2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 168133 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #1850 on: September 21, 2019, 02:47:54 PM »
Republicans will not be winning back any seats in IL.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1851 on: September 21, 2019, 05:35:45 PM »
Quote from: Xing on September 21, 2019, 11:43:57 AM
Yeah, but IL-14 is a Toss-Up because muh PVI and Trump won it in 2016 (by 6 points less than Romney.)

I think we got the joke by now
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #1852 on: September 21, 2019, 06:44:00 PM »
Quote from: Xing on September 21, 2019, 11:43:57 AM
Yeah, but IL-14 is a Toss-Up because muh PVI and Trump won it in 2016 (by 6 points less than Romney.)

Leninist Lauren might win again, but it won't be by much.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1853 on: September 22, 2019, 05:41:38 AM »
Quote from: Yellowhammer on September 21, 2019, 06:44:00 PM
Quote from: Xing on September 21, 2019, 11:43:57 AM
Yeah, but IL-14 is a Toss-Up because muh PVI and Trump won it in 2016 (by 6 points less than Romney.)

Queen Lauren will win again, and it will be by a lot.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #1854 on: September 22, 2019, 11:25:56 AM »
Cook has moved NC from Likely R (yes, they had NC in the same category as MS/KY/TN) to Lean R.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1855 on: September 25, 2019, 02:24:05 PM »
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Gracile
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« Reply #1856 on: September 25, 2019, 02:50:14 PM »
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/462843-liberty-university-official-to-launch-primary-challenge-to-gops-riggleman

VA-05: Denver Riggleman likely has a primary challenger - Bob Good, a Campbell County Supervisor and fundraiser for Liberty University. This comes after Riggleman was censured by the Rappahannock County GOP for "abandoning party values" - which includes, among other things, officiating a same-sex wedding.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1857 on: September 25, 2019, 03:33:12 PM »
Quote from: gracile on September 25, 2019, 02:50:14 PM
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/462843-liberty-university-official-to-launch-primary-challenge-to-gops-riggleman

VA-05: Denver Riggleman likely has a primary challenger - Bob Good, a Campbell County Supervisor and fundraiser for Liberty University. This comes after Riggleman was censured by the Rappahannock County GOP for "abandoning party values" - which includes, among other things, officiating a same-sex wedding.
It would be funny if this seat is open for 3 cycles in a row.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1858 on: September 25, 2019, 08:52:34 PM »
Quote from: gracile on September 25, 2019, 02:50:14 PM
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/462843-liberty-university-official-to-launch-primary-challenge-to-gops-riggleman

VA-05: Denver Riggleman likely has a primary challenger - Bob Good, a Campbell County Supervisor and fundraiser for Liberty University. This comes after Riggleman was censured by the Rappahannock County GOP for "abandoning party values" - which includes, among other things, officiating a same-sex wedding.

NO NOT BIGFOOT MAN.  the religious right.

Anyway lol the same sex wedding was one of the most hilarious Demographics. An interracial black-whtie gay couple from Charlottesville that was somehow conservative.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #1859 on: September 26, 2019, 05:32:32 PM »


HAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!

Live look at Allred



Bring it baby! I'd love Colin to smack ur @$$ even harder this time. Might even right a letter goading the little b1tch to rematch.
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Gracile
gracile
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« Reply #1860 on: September 29, 2019, 12:28:33 PM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1861 on: September 30, 2019, 05:37:57 AM »
Is there a giant list of all primary & opposite party challengers for every district?

I wanted to see if PA-04, PA-06, PA-07, PA-08 (RIP Barletta) had any challengers yet?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1862 on: September 30, 2019, 10:00:50 AM »
#Texodus
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1863 on: September 30, 2019, 06:04:46 PM »


...and the GOP throws the dems a lifeline in what should be a red seat.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #1864 on: September 30, 2019, 10:35:50 PM »
Is Adam Kinzinger gay? He really gives off some pretty strong gay vibes like Aaron Schock.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1865 on: October 01, 2019, 12:23:05 AM »
Quote from: Jacob Wohl on September 30, 2019, 10:35:50 PM
Is Adam Kinzinger gay? He really gives off some pretty strong gay vibes like Aaron Schock.

He's engaged to a woman, so probably not.
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Donerail
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« Reply #1866 on: October 01, 2019, 12:27:52 AM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 01, 2019, 12:23:05 AM
Quote from: Jacob Wohl on September 30, 2019, 10:35:50 PM
Is Adam Kinzinger gay? He really gives off some pretty strong gay vibes like Aaron Schock.

He's engaged to a woman, so probably not.
Well, that's never been much proof of anything...
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1867 on: October 01, 2019, 06:43:18 AM »
Interesting new poll #s for Texas from PPP, via Roll Call.

Say hello to Rep. Gina Ortiz Jones

https://www.rollcall.com/news/campaigns/democratic-polls-show-competitive-house-races-in-texas

TX-10 (McCaul +4 in 2018)
McCaul (R) - 49%
Generic Dem - 46%

TX-21 (Roy +2 in 2018)
Chip Roy (R) - 49%
Generic Dem - 44%

TX-22 (Olson +4 in 2018)
Generic GOP - 49%
Generic Dem - 45%

TX-23 (tied in 2018)
Generic Dem - 53%
Generic GOP - 41%

TX-24 (Marchant +3)
Generic Dem - 47%
Generic GOP - 46%

TX-31 (Carter +3)
Carter (R) - 51%
Generic Dem - 44%
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UncleSam
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« Reply #1868 on: October 01, 2019, 07:52:33 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 01, 2019, 06:43:18 AM
Interesting new poll #s for Texas from PPP, via Roll Call.

Say hello to Rep. Gina Ortiz Jones

https://www.rollcall.com/news/campaigns/democratic-polls-show-competitive-house-races-in-texas

TX-10 (McCaul +4 in 2018)
McCaul (R) - 49%
Generic Dem - 46%

TX-21 (Roy +2 in 2018)
Chip Roy (R) - 49%
Generic Dem - 44%

TX-22 (Olson +4 in 2018)
Generic GOP - 49%
Generic Dem - 45%

TX-23 (tied in 2018)
Generic Dem - 53%
Generic GOP - 41%

TX-24 (Marchant +3)
Generic Dem - 47%
Generic GOP - 46%

TX-31 (Carter +3)
Carter (R) - 51%
Generic Dem - 44%
Worth noting the article clarifies these are Dem internal polls conducted by PPP
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Gracile
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« Reply #1869 on: October 01, 2019, 07:55:39 AM »
It’s fundraising report season again!

TX-23: Gina Ortiz-Jones raised over $1 million dollars in Q3, has $1.4 million in COH.
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #1870 on: October 01, 2019, 08:30:15 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 01, 2019, 06:43:18 AM
TX-10 (McCaul +4 in 2018)
McCaul (R) - 49%
Generic Dem - 46%

TX-21 (Roy +2 in 2018)
Chip Roy (R) - 49%
Generic Dem - 44%

TX-22 (Olson +4 in 2018)
Generic GOP - 49%
Generic Dem - 45%

TX-23 (tied in 2018)
Generic Dem - 53%
Generic GOP - 41%

TX-24 (Marchant +3)
Generic Dem - 47%
Generic GOP - 46%

TX-31 (Carter +3)
Carter (R) - 51%
Generic Dem - 44%

The incumbency advantage is absurd here.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #1871 on: October 01, 2019, 08:56:31 AM »
Mariannette Miller-Meeks is running for IA-02, having faced losses there previously in 2008, 2010, and 2014. She is a fairly-new member of the Iowa Senate from D-41.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #1872 on: October 01, 2019, 08:59:39 AM »
« Edited: October 01, 2019, 09:07:56 AM by Frenchrepublican »
http://www.rollcall.com/news/democratic-polls-show-competitive-house-races-in-

TX-23
Generic D : 53%
Generic R : 41%

TX-24
Generic D : 47%
Generic R : 46%

TX-10
Generic R : 49%
Generic D : 46%

TX-22
Generic R : 49%
Generic D : 45%

TX-21
Generic R : 49%
Generic D : 44%

TX-31
Generic R : 51%
Generic D : 44%

The polls were done by PPP so take them with a grain of salt.
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Gracile
gracile
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1873 on: October 01, 2019, 10:15:19 AM »
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/PPP_Release_Hawaii2_1001.pdf

HI-02 PPP Poll of Democratic Primary voters:

Tulsi Gabbard (D-inc) 38%
"Someone else" 50%

Tulsi Gabbard (D-inc) 46%
Kai Kehele (D) 28%
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1874 on: October 01, 2019, 10:20:05 AM »
Quote from: gracile on October 01, 2019, 10:15:19 AM
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/PPP_Release_Hawaii2_1001.pdf

HI-02 PPP Poll of Democratic Primary voters:

Tulsi Gabbard (D-inc) 38%
"Someone else" 50%

Tulsi Gabbard (D-inc) 46%
Kai Kehele (D) 28%

Not bad to start off for Kai.
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