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Author Topic: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4  (Read 647 times)
Castro
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« on: October 30, 2018, 09:10:27 am »

Ned Lamont - 47%
Bob Stefanowski - 43%
Oz Griebel - 7%

https://poll.qu.edu/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=2584
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Castro
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2018, 09:13:59 am »

On the surface this doesnít look great for Lamont, with his Q lead falling from 8 to 4, but there are some notable details to point out in this poll. Not to sound like an unskewer, but for one thing, the Dem ID % advantage over GOP was also reduced by 4 from the previous poll, and it seems pretty unlikely that the Dem ID advantage is only going to be +8. For another, Griebelís actual result will likely be halved from the polling, and more voters say their second choice is Lamont.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2018, 11:01:04 am »

Holy crap this tightened considerably.
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2018, 11:20:14 am »

Fool's gold for the GOP.
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2018, 11:38:16 am »

Fool's gold for the GOP.
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Thinking_Big
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2018, 11:40:35 am »

Wow, and Quinnipiac is a D pollster (their final poll in New Hampshire was D+12 but the actual was D+0.4). Now you can't expect them to be favoring Ds in this particular poll, but they're not a pollster that would be biased in favor of Rs, here. Perhaps they're just really terrible at getting good samples.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2018, 11:42:27 am »

Wow, and Quinnipiac is a D pollster (their final poll in New Hampshire was D+12 but the actual was D+0.4). Now you can't expect them to be favoring Ds in this particular poll, but they're not a pollster that would be biased in favor of Rs, here. Perhaps they're just really terrible at getting good samples.

LMAO
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2018, 11:47:36 am »

Wow, and Quinnipiac is a D pollster (their final poll in New Hampshire was D+12 but the actual was D+0.4). Now you can't expect them to be favoring Ds in this particular poll, but they're not a pollster that would be biased in favor of Rs, here. Perhaps they're just really terrible at getting good samples.

Uh, what? Quinnipiac is not a D pollster, and they also have never polled New Hampshire. It sounds like you're talking about UNH (which is also not a D pollster, but was indeed off by double digits in 2016.)
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« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2018, 11:52:25 am »

Wow, and Quinnipiac is a D pollster (their final poll in New Hampshire was D+12 but the actual was D+0.4). Now you can't expect them to be favoring Ds in this particular poll, but they're not a pollster that would be biased in favor of Rs, here. Perhaps they're just really terrible at getting good samples.

Uh, what? Quinnipiac is not a D pollster, and they also have never polled New Hampshire. It sounds like you're talking about UNH (which is also not a D pollster, but was indeed off by double digits in 2016.)

To a not insignificant amount of Republicans (I'd argue the majority actually), every pollster is a Democratic pollster except Rasmussen, which is a completely accurate and independent pollster.
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2018, 12:00:37 pm »

Great, we need another "Rs will win every competitive race!" hack on the forum who just joined. We don't already have 6 of those. Roll Eyes Anyway, this seems a little generous to the Republicans, but maybe it wasn't crazy to think that Republicans have a better shot here than in Rhode Island.
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Mondale
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« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2018, 12:16:46 pm »

What kind of a name is Oz Griebel?
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« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2018, 12:21:14 pm »

What kind of a name is Oz Griebel?

I always read "Oz Gabriel".
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2018, 01:01:07 pm »

What kind of a name is Oz Griebel?

I believe his(?) ethnicity is "children's fantasy novel villain."
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« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2018, 02:02:20 pm »

Not a great poll, though I still believe Lamont should have this in the bag. Would be sad if not, because he's a very fine candidate.

What kind of a name is Oz Griebel?

I always read "Oz Gabriel".

Me too, what leads me to think about my fallen hero Sigmar Gabriel.
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« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2018, 02:06:58 pm »

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« Reply #15 on: October 30, 2018, 02:45:42 pm »

Lol you people are such hacks. Its not really outlandish that its competitive, its been that way for the past few gubernatorials. Not saying Lamont wonít win but you people are really insufferable. And again, its not crazy that Oz has the showing he does. Hesybeen very involved in the Hartford metro area and ran for Governor before. And Iím not quite sure why people think Lamont is such a good candidateóif that was the case he would be polling much higher. The amount of money he has spent would suggest he would have an advantage, which he probably does but clearly there are other issues with his candidacy.
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