2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[GeorgiaModerate]

Nicole Malliotakis is challenging Max Rose

She won Staten Island with over 70% in 2017, though that was more a rebuke of de Blasio. Rose will be much tougher to dislodge though she is a strong candidate.

yikes

this might move the race to Likely R. Joining OK-05 and UT-04 in the near certain Democratic losses for 2020.

Why are OK-05 and UT-04 already considered Dem losses?

Solid oscillates between wild optimism and wild pessimism for the Democrats.

[Pollster]

Obviously not a top tier candidate, but Stephen Lynch has his first primary challenger.

[Brittain33]

Obviously not a top tier candidate, but Stephen Lynch has his first primary challenger.

Good luck, Some Guy!

[JGibson]

NY-14: #WalkAway founder Brandon Straka to consider a challenge to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D). Straka voted for Hillary in 2016, but has since moved hard-right. He’ll run as a Republican most likely.

He reminds me of Peggy Hubbard (who's considering a run against Sen. Durbin in 2020) in many ways.

https://twitter.com/usminority/status/1093171522422886402

[Bidenworth2020]

NY-14: #WalkAway founder Brandon Straka to consider a challenge to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D). Straka voted for Hillary in 2016, but has since moved hard-right. He’ll run as a Republican most likely.

He reminds me of Peggy Hubbard (who's considering a run against Sen. Durbin in 2020) in many ways.

https://twitter.com/usminority/status/1093171522422886402

wouldn't he want to run somewhere he wouldn't get embarrassed?

[Brittain33]

NY-14: #WalkAway founder Brandon Straka to consider a challenge to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D). Straka voted for Hillary in 2016, but has since moved hard-right. He’ll run as a Republican most likely.

He reminds me of Peggy Hubbard (who's considering a run against Sen. Durbin in 2020) in many ways.

https://twitter.com/usminority/status/1093171522422886402

wouldn't he want to run somewhere he wouldn't get embarrassed?

If it's a #walkaway scam, he's a grifter. He is going to fundraise so much money off the Fox News demographic by running against AOC on his way to losing by 50 points.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

NY-14: #WalkAway founder Brandon Straka to consider a challenge to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D). Straka voted for Hillary in 2016, but has since moved hard-right. He’ll run as a Republican most likely.

He reminds me of Peggy Hubbard (who's considering a run against Sen. Durbin in 2020) in many ways.

https://twitter.com/usminority/status/1093171522422886402

Can't wait to watch him lose by 65 points and then claim voter fraud!

[Politician]

Below is the list of GOP targets:

AZ-01 – Tom O’Halleran
AZ-02 – Ann Kirkpatrick
CA-10 – Josh Harder
CA-21 – TJ Cox
CA-25 – Katie Hill
CA-39 – Gil Cisneros
CA-45 – Katie Porter
CA-48 – Harley Rouda
CA-49 – Mike Levin
CO-06 – Jason Crow
FL-07 – Stephanie Murphy
FL-13 – Charlie Crist
FL-26 – Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
FL-27 — Donna E. Shalala
GA-06 – Lucy McBath
IA-01 – Abby Finkenauer
IA-02 – Dave Loebsack
IA-03 – Cindy Axne
IL-06 – Sean Casten
IL-14 – Lauren Underwood
IL-17 – Cheri Bustos
KS-03 – Sharice Davids
ME-02 – Jared Golden
MI-08 – Elissa Slotkin
MI-11 – Haley Stevens
MN-02 – Angie Craig
MN-03 – Dean Phillips
MN-07 — Colin Peterson
NH-01 – Chris Pappas
NJ-02 – Jeff Van Drew
NJ-03 – Andy Kim
NJ-05 – Josh Gottheimer
NJ-07 – Tom Malinowski
NJ-11 – Mikie Sherrill
NV-03 – Susie Lee
NV-04 – Steven Horsford
NY-11 – Max Rose
NY-18 – Sean Patrick Maloney
NY-19 – Antonio Delgado
NY-22 – Anthony Brindisi
NM-02 – Xochitl Torres Small
OK-05 – Kendra Horn
OR-04 – Peter DeFazio
PA-07 – Susan Wild
PA-08 – Matt Cartwright
PA-17 – Conor Lamb
SC-01 – Joe Cunningham
TX-07 – Lizzie Fletcher
TX-32 – Colin Allred
UT-04 – Ben McAdams
VA-02 – Elaine Luria
VA-07 – Abigail Spanberger
VA-10 – Jennifer Wexton
WA-08 – Kim Schrier
WI-03 – Ron Kind

[Roll Roons]

Below is the list of GOP targets:

AZ-01 – Tom O’Halleran
AZ-02 – Ann Kirkpatrick
CA-10 – Josh Harder
CA-21 – TJ Cox
CA-25 – Katie Hill
CA-39 – Gil Cisneros
CA-45 – Katie Porter
CA-48 – Harley Rouda
CA-49 – Mike Levin
CO-06 – Jason Crow
FL-07 – Stephanie Murphy
FL-13 – Charlie Crist
FL-26 – Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
FL-27 — Donna E. Shalala
GA-06 – Lucy McBath
IA-01 – Abby Finkenauer
IA-02 – Dave Loebsack
IA-03 – Cindy Axne
IL-06 – Sean Casten
IL-14 – Lauren Underwood
IL-17 – Cheri Bustos
KS-03 – Sharice Davids
ME-02 – Jared Golden
MI-08 – Elissa Slotkin
MI-11 – Haley Stevens
MN-02 – Angie Craig
MN-03 – Dean Phillips
MN-07 — Colin Peterson
NH-01 – Chris Pappas
NJ-02 – Jeff Van Drew
NJ-03 – Andy Kim
NJ-05 – Josh Gottheimer
NJ-07 – Tom Malinowski
NJ-11 – Mikie Sherrill
NV-03 – Susie Lee
NV-04 – Steven Horsford
NY-11 – Max Rose
NY-18 – Sean Patrick Maloney
NY-19 – Antonio Delgado
NY-22 – Anthony Brindisi
NM-02 – Xochitl Torres Small
OK-05 – Kendra Horn
OR-04 – Peter DeFazio
PA-07 – Susan Wild
PA-08 – Matt Cartwright
PA-17 – Conor Lamb
SC-01 – Joe Cunningham
TX-07 – Lizzie Fletcher
TX-32 – Colin Allred
UT-04 – Ben McAdams
VA-02 – Elaine Luria
VA-07 – Abigail Spanberger
VA-10 – Jennifer Wexton
WA-08 – Kim Schrier
WI-03 – Ron Kind

So literally every Democrat who either flipped a seat in 2018 or represents a Trump-won district?

[OneJ]

Below is the list of GOP targets:

[snip]

I would argue that FL-27 fits in your bolded list.

[Politician]

Below is the list of GOP targets:

[snip]

I would argue that FL-27 fits in your bolded list.

Oh, you could argue for AZ-02, CA-21, CA-45, FL-26, FL-27, IL-06, IL-17, KS-03, NJ-07, NJ-11, NY-18, PA-17, TX-07, TX-32, WA-08 and WI-03 as well.

[ON Progressive]

Below is the list of GOP targets:

[snip]

I would argue that FL-27 fits in your bolded list.

Oh, you could argue for AZ-02, CA-21, CA-45, FL-26, FL-27, IL-06, IL-17, KS-03, NJ-07, NJ-11, NY-18, PA-17, TX-07, TX-32, WA-08 and WI-03 as well.

GA-06, CA-10, NV-03, and NV-04 also belong as well.

[aaroncd107]

Crenshaw has drawn his first opponent, and she seems pretty strong. Navy veteran & teacher Elisa Cardnell filed with the FEC today.

[Pollster]

Crenshaw has drawn his first opponent, and she seems pretty strong. Navy veteran & teacher Elisa Cardnell filed with the FEC today.

Obviously know very little about her, but she appears as though she was created in a factory that produces ideal Democratic candidates.

[lfromnj]

If that challenger has a decent amount of Charisma she could have a good showing

Female D veterans didn't do bad in 2018 and IMO most of em overperformed except Mcgrath.

[Politician]

RRH out with 2020 Senate ratings:

https://rrhelections.com/index.php/2019/02/09/rrh-elections-february-2019-senate-rankings/

[Boobs]

https://twitter.com/texastribabby/status/1095466893601923072?s=21

Would be an excellent candidate.

[GeorgiaModerate]

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[Pollster]

Crisanta Duran announces primary challenge to Diana DeGette

[Cold War Liberal]

Crisanta Duran announces primary challenge to Diana DeGette

Would rather her run for Senate, but OK

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Crisanta Duran announces primary challenge to Diana DeGette

Wha...?

[Sestak]

Why the hell does everyone want to primary DeGette for some reason?

[smoltchanov]

Why the hell does everyone want to primary DeGette for some reason?

Probably - again the idiotic theory, that urban liberal minority-heavy districts MUST elect "progressive minority candidates" ONLY....

[Ebsy]

Her district is 58 percent white... not even that minority heavy.

[Calthrina950]

Why the hell does everyone want to primary DeGette for some reason?

I don't understand this either. DeGette is a Generic Liberal Democrat, and has never done anything controversial, so far as I know. She is certainly not disliked to the level that my Representative, Doug Lamborn, is by many, and she got the highest percentage of any congressional incumbent in Colorado last year. So I am not sure why Duran would throw away a Senate seat for this.