2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (user search)
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 167534 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« on: August 08, 2019, 06:26:51 PM »
Don't think this has been posted yet.

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1159584277161488385?s=20
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2019, 03:33:35 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on August 09, 2019, 02:11:36 PM
Carl Demaio reports raising $450k in 72 hours from 500 dollars with 20 more fundraising events scheduled by the end of September and “3000 active donor pledges coming in soon”. Cash on hand is over $700k.

https://t.co/99rxxg2wV2
He will primary Hunter and make the seat Likely R.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2019, 05:20:03 PM »
Quote from: Politician stands with Sanchez on August 09, 2019, 03:40:56 PM
Quote from: LCameronAL on August 09, 2019, 03:33:35 PM
Quote from: Young Conservative on August 09, 2019, 02:11:36 PM
Carl Demaio reports raising $450k in 72 hours from 500 dollars with 20 more fundraising events scheduled by the end of September and “3000 active donor pledges coming in soon”. Cash on hand is over $700k.

https://t.co/99rxxg2wV2
He will primary Hunter and make the seat Likely R.
It would be Safe R with DeMaio.
It's California so I'm not going to be too bullish here.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #3 on: August 14, 2019, 10:24:23 AM »
Quote from: 96FJV on August 13, 2019, 02:13:27 PM
He is gonna run in Arizona not Massachusetts if he does run.
AZ-02 is not flipping in 2020. MAYBE in 2022 if a Democrat is president and it's a strong R wave.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #4 on: August 14, 2019, 10:44:36 AM »
Quote from: beesley on August 14, 2019, 10:39:12 AM


and


GOP pickup and Likely R
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #5 on: August 14, 2019, 03:02:46 PM »
Quote from: Emperor Frederick II Hohenstaufen on August 14, 2019, 01:48:16 PM
Quote from: LCameronAL on August 14, 2019, 10:44:36 AM
Quote from: beesley on August 14, 2019, 10:39:12 AM


and


GOP pickup and Likely R

Err...NY-19 is Lean D.

It's a Trump +7 district and every pundit aside from Inside Elections rates it as a tossup. It's not a Lean D district and could easily be picked back up with the right candidate. The Likely R was in reference to IN-05.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #6 on: August 20, 2019, 11:53:42 AM »

It's only competitive based on how he's doing in WI as a whole. He will only have a shot at this district if he wins by a larger margin than he did in 2016.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #7 on: August 20, 2019, 01:32:18 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on August 20, 2019, 12:07:59 PM

Ouch.
Logged
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #8 on: August 20, 2019, 05:51:42 PM »
UT-02 is titanium red regardless of Trump's approval numbers there. DCCC is insane to consider that potentially competitive.
Logged
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #9 on: August 21, 2019, 10:10:33 AM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on August 21, 2019, 08:58:31 AM
There is indication that MT-Sen is becoming more competitive and can be Dems 3rd pickup opportunity if Dems fail to topple Collins or Ernst; whom have been pragmatic.
Indication from where? If Bullock doesn't run it's strong Likely R.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #10 on: August 22, 2019, 10:16:10 AM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on August 22, 2019, 09:59:52 AM
Jason Lewis is running against Tina Smith. I get this peculiar feeling he isn't the candidate that can win Twin Cities suburb voter the GOP still needs to win here, despite their rural gains.
Lol still likely D.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #11 on: August 22, 2019, 01:19:21 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on August 22, 2019, 12:50:30 PM
It seems that there are rumors swirling that Steve Watkins will resign due to a sex scandal.
These allegations have been around since 2018:
https://www.cjonline.com/news/20181026/steve-watkins-gop-candidate-for-congress-confronts-allegations-of-sexual-misconduct

What changed?
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #12 on: August 22, 2019, 03:29:04 PM »
Quote from: Pollster on August 22, 2019, 01:52:05 PM

I am hearing that this is a new one - something to do with an intern in his office.

I haven't found any news source other than randoms mumbling about it on Twitter. Mind linking something?
Logged
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #13 on: August 23, 2019, 03:49:08 PM »
Utah District 14 Senator Dan Hemmert is running for UT-04. He supports Trump's tax cuts but doesn't like Trump's tariff policy or his Twitter behavior. He also has Mia Love's support if she chooses not to run:

https://www.ksl.com/article/46622730/utah-sen-dan-hemmert-announces-run-for-congress
Logged
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #14 on: August 25, 2019, 09:28:55 AM »
« Edited: August 25, 2019, 09:36:22 AM by LCameronOR »

Dave Perdue gets a primary challenger, James Jackson.


Ben Sasse gets a primary challenger, Matt Innis. Innis had stated earlier this month his intention to run because Sasse did not support the president enough.


Ann Kirkpatrick also gets a primary challenger in AZ-02, Nevin Kohler.
Logged
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #15 on: September 06, 2019, 03:49:57 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on September 06, 2019, 01:09:06 PM

I full endorse Raul Ruiz for congress.
Logged
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #16 on: September 07, 2019, 07:08:22 PM »
Quote from: Atlas Force on September 07, 2019, 03:40:52 PM

Where's my money, Carter? Where's my ******* money, Carter? What did you do with my ******* money?
Logged
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #17 on: September 08, 2019, 06:16:03 PM »
Trump 2020 manager believes GOP can win back 8 CA seats.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/gop-plans-california-comeback-in-2020-trump-campaign-manager-brad-parscale-says-at-state-convention
Logged
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #18 on: September 09, 2019, 09:17:14 PM »
Oh dear.
Logged
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #19 on: September 12, 2019, 11:47:28 AM »
Quote from: gracile on September 12, 2019, 09:50:00 AM
Sabato's Crystal Ball has made two rating changes in the wake of the North Carolina special elections:

NC-03: Likely R -> Safe R

NC-09: Toss-up -> Likely R

http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/bidens-challenge-iowa-and-new-hampshire/
I don't get why they moved NC-03 in the first place. NC-09 seems about right.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #20 on: September 15, 2019, 12:37:51 AM »
CA-48 Poll from TargetPoint and the CLF:

Michelle Steel - 42%
Harley Rouda - 42%
Undecided - 16%

+/- 5.3%, Conducted August 10-11
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #21 on: September 16, 2019, 04:26:03 PM »
Republicans are seriously going to attempt to take back seats like CA-25, CA-45 and CA-49.
Logged
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #22 on: September 21, 2019, 02:47:54 PM »
Republicans will not be winning back any seats in IL.
Logged
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #23 on: October 01, 2019, 08:56:31 AM »
Mariannette Miller-Meeks is running for IA-02, having faced losses there previously in 2008, 2010, and 2014. She is a fairly-new member of the Iowa Senate from D-41.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83
« Reply #24 on: October 01, 2019, 01:51:44 PM »
CA-03: John Garamendi has a new potential GE opponent in Sean Feucht, a millennial gospel singer and worship leader:

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/california-congress-worship-leader-sean-feucht
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