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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  FL-GOV: DeSantis + 3 (Strategic Research Associates)
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Author Topic: FL-GOV: DeSantis + 3 (Strategic Research Associates)  (Read 1633 times)
2016
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« on: October 25, 2018, 12:03:31 pm »

https://www.wctv.tv/content/news/Latest-poll-Florida-gov-senate-races-neck-and-neck-498545201.html

DeSantis 48
Gillum 45
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2018, 12:04:19 pm »

OH MY GOD! DESANTIS FINALLY HAS A LEAD!!1!

GAMES OVER! SHOULDNT HAVE CHOSEN GILLUM! GRAHAM, GRAHAM, ETC.

#REDTIDEWAVE
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2018, 12:05:08 pm »

Trump's approval is +9 in the poll.
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2018, 12:06:18 pm »


Yeah, that's a tiny bit hard to believe.
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Senate/SCOTUS/EC Delenda Est 👁
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2018, 12:06:41 pm »

OH MY GOD! DESANTIS FINALLY HAS A LEAD!!1!

GAMES OVER! SHOULDNT HAVE CHOSEN GILLUM! GRAHAM, GRAHAM, ETC.

That's where you are wrong. Dems should have nominated DONNA SHALALA.

Now all is lost, since Dems failed to do that and nominated GILLUM.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2018, 12:07:14 pm »

Yeah no, Gray Television commissioned this poll,  there's also no way Trump is +9 in the state
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PA is Lean D
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« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2018, 12:07:24 pm »

Holy outlier...
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2016
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2018, 12:08:32 pm »


Poll doesn't in include KEY GOP Counties....

The poll was conducted by Strategic Research Associates, LLC, of Austin, Texas. A total of 800 likely voters were surveyed between October 16-23,2018. Determination of the likely voter sample was based on past vote history. Respondents were contacted by live interviewers, with 50% of calls completed on a landline telephone and 50% completed over a cellular telephone. Due to the catastrophic impact of Hurricane Michael, original field dates were delayed, and the sampling frame did not include respondents living in Washington, Bay, Calhoun, Gulf, Franklin, Liberty, Gadsen, and Wakulla Counties. This feature of data collection should be considered when interpreting the results. The final results are weighted based on analysis of the state voter file and exit polling data. The margin of error for the complete sample is +/3.46 percentage points, with higher margins of error for any sub-group.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2018, 12:08:46 pm »

On a serious note, this is a clear outlier, and done by....wow, lookie here, its Strategic Research Associates, who also did the ND poll.
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DaWN
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« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2018, 12:10:23 pm »

Image Link
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #10 on: October 25, 2018, 12:11:19 pm »

multiple credible polls released around the same time all have Gillum + > 5% or SRA that shows DeSantis +3? HMMMMMM

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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #11 on: October 25, 2018, 12:16:26 pm »

Maybe Floridians have finally come around to the exciting, populist, altright national populist worker's movement as more people buy luxury cars, large homes, and living increasingly opulent lives!
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Senator Barbara Bollier
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« Reply #12 on: October 25, 2018, 12:19:53 pm »

I know I shouldn’t read too much into polls like this, but if he’s underperforming Trump's approval by 6, he’s done.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: October 25, 2018, 12:24:07 pm »

DeSantis finally lead a poll!
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Skye
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« Reply #14 on: October 25, 2018, 12:49:32 pm »

Weird poll all around. I wouldn't put too much stock into it.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #15 on: October 25, 2018, 01:14:42 pm »

Weird poll all around. I wouldn't put too much stock into it.

Like I said, you would be a hack to believe it and a hack not to use it as a data point.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #16 on: October 25, 2018, 01:46:58 pm »

Gillum was exceeding expectations and Dems haven't won a Gubernatorial election since ,1990s, DeSantis can win.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #17 on: October 25, 2018, 02:35:05 pm »
« Edited: October 25, 2018, 03:59:03 pm by Eraserhead »

Gillum was exceeding expectations and Dems haven't won a Gubernatorial election since ,1990s, DeSantis can win.

... the f**k you trying to say, son?
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Atlas: Consistently Wrong
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« Reply #18 on: October 25, 2018, 02:50:32 pm »

DeSantis is probably going to win by around 3 or even more. Gillum is far to the left of Hillary who lost by around 1.2, so it only makes sense. The other polls look like junk to me just so you know.
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SirWoodbury
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« Reply #19 on: October 25, 2018, 02:57:32 pm »

The debate must have bumped DeSantis numbers a bit. That, and the hurricane. Can't wait to see this Obama wannabe get lower and lower poll numbers the next few days. This will be the bellwether for the election.
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Calm NH Lib
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« Reply #20 on: October 25, 2018, 03:20:13 pm »

The debate must have bumped DeSantis numbers a bit. That, and the hurricane. Can't wait to see this Obama wannabe get lower and lower poll numbers the next few days. This will be the bellwether for the election.

LMAO. DeSantis decisively lost that debate. If anything, Gillum should benefit. Unless you're being sarcastic...in that case, well done!
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Zaybay
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« Reply #21 on: October 25, 2018, 03:21:45 pm »

Love the fact that all the R leaning posters are now claiming DeSantis will win because of one garbage poll. Ignore all the other polls that show Gillum +8, DeSantis will win.
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« Reply #22 on: October 25, 2018, 03:33:26 pm »

This is clearly an outlier. And after DeSantis lost it in the debate there is no way he's going to win.
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UWS
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« Reply #23 on: October 25, 2018, 03:58:56 pm »

At last De Santis took the lead. I knew it that Gillum is too liberal/socialist for Florida.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #24 on: October 25, 2018, 04:03:36 pm »
« Edited: October 25, 2018, 04:27:24 pm by Cory Booker »

This is clearly an outlier. And after DeSantis lost it in the debate there is no way he's going to win.

FL always over polls Democratic performance in 2014 and 2016.
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