2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[Badger]

https://twitter.com/ChangePolls/status/1059294038061277184

Partisanship is a hell of a drug

Well, conservatives sure as hell ain't voting for someone who they disagree with on almost everything (and vice versa). That's what you see now that the two parties are basically on polar opposite ends.

Last I checked most conservatives weren't Pro rape cover up. Though it is a shame Republican Party has taking the polar opposite end on this issue.

[Badger]

https://mobile.twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1064202106922520577

This is really stunning tbh. And of course, 1970 is an odd one because Nixon won a low plurality in 1968.

Is this not a function of very high midterm turnout in 2018 relative to 2016.  I think a fair comparison would be then to take the ruling party total vote in the midterm and compare it to the ruling party Prez total vote.  I suspect 2018 GOP does fairly well on that metric.  For sure it will easily beat 2010 and 1994 by a large margin and most likely beat 2002 which was suppose to be a very good year for the ruling party.  In fact I am sure if we do the math the GOP 2018 total vote as a percentage of the prev Prez vote would most likely exceed the 1934 Dems.

After this past year, all the elections listed had significant third-party candidates diluting the presidential vote. One has to go several elections down the list to 1958 before we avoid that effect.

Not sure what this means, but it makes me cautiously optimistic.

[Badger]

These people are so disconnected from the average voter. The average Republican voter is economically moderate to center-right, mostly socially conservative, and very nationalistic. They are not supportive of abortion or concerned about climate change or concerned about being inclusive. lol, the party will just keep electing Trumps in any primaries where they show up if these people keep insisting on changing the party in their way.

A decent amount of republicans are pro-choice in some way

And a decent amount of dems are pro-life

There are no pro choice republicans in the house.

I mean the actual voters.

Kind of meaningless if the Republican Party structure doesn't elect pro-choice Republicans, no?

It's a combination of structural power - - the nrcc and similar organizations will not support pro-choice candidates if they can avoid it, to say nothing of which side the church is another influential Republican primary voting blocks get behind - - as well as the Republican voters themselves being technically pro-choice, but it being so far down their list has to be right above tile grout among the issues they will base their vote on.

[Badger]

Elizabeth Warren endorsed Jessica Cisneros. Hopefully this starts a cascade

She endorsed Marie Newman (running against Lipinski in IL-03) as well:

https://twitter.com/rollcall/status/1171108104609705984

Kind of a given, no?

Didn't Warren endorse Newman last time around too?

[Badger]

Elizabeth Warren endorsed Jessica Cisneros. Hopefully this starts a cascade

She endorsed Marie Newman (running against Lipinski in IL-03) as well:

https://twitter.com/rollcall/status/1171108104609705984

Kind of a given, no?

Didn't Warren endorse Newman last time around too?

No she didn't, the only 2020 contenders who endorsed Newman last time were Sanders and Gillibrand.

I stand corrected. Thanks!

[Badger]

Elizabeth Warren endorsed Jessica Cisneros. Hopefully this starts a cascade

She endorsed Marie Newman (running against Lipinski in IL-03) as well:

https://twitter.com/rollcall/status/1171108104609705984

If Newman wins, the Democratic Party will continue its descent into being the party of the woke, "wine-track" liberals, rather than a party with room for ideological diversity and for social moderation.

Ben McAdams, Max Rose, Anthony brindisi, joe Minchin, et al, say hello.

" ideological diversity" doesn't include fighting Obamacare while representing a largely blue collar Chicago Suburban District."

[Badger]

Elizabeth Warren endorsed Jessica Cisneros. Hopefully this starts a cascade

She endorsed Marie Newman (running against Lipinski in IL-03) as well:

https://twitter.com/rollcall/status/1171108104609705984

If Newman wins, the Democratic Party will continue its descent into being the party of the woke, "wine-track" liberals, rather than a party with room for ideological diversity and for social moderation.

Anti-choicers don’t belong in the party, sorry.

Respectfully disagree. I may disagree with them, but I would much rather have a Ben McAdams then a Mia Love in the house, or a Joe manchin rather than the schmuck who ran against him in the Senate, 7 days a week and twice on Sundays.

One has to accept that there are broad swaths of America where opposition to abortion is considerable, but voters may still support a moderate to left-of-center Democrat over a hardcore conservative Republican.

That said, lipinski's District is not one of them, considering Democratic presidential candidates consistently win here by between 15 and 20 percent. Based on pvi alone, this would be the equivalent of someone with Doug Jones political views running in a Statewide Republican primary in South Carolina or Georgia. Now, assuming he wasn't running against Roy Moore, how many of you DieHard Defenders of bipartisanship and giving moderate voices a chance would be rooting for him over whatever staunch conservative would wind up as his primary opponent? Methinks the response would be crickets chirping.

[Badger]

CA-03: John Garamendi has a new potential GE opponent in Sean Feucht, a millennial gospel singer and worship leader:

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/california-congress-worship-leader-sean-feucht

Well, he will get Feucht by Garamendi, Safe D.

How fair and balanced to Fox News to give some third-tier Congressional candidate who happens to be a millennial social conservative a full page article of coverage