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| | | | |-+  AZ NBC/Marist: Sinema +6 H2H, +3 with all candidates (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ NBC/Marist: Sinema +6 H2H, +3 with all candidates  (Read 2164 times)
Hindsight is 2020
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« on: October 30, 2018, 06:08:31 am »

Ahhhhhh
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Hindsight is 2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,380
United States


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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2018, 07:12:13 am »

Yes, I am going to unscew that Poll a bit

Party ID
Republicans 35
Independents 35
Democrats 28

R + 7 Electorate

Marist is NUTS. The current Party Breakdown of the Ballots that have been already returned are
Republicans 43.7
Democrats 33.1
Independents 22.7

So, Marist claims that over the next 5 Days (Early Voting) + Election Day the Independent Share of the Electorate will go from 22.7 to 35. That is absolutely INSANE and CRAZY.
They also say that in the same time Republicans drop from 43.7 to 35, an 8.7-Point Drop in 5 Days + Election Day...completely unreasonable.

Racial Breakdown
65 % White
4 % African-American
19 % Latino
13 % Other

No way it will be 65 % White, 35 % Non-White.

They also claim 15 % of Voters will be 18-29.

WHAT IS WRONG WITH THESE POLLSTERS?
Stop. Using. Early. Voting. As. The. Basis. Of. The. Election Day. Electorate.
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