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Author Topic: NYT/Siena: Gillum +5  (Read 562 times)
Gass3268
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« on: October 28, 2018, 03:48:41 pm »

48% Gillum
43% DeSantis

Source

Among those who have already voted:

51% Gillum
45% DeSantis
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Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Klobuchar
4. Gillibrand
5. Castro
6. Buttigieg
7. Booker
8. Delaney
9. Gabbard
President Johnson
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2018, 03:50:29 pm »

Yes!! I think that Gillum will overperform on election night. He'll probably end up with 51% of the vote and do substancially better than Rick Scott did in both of his races.
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Pragmatic Democrat. Socially liberal, economically/fiscally moderate.

Favorite president: Lyndon B. Johnson
Best president we never had: Nelson Rockefeller

TL: The liberal Republic

STEVE BULLOCK FOR PRESIDENT 2020!

ajc0918
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2018, 04:00:48 pm »

Gillum getting 67% of voters aged 18-29 is brutal for the GOP.

I swear to god if my friends don't vote...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2018, 04:05:18 pm »

Gillum getting 67% of voters aged 18-29 is brutal for the GOP.

I swear to god if my friends don't vote...

Get them to vote! Take them with you!
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Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Klobuchar
4. Gillibrand
5. Castro
6. Buttigieg
7. Booker
8. Delaney
9. Gabbard
ajc0918
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2018, 04:14:17 pm »

Gillum getting 67% of voters aged 18-29 is brutal for the GOP.

I swear to god if my friends don't vote...

Get them to vote! Take them with you!

We're working on it! I will say the outreach has been pretty superb so far. I early voted yesterday but before that I had been getting multiple text reminders per day to vote from different organizations. I would get them from the Gillum campaign, NextGen, Need to Impeach, the DNC, and my local democratic party. I was impressed.
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Snek!
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2018, 04:14:25 pm »

Gillum getting 67% of voters aged 18-29 is brutal for the GOP.

I swear to god if my friends don't vote...

Get them to vote! Take them with you!

Tell them that if they don't vote, a dangerous retard like myself will be deciding how they live. Trust me.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2018, 04:16:07 pm »

Gillum getting 67% of voters aged 18-29 is brutal for the GOP.

I swear to god if my friends don't vote...

Millenials/Gen Z > Boomers
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Pragmatic Democrat. Socially liberal, economically/fiscally moderate.

Favorite president: Lyndon B. Johnson
Best president we never had: Nelson Rockefeller

TL: The liberal Republic

STEVE BULLOCK FOR PRESIDENT 2020!

Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2018, 05:49:40 pm »

Another day, another poll showing Gillum ahead. A reminder that polls were not that far off in Florida in 2016.
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Roblox
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2018, 06:03:33 pm »

Another day, another poll showing Gillum ahead. A reminder that polls were not that far off in Florida in 2016.

Indeed, poll averages are actually pretty accurate in Florida, usually being within 2 points or so.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/governor/fl/florida_governor_scott_vs_crist-3545.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/governor/fl/florida_governor_scott_vs_sink_vs_chiles-1607.html

The exception is the 2016 senate race, where Rubio was ahead by 3.7 in the rcp average but won by nearly 8, but Patrick Murphy was a weak candidate who didn't get much outside support anyway.
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Economic: -5.55

Social: -6.26

My timeline-"Election night in America 2018: Nuclear Elmo" https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=303210.msg6460268#new
olowakandi
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2018, 06:08:19 pm »

Great news, SN and UWS are wrong about DeSantis winning
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