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Author Topic: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10  (Read 492 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 26, 2018, 12:06:41 am »

48% Michelle Lujan Grisham (D)
39% Steve Pearce (R)
13% Undecided

Quote
Of the undecided voters, when asked if Election Day were today, 55 percent of the undecided voters said they'd pick Lujan Grisham, while 45 percent of the undecided voters said they’d pick Pearce.

13 x 0,55 = +7% for MLG => 55% overall
13 x 0,45 = +6% for Peace => 45% overall

The poll was conducted from a web-survey of 400 likely New Mexican voters between October 17 and 25, with a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent.

https://www.krqe.com/news/politics-governement/elections/krqe-poll-indicates-lujan-grisham-leading-pearce-in-race-for-nm-governor/1550723726
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Free Bird
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« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2018, 12:08:20 am »

Img
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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2018, 12:08:30 am »

Weak Lean D.
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Senator ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2018, 12:09:32 am »

Safe D, the end.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2018, 12:46:33 am »

But Atlas told me this race was toss up/tilt R because Weak Candidate™ Lujan Grisham "only" led by 2 points in Strong Candidate™ Steve Pearce's internals from a year and a half ago.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2018, 09:44:26 am »

Weak Lean D.

Roll Eyes
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #6 on: October 26, 2018, 09:50:42 am »

Weak Lean D.

LOL... If Pearce was ahead by 5, it would be safe R, right?
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Beto Bro
RFKFan68
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« Reply #7 on: October 26, 2018, 09:53:12 am »

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Noted Irishman
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« Reply #8 on: October 26, 2018, 09:54:25 am »

Weak Lean D.

What is wrong with you?
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2018, 09:58:11 am »

But Atlas told me this race was toss up/tilt R because Weak Candidate™ Lujan Grisham "only" led by 2 points in Strong Candidate™ Steve Pearce's internals from a year and a half ago.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2018, 10:25:55 am »

Notable because this same pollster has Heinrich at just 40%, which means they could be understating Democratic support.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2018, 11:56:35 am »

I wouldn't put much trust in a web-based poll in one of the poorest states in the Union, especially where the poor are associated heavily with one or two ethnic groups.
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Galletito
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« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2018, 12:05:51 pm »


He's probably joking
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Interlocutor
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« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2018, 01:24:30 pm »

But Atlas told me this race was toss up/tilt R because Weak Candidate™ Lujan Grisham "only" led by 2 points in Strong Candidate™ Steve Pearce's internals from a year and a half ago.


Throw in a "But muh ___!" and this would be the perfect template for an Atlas Drinking Game I'm working on.

#CandidateQualityMatters
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New Frontier
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« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2018, 02:47:28 pm »

This race is Likely D.
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