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Author Topic: AZ NBC/Marist: Sinema +6 H2H, +3 with all candidates  (Read 2134 times)
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #50 on: October 30, 2018, 03:38:42 pm »

Why do R hacks like 2016 have to be so boring?

At least some D hacks like Solid are entertaining because they at least might have a couple races they’re too pessimistic on (like UT-04/FL-27 with Solid). R hacks are just overly optimistic on every single race.
Solid is a hack, sure, but he is very numbers oriented. He was/is super down on ojeda,for example
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Morningside Heights Millionaire
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« Reply #51 on: October 30, 2018, 03:39:56 pm »

Why do R hacks like 2016 have to be so boring?

At least some D hacks like Solid are entertaining because they at least might have a couple races they’re too pessimistic on (like UT-04/FL-27 with Solid). R hacks are just overly optimistic on every single race.

to be fair I am pessimistic on NY-SEN and NY-GOV
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Badger
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« Reply #52 on: October 30, 2018, 04:08:40 pm »

Unskewing polls is one of the most ridiculous things ever.

So is arguing with an ideological mayfly who will disappear a week after election day, rather than putting him on ignore. Wink
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Lok
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« Reply #53 on: October 30, 2018, 05:00:35 pm »

Unskewing polls is one of the most ridiculous things ever.

So is arguing with an ideological mayfly who will disappear a week after election day, rather than putting him on ignore. Wink
Hey, I need to have some fun once in a while Tongue
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IceSpear
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« Reply #54 on: October 30, 2018, 06:25:29 pm »

Mike Noble, Chief Pollster of "OH Predictive Insights" who will release their Final AZ Poll (Governor & Senate) tomorrow agrees with me on the NBC/Marist Poll...



Someone who put out a poll that was as junky as their last one really has no room to criticize another poll.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #55 on: October 30, 2018, 06:27:39 pm »

BUT MUH PINK TUTU!
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #56 on: October 30, 2018, 07:52:20 pm »

Some much needed good news. At least the Democrats in the Senate will gain something!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #57 on: October 30, 2018, 08:02:54 pm »

Some much needed good news. At least the Democrats in the Senate will gain something!

They'll definitely gain Nevada. Smiley
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #58 on: October 30, 2018, 08:03:50 pm »

Some much needed good news. At least the Democrats in the Senate will gain something!

They'll definitely gain Nevada. Smiley

I think so too, but I'm not as sure as you and xingkerui seem to be.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #59 on: October 30, 2018, 09:14:02 pm »

Some much needed good news. At least the Democrats in the Senate will gain something!

They'll definitely gain Nevada. Smiley

I think so too, but I'm not as sure as you and xingkerui seem to be.

They have emphasized for months that Nevada is a automatic Democratic pickup. While I think it's foolish to take that position, I also do believe that the environment favors Rosen and that she will win narrowly.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #60 on: October 30, 2018, 09:14:51 pm »

Some much needed good news. At least the Democrats in the Senate will gain something!

They'll definitely gain Nevada. Smiley

I think so too, but I'm not as sure as you and xingkerui seem to be.

They have emphasized for months that Nevada is a automatic Democratic pickup. While I think it's foolish to take that position, I also do believe that the environment favors Rosen and that she will win narrowly.
Yeah, I'm interested to see Ralston's tweets about today's voting.
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GMantis
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« Reply #61 on: November 19, 2018, 07:04:19 am »

Omg, you do realise this is 2018, not 2012 right? Unskewing polls is one of the most ridiculous things ever.

So, you really believe Latinos will vote at a higher Rate in the 2018 MidTerm (19%) than in the 2016 Presidential Election (15%) when Democrats argueably had the highest Turnout in an Election ever? This defies common sense.
Apparently it did happen. Also the electorate was R+6. So yet another refutation of the ridiculous poll unskewing idea.
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