15 on: November 26, 2018, 02:08:24 pm »

Because it's much more urban and suburban than the other states. Its proportions of the population is about 2/3 Chicagoland (Chicago and all its collar counties) and 1/3 everything else.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #16 on: January 05, 2019, 03:29:12 pm »

Because 60% of the population live in the Chicagoland.
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Lechasseur
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« Reply #17 on: January 05, 2019, 05:04:01 pm »

Because 60% of the population live in the Chicagoland.
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #18 on: January 06, 2019, 08:03:30 am »

Because 60% of the population live in the Chicagoland.
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thr33_
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« Reply #19 on: January 07, 2019, 01:24:28 am »

It was the only midwestern/rust belt state to swing to Hillary in 2016. Why?
Cook county
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #20 on: January 07, 2019, 05:12:26 pm »

B/c Chicago
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Flyersfan232
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« Reply #21 on: January 10, 2019, 08:47:08 am »

cook county voter fraud I mean machine.
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Wazza
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« Reply #22 on: January 10, 2019, 08:56:16 am »

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/fb/United_States_presidential_election_in_Illinois%2C_2016.svg
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Thunder98
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« Reply #23 on: February 10, 2019, 03:41:01 pm »

Img


2016 Trends:
Img


2016 Swings:
Img


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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #24 on: February 11, 2019, 10:45:18 am »

It did, it's just that downstate is a small and diminishing percentage of IL's population.
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