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Author Topic: IN: Cygnal: Braun (R) +3  (Read 1050 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 30, 2018, 11:59:06 am »

New Poll: Indiana Senator by Cygnal on 2018-10-27

Summary: D: 46%, R: 49%, I: 3%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2018, 12:01:44 pm »

Sen. Roy Moore (who they had ahead by 8 points) certainly agrees with this poll ...

PS: Cygnal is a R-pollster.
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Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2018, 12:02:50 pm »

They also have the exact same margin and % for Hawley in MO
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Election days come and go. But the struggle of the people to create a government which represents all of us and not just the one percent-a government based on the principles of economic, social, racial, and environmental justice-that struggle continues.-Bernie Sanders
Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2018, 12:03:26 pm »

The Atlas poll map is now showing 3 R pickups ... LOL.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php
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Former Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2018, 12:04:39 pm »

MY GOD, WHY ARE ALL THE POLLS IN MO AND IN R POLLSTERS?!

Seriously, I just want a non-partisan one. Marist, where are you?!
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2018, 12:05:23 pm »

Other polls have shown Braun +3/4 as well. R+1 (with IN/MO/ND/AZ/NV flipping) is really looking more and more likely.

Also lol@believing YouGov is a Republican pollster.
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2018, 12:07:29 pm »

MY GOD, WHY ARE ALL THE POLLS IN MO AND IN R POLLSTERS?!

Seriously, I just want a non-partisan one. Marist, where are you?!

Marist claim Non-Partisan but are anything but. They're polling for the MSNBC Clowns Kornacki, Maddow, Matthews, Hayes, Lawrence O'Donnell & Brian Williams.

Nuff said.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2018, 12:07:39 pm »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...
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Pickup Paulite
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« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2018, 12:08:21 pm »

The Atlas poll map is now showing 3 R pickups ... LOL.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php
You won't be laughing out loud when it actually happens
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Former Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2018, 12:09:04 pm »

MY GOD, WHY ARE ALL THE POLLS IN MO AND IN R POLLSTERS?!

Seriously, I just want a non-partisan one. Marist, where are you?!

Marist claim Non-Partisan but are anything but. They're polling for the MSNBC Clowns Kornacki, Maddow, Matthews, Hayes, Lawrence O'Donnell & Brian Williams.

Nuff said.
Fox News is also a widely respected pollster. The News group doesnt correlate with the results they publish.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2018, 12:09:28 pm »

The Atlas poll map is now showing 3 R pickups ... LOL.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php
You won't be laughing out loud when it actually happens

I'm 75-90% sure it won't happen.

Dems will have a really good election night, for the Senate as well.
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« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2018, 12:10:25 pm »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...

So you think TN and TX are more likely to flip than IN and MO?
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« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2018, 12:10:37 pm »

The Atlas poll map is now showing 3 R pickups ... LOL.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php
You won't be laughing out loud when it actually happens

Tender Branson only cares about polls when they show Democrats winning every competitive race.
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« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2018, 12:12:08 pm »

Other polls have shown Braun +3/4 as well. R+1 (with IN/MO/ND/AZ/NV flipping) is really looking more and more likely.

Also lol@believing YouGov is a Republican pollster.

YouGov and a couple R pollsters are not great company. MO is even worse.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2018, 12:12:14 pm »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...

So you think TN and TX are more likely to flip than IN and MO?

In the coming Democratic wave, they will likely hold both states and there's a chance that they will gain TX and/or TN.
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« Reply #15 on: October 30, 2018, 12:14:46 pm »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...

So you think TN and TX are more likely to flip than IN and MO?

The thing is I really don't think we know. Polling has been awful this cycle unless it's Florida or Texas. There have been some rumblings of a Bredesn comeback in TN, but no one has polled there since to find out. There has been talk and some Republican polls that have Republicans up in MO and IN, but nothing to back it up from serious pollsters. Some pollsters have shown MI, MN, and OH tightening for Democrats, but almost all from below average pollsters and neither party are pumping money into that state (except OH-GOV). We are so devoid right now of sound information. It's really frustrating.
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« Reply #16 on: October 30, 2018, 12:16:48 pm »

I see, you're both desillusional getting the Senate. Give it up boys. You won't get it.
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President Weatherboy1102
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« Reply #17 on: October 30, 2018, 12:18:10 pm »

https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/trash
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #18 on: October 30, 2018, 12:18:45 pm »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...

So you think TN and TX are more likely to flip than IN and MO?

The thing is I really don't think we know. Polling has been awful this cycle unless it's Florida or Texas. There have been some rumblings of a Bredesn comeback in TN, but no one has polled there since to find out. There has been talk and some Republican polls that have Republicans up in MO and IN, but nothing to back it up from serious pollsters. Some pollsters have shown MI, MN, and OH tightening for Democrats, but almost all from below average pollsters and neither party are pumping money into that state (except OH-GOV). We are so devoid right now of sound information. It's really frustrating.

That's of course correct. There's only limited polling right now in these races and the fact that mostly R pollsters are jumping in right now is IMO a sign of desperation on their part.

I'm more looking at past cycles such as 2006 or the special elections, where Dems did well in the last 2 years and had huge swings in their favour. All of this is bad news for the Republicans.

Some Democrats like Rosen will outperform their poll numbers and some others like Donnelly might too. But there could also some surprises for the Rs ... maybe also on the Governor side with Lamont losing or something.
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« Reply #19 on: October 30, 2018, 12:19:57 pm »

Imagine actually believing that TX is more likely to flip than IN and MO.
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« Reply #20 on: October 30, 2018, 12:23:37 pm »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...

So you think TN and TX are more likely to flip than IN and MO?

In the coming Democratic wave, they will likely hold both states and there's a chance that they will gain TX and/or TN.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0YIJQ1jgEI
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« Reply #21 on: October 30, 2018, 12:27:14 pm »

The Atlas poll map is now showing 3 R pickups ... LOL.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php
You won't be laughing out loud when it actually happens

Tender Branson only cares about polls when they show Democrats winning every competitive race.

I think so too. Zaybay might have a good point regarding Fox Polls. I checked out their Pollsters and their Polls are done by a Democrat and a Republican similar to the NBC/WSJ National Poll which are done by McInturff/Yang.

The Marist Poll however was founded by Lee Miringoff and he is a Democratic Hack.
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« Reply #22 on: October 30, 2018, 12:27:54 pm »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...

So you think TN and TX are more likely to flip than IN and MO?

The thing is I really don't think we know. Polling has been awful this cycle unless it's Florida or Texas. There have been some rumblings of a Bredesn comeback in TN, but no one has polled there since to find out. There has been talk and some Republican polls that have Republicans up in MO and IN, but nothing to back it up from serious pollsters. Some pollsters have shown MI, MN, and OH tightening for Democrats, but almost all from below average pollsters and neither party are pumping money into that state (except OH-GOV). We are so devoid right now of sound information. It's really frustrating.

I think Dems will do far better than the polling indicates on election night...particularly in the Senate (tho I wouldn't go so far as to say it'll flip but the chances are higher than people think). I'm glad there's barely any polling...makes election night and the results more interesting.
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« Reply #23 on: October 30, 2018, 12:28:26 pm »

FOR THE LOVE OF GOD WHY ARE ONLY JUNK POLLSTERS POLLING INDIANA

edit: Zaybay beat me to it, lol
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« Reply #24 on: October 30, 2018, 12:45:49 pm »

The Atlas poll map is now showing 3 R pickups ... LOL.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php
You won't be laughing out loud when it actually happens

MT Treasurer only cares about polls when they show Republicans winning every competitive race.
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