2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[Brittain33]

Ortiz Jones narrowly lost, but:

Polls predicted her to lose badly (Upshot)
Hispanic turnout in Texas was a weak spot for Dems in 2018, it cost a state senate seat and probably Beto’s win.

[MAINEiac4434]

Maybe Beto will endorse Ortiz Jones this time.

[lfromnj]

Btw did Beto win the Bexar portion of Texas 23rd? I vaguely remember that Hillary lost it by 2 while Hurd won it by like 15 points in 2016 but obviously did worse in the rurals because of Gallego.

[Pericles]

I feel Ortiz Jones' loss was a disappointing performance even if the polls were bad as the seat was very close in 2016 and Clinton won it, it should have absolutely flipped in 2018.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

LOL

https://twitter.com/meganmesserly/status/1129217022879862784

[UncleSam]

LOL

https://twitter.com/meganmesserly/status/1129217022879862784

Is Schwartz considered abnormally weak?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

LOL

https://twitter.com/meganmesserly/status/1129217022879862784

Is Schwartz considered abnormally weak?

I don't think so, but I also think this is a district that Trump will not carry again, nor one that the GOP should fight hard in during 2020.

[Gracile]

Schwartz is better than Tarkanian at least.

That said, I think NV-03 will stay in Democrats' hands.

[OneJ]

Eastman seems like she’s looking for a rematch:

https://mobile.twitter.com/karaforcongress/status/1129222539463536640

Also really hilarious the amount of people who think she was the one who blew the race.

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

Hard pass.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Eastman seems like she’s looking for a rematch:

https://mobile.twitter.com/karaforcongress/status/1129222539463536640

Also really hilarious the amount of people who think she was the one who blew the race.

Err...that's because she did

[OneJ]

Eastman seems like she’s looking for a rematch:

https://mobile.twitter.com/karaforcongress/status/1129222539463536640

Also really hilarious the amount of people who think she was the one who blew the race.

Err...that's because she did

What I meant was that the blame should go to her when the DCCC triaged the seat.

[lfromnj]

Golden running for reelection. This is like the 6th most 2016 Republican district and like the 3rd most Trumpy district that a Democrat currently holds.

[S019]

Golden running for reelection. This is like the 6th most 2016 Republican district and like the 3rd most Trumpy district that a Democrat currently holds.

He doesn't get the message that he'll be a one-termer, GOP should hold ME SEN, given that Gideon probably can't beat Collins, also I will be eating popcorn watching Golden's quixotic reelection bid, go down in flames.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Golden running for reelection. This is like the 6th most 2016 Republican district and like the 3rd most Trumpy district that a Democrat currently holds.

He doesn't get the message that he'll be a one-termer, GOP should hold ME SEN, given that Gideon probably can't beat Collins, also I will be eating popcorn watching Golden's quixotic reelection bid, go down in flames.

You really think 2020 is going to be a Republican year, don’t you?

[Politician]

Golden running for reelection. This is like the 6th most 2016 Republican district and like the 3rd most Trumpy district that a Democrat currently holds.

He doesn't get the message that he'll be a one-termer, GOP should hold ME SEN, given that Gideon probably can't beat Collins, also I will be eating popcorn watching Golden's quixotic reelection bid, go down in flames.

You really think 2020 is going to be a Republican year, don’t you?

Well, he also thinks Stevens and Rouda will lose, and Casten will only win by the skin of his teeth, so yeah...

[S019]

Golden running for reelection. This is like the 6th most 2016 Republican district and like the 3rd most Trumpy district that a Democrat currently holds.

He doesn't get the message that he'll be a one-termer, GOP should hold ME SEN, given that Gideon probably can't beat Collins, also I will be eating popcorn watching Golden's quixotic reelection bid, go down in flames.

You really think 2020 is going to be a Republican year, don’t you?

Well, he also thinks Stevens and Rouda will lose, and Casten will only win by the skin of his teeth, so yeah...

The fact that you think that people like Stevens, Finkenauer, and Golden are Safe is beyond me. Also you unironically, expect Joni Ernst to lose, so I don't know what to say

It will be a D+3 ish year, Golden only narrowly won in a D+8.6 year, he's done, especially with Collins and Trump, on the ballot

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Golden running for reelection. This is like the 6th most 2016 Republican district and like the 3rd most Trumpy district that a Democrat currently holds.

He doesn't get the message that he'll be a one-termer, GOP should hold ME SEN, given that Gideon probably can't beat Collins, also I will be eating popcorn watching Golden's quixotic reelection bid, go down in flames.

You really think 2020 is going to be a Republican year, don’t you?

Well, he also thinks Stevens and Rouda will lose, and Casten will only win by the skin of his teeth, so yeah...

The fact that you think that people like Stevens, Finkenauer, and Golden are Safe is beyond me. Also you unironically, expect Joni Ernst to lose, so I don't know what to say

It will be a D+3 ish year, Golden only narrowly won in a D+8.6 year, he's done, especially with Collins and Trump, on the ballot

I think Finkenauer and Golden are Tilt D, Stevens is Likely D, and Ernst is right on the border between Likely and Lean R, but thanks for playing

[S019]

Golden running for reelection. This is like the 6th most 2016 Republican district and like the 3rd most Trumpy district that a Democrat currently holds.

He doesn't get the message that he'll be a one-termer, GOP should hold ME SEN, given that Gideon probably can't beat Collins, also I will be eating popcorn watching Golden's quixotic reelection bid, go down in flames.

You really think 2020 is going to be a Republican year, don’t you?

Well, he also thinks Stevens and Rouda will lose, and Casten will only win by the skin of his teeth, so yeah...

The fact that you think that people like Stevens, Finkenauer, and Golden are Safe is beyond me. Also you unironically, expect Joni Ernst to lose, so I don't know what to say

It will be a D+3 ish year, Golden only narrowly won in a D+8.6 year, he's done, especially with Collins and Trump, on the ballot

I think Finkenauer and Golden are Tilt D, Stevens is Likely D, and Ernst is right on the border between Likely and Lean R, but thanks for playing

Golden is Tilt D??, please tell me where these Trump/Collins/Golden voters are coming from? Where are the Trump/Ernst/Finkenauer voters, coming from?? Also where are the Trump/R MI Sen Candidate/Stevens votes coming from?? Also the Ernst being vulnerable thing, is talking about Politician, not you

[Politician]

Golden running for reelection. This is like the 6th most 2016 Republican district and like the 3rd most Trumpy district that a Democrat currently holds.

He doesn't get the message that he'll be a one-termer, GOP should hold ME SEN, given that Gideon probably can't beat Collins, also I will be eating popcorn watching Golden's quixotic reelection bid, go down in flames.

You really think 2020 is going to be a Republican year, don’t you?

Well, he also thinks Stevens and Rouda will lose, and Casten will only win by the skin of his teeth, so yeah...

The fact that you think that people like Stevens, Finkenauer, and Golden are Safe is beyond me. Also you unironically, expect Joni Ernst to lose, so I don't know what to say

It will be a D+3 ish year, Golden only narrowly won in a D+8.6 year, he's done, especially with Collins and Trump, on the ballot

I think Finkenauer and Golden are Tilt D, Stevens is Likely D, and Ernst is right on the border between Likely and Lean R, but thanks for playing

Golden is Tilt D??, please tell me where these Trump/Collins/Golden voters are coming from? Where are the Trump/Ernst/Finkenauer voters, coming from?? Also where are the Trump/R MI Sen Candidate/Stevens votes coming from?? Also the Ernst being vulnerable thing, is talking about Politician, not you

Um, the same place they came from in 2018? Trump isn't even gauranteed to carry the district again. Trump might lose IA-01 outright considering he won it by less than 4 points last time. Same with MI-11 which is also trending D.

[S019]

Golden running for reelection. This is like the 6th most 2016 Republican district and like the 3rd most Trumpy district that a Democrat currently holds.

He doesn't get the message that he'll be a one-termer, GOP should hold ME SEN, given that Gideon probably can't beat Collins, also I will be eating popcorn watching Golden's quixotic reelection bid, go down in flames.

You really think 2020 is going to be a Republican year, don’t you?

Well, he also thinks Stevens and Rouda will lose, and Casten will only win by the skin of his teeth, so yeah...

The fact that you think that people like Stevens, Finkenauer, and Golden are Safe is beyond me. Also you unironically, expect Joni Ernst to lose, so I don't know what to say

It will be a D+3 ish year, Golden only narrowly won in a D+8.6 year, he's done, especially with Collins and Trump, on the ballot

I think Finkenauer and Golden are Tilt D, Stevens is Likely D, and Ernst is right on the border between Likely and Lean R, but thanks for playing

Golden is Tilt D??, please tell me where these Trump/Collins/Golden voters are coming from? Where are the Trump/Ernst/Finkenauer voters, coming from?? Also where are the Trump/R MI Sen Candidate/Stevens votes coming from?? Also the Ernst being vulnerable thing, is talking about Politician, not you

Um, the same place they came from in 2018? Trump isn't even gauranteed to carry the district again. Trump might lose IA-01 outright considering he won it by less than 4 points last time. Same with MI-11 which is also trending D.

IA-01 is trending R, MI-11 is trending D, I'll give you that, but Trump won by 4 points, by 2024, it should be Dem, also D+8.6 year v D+3 year

[MT Treasurer]

Golden running for reelection rather than Senate is definitely good news for Democrats. I doubt he would have been the ideal Democrat to run against Collins, and he won’t be as easy to beat in ME-02 as many people are making it out to be.

[lfromnj]

Yeah its hilarious to compare MI 11th which is still a trump district that swung an incredible 1 point left in 2016 to IA 1st also a trump district that swung 20 points right.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Golden running for reelection rather than Senate is definitely good news for Democrats. I doubt he would have been the ideal Democrat to run against Collins, and he won’t be as easy to beat in ME-02 as many people are making it out to be.

Are you joking? So he can run in  a seat that voted for Trump by 10 points and voted for Shawn Moody? He's may as well start writing his concession speech. He would have  been able to prevent bleeding in rural areas that we need to win statewide. A normal "resistance" democrat will get walloped in rural areas.

[S019]

Golden running for reelection rather than Senate is definitely good news for Democrats. I doubt he would have been the ideal Democrat to run against Collins, and he won’t be as easy to beat in ME-02 as many people are making it out to be.

Are you joking? So he can run in  a seat that voted for Trump by 10 points and voted for Shawn Moody? He's may as well start writing his concession speech. He would have  been able to prevent bleeding in rural areas that we need to win statewide. A normal "resistance" democrat will get walloped in rural areas.

Oh, it voted for Moody, Likely R, bordering on Safe

Might as well make a Collins/Trump/Moody voter for Golden username