MOScout: Hawley 49/45, Democrats lead in Auditor's contest
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  MOScout: Hawley 49/45, Democrats lead in Auditor's contest
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Author Topic: MOScout: Hawley 49/45, Democrats lead in Auditor's contest  (Read 5414 times)
jamestroll
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« on: October 27, 2018, 08:29:32 AM »

https://static1.squarespace.com/static/59015f4b37c581b2ce01e5b3/t/5bd44a031905f4f40ea61c1c/1540639237597/MOScout+Weekly+Poll+10.26.18.pdf

Hawley leads by 4. 49 to 45

Galloway leads over Saundra McDowell 48 to 38%

wow
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2018, 08:31:15 AM »

This is becoming a f**king nightmare
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2018, 08:38:52 AM »


Hawley is the frontrunner, but it's not 7, it's 4
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2018, 08:39:55 AM »

Don't feel too bad; she'll have more time to spend with her private jets
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2018, 08:40:25 AM »


Hawley is the frontrunner, but it's not 7, it's 4
I don’t care. The senate is on a verge of a red wave and be filled with douchebags like Hawley
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2018, 08:43:03 AM »

I am sticking with my McCaskill +1 prediction.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2018, 08:45:31 AM »

The Senate was never tilt Democratic, anyways
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2018, 08:50:24 AM »

The Senate was never tilt Democratic, anyways
I never thought we’d win it either but I always thought 50-50 split of winning NV, AZ but losing ND was the likeliest outcome. But now it looks like we’re going to lose ND, MO, IN, and maybe FL if we don’t start picking up our EV while only winning NV and even that is on shaky grounds.
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Person Man
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2018, 08:57:00 AM »

The Senate was never tilt Democratic, anyways
I never thought we’d win it either but I always thought 50-50 split of winning NV, AZ but losing ND was the likeliest outcome. But now it looks like we’re going to lose ND, MO, IN, and maybe FL if we don’t start picking up our EV while only winning NV and even that is on shaky grounds.

I think we are fine in Indiana,  Florida,  and Montana. I'm willing to say that North Dakota and Missouri might be out of reach and that its become more important than ever to improve in Florida,  Georgia,  Arizona,  Nevada, and eventually Texas.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2018, 09:02:19 AM »

The Senate was never tilt Democratic, anyways
I never thought we’d win it either but I always thought 50-50 split of winning NV, AZ but losing ND was the likeliest outcome. But now it looks like we’re going to lose ND, MO, IN, and maybe FL if we don’t start picking up our EV while only winning NV and even that is on shaky grounds.

I think we are fine in Indiana,  Florida,  and Montana. I'm willing to say that North Dakota and Missouri might be out of reach and that its become more important than ever to improve in Florida,  Georgia,  Arizona,  Nevada, and eventually Texas.
Arizona looks like it’s on the verge of being out of reach. Florida should be alright but it’s scary seeing the gop do well with in person voting
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2018, 09:05:29 AM »

This is Remington (R)
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2018, 09:11:41 AM »

Inside Elections was right to move this to Tilt R. We'll see just how high Democratic enthusiasm is, though. Maybe, just maybe, it'll get McCaskill to win by something like 1.5%.
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Person Man
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« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2018, 09:36:09 AM »

The funny thing is that though a good-ish poll in GA-22 for Democrats improved Republican chances, this poll improved Democratic chances in fivethirtyeight.com.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2018, 09:50:19 AM »

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KingSweden
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« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2018, 10:07:17 AM »

The funny thing is that though a good-ish poll in GA-22 for Democrats improved Republican chances, this poll improved Democratic chances in fivethirtyeight.com.

Wait really? Did they adjust it or something?
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Person Man
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« Reply #15 on: October 27, 2018, 10:09:44 AM »

The funny thing is that though a good-ish poll in GA-22 for Democrats improved Republican chances, this poll improved Democratic chances in fivethirtyeight.com.

Wait really? Did they adjust it or something?

They adjusted it to R+.8.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #16 on: October 27, 2018, 10:32:21 AM »

The funny thing is that though a good-ish poll in GA-22 for Democrats improved Republican chances, this poll improved Democratic chances in fivethirtyeight.com.

Wait really? Did they adjust it or something?

They adjusted it to R+.8.

I knew Remington had an R lean but I didn’t realize it was that much of a house effrct
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #17 on: October 27, 2018, 10:37:53 AM »

Are people just trolling in this thread or...

Remington is an R pollster. Pretty sure they've had it at Hawley +3 or +4 the entire cycle.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #18 on: October 27, 2018, 11:15:17 AM »

The Senate was never supposed to be good for Democrats. It's the 2012 Obama reelection class that extremely overachieved that's up. Republicans have very little to defend (AZ and NV).

They should pick up a few seats.


Hawley is the frontrunner, but it's not 7, it's 4
I don’t care. The senate is on a verge of a red wave and be filled with douchebags like Hawley
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windjammer
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« Reply #19 on: October 27, 2018, 11:20:50 AM »

It's Remington lol

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Xing
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« Reply #20 on: October 27, 2018, 11:26:32 AM »

Yikes, McCaskill still has a chance, but it's not looking great.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #21 on: October 27, 2018, 11:40:21 AM »

Lean R, the Kavanaugh vote is doing it in.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #22 on: October 27, 2018, 12:10:21 PM »

I love how the same people who take every Democratic-friendly poll and even Democratic internals at face value always rush to remind us that (R)emington is basically just cooking up R-friendly numbers and shouldn’t be trusted, even though their final poll in 2016 actually underestimated Greitens and Trump significantly. But sure, go ahead and underestimate McCaskill's (or Heitkamp's, Tester's, and Donnelly's) vulnerability to your heart's content, I’m sure it’s just Republicans being overconfident again.
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andjey
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« Reply #23 on: October 27, 2018, 12:10:32 PM »

McCaskill win by 1-1,5%
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Skye
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« Reply #24 on: October 27, 2018, 12:17:45 PM »

I love how the same people who take every Democratic-friendly poll and even Democratic internals at face value always rush to remind us that (R)emington is basically just cooking up R-friendly numbers and shouldn’t be trusted, even though their final poll in 2016 actually underestimated Greitens and Trump significantly. But sure, go ahead and underestimate McCaskill's (or Heitkamp's, Tester's, and Donnelly's) vulnerability to your heart's content, I’m sure it’s just Republicans being overconfident again.

PPP poll, commissioned for a D-PAC: "Looks alright to me."

Remington poll: "Well this is obviously a Republican poll so we can't trust it."

Seriously.
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