2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[OSR stands with Israel]

Wow gop doing worse with seniors than they are nationwide as a whole

[OSR stands with Israel]

https://www.texastribune.org/2019/04/16/pierce-bush-grandson-george-hw-bush-may-run-congress-houston/amp/


Can the Bushes win back a district that just swung like 25 points left in 6 years?

I think the answer is no

Funfact in 1976/1980 this district had the most republican PVI in the nation.

Depends on why it swung that way , if it’s cause of Trump then the answer very much could be yes in 2022(If a a Democrat is President)

[OSR stands with Israel]

Have we found Tester’s 2024 opponent?

God help us if it’s Lamm. At this point Republicans should honestly just hope that Gianforte pulls a Rick Scott (beats Cooney and then runs for Senate as a popular incumbent governor). If this doesn’t happen, I’d go with someone like Jon Bennion if he wins AG. 2018 was really a missed opportunity for Republicans, and Tester certainly won’t be any easier to beat in 2024 when the state will be even less Republican. Not that it can’t be done, but I’m not optimistic.

Do you really think Montana will trend Democratic over the next few years? I'm not saying it will trend Republican, but even if Western Montana gets more Democratic, I could see Republican margins growing in Eastern Montana.

If a Democrat is in the WH I think MT will swing Republican but if a Republican is in the WH it will swing Dem. Montana is a very anti incumbent president state

[OSR stands with Israel]

Its interesting that Montana Democrats are still so politically active and so many at least "plausible' candidates are at least attempting a run.

MT is really only solidly Republican at the Presidential level