IN: Cygnal: Braun (R) +3
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 05:14:06 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  IN: Cygnal: Braun (R) +3
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: IN: Cygnal: Braun (R) +3  (Read 2464 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 30, 2018, 11:59:06 AM »

New Poll: Indiana Senator by Cygnal on 2018-10-27

Summary: D: 46%, R: 49%, I: 3%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2018, 12:01:44 PM »

Sen. Roy Moore (who they had ahead by 8 points) certainly agrees with this poll ...

PS: Cygnal is a R-pollster.
Logged
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,207
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2018, 12:02:50 PM »

They also have the exact same margin and % for Hawley in MO
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2018, 12:03:26 PM »

The Atlas poll map is now showing 3 R pickups ... LOL.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2018, 12:04:39 PM »

MY GOD, WHY ARE ALL THE POLLS IN MO AND IN R POLLSTERS?!

Seriously, I just want a non-partisan one. Marist, where are you?!
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2018, 12:05:23 PM »

Other polls have shown Braun +3/4 as well. R+1 (with IN/MO/ND/AZ/NV flipping) is really looking more and more likely.

Also lol@believing YouGov is a Republican pollster.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,303


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2018, 12:07:29 PM »

MY GOD, WHY ARE ALL THE POLLS IN MO AND IN R POLLSTERS?!

Seriously, I just want a non-partisan one. Marist, where are you?!

Marist claim Non-Partisan but are anything but. They're polling for the MSNBC Clowns Kornacki, Maddow, Matthews, Hayes, Lawrence O'Donnell & Brian Williams.

Nuff said.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2018, 12:07:39 PM »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...
Logged
Yellowhammer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,683
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2018, 12:08:21 PM »

You won't be laughing out loud when it actually happens
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2018, 12:09:04 PM »

MY GOD, WHY ARE ALL THE POLLS IN MO AND IN R POLLSTERS?!

Seriously, I just want a non-partisan one. Marist, where are you?!

Marist claim Non-Partisan but are anything but. They're polling for the MSNBC Clowns Kornacki, Maddow, Matthews, Hayes, Lawrence O'Donnell & Brian Williams.

Nuff said.
Fox News is also a widely respected pollster. The News group doesnt correlate with the results they publish.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2018, 12:09:28 PM »


I'm 75-90% sure it won't happen.

Dems will have a really good election night, for the Senate as well.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2018, 12:10:25 PM »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...

So you think TN and TX are more likely to flip than IN and MO?
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2018, 12:10:37 PM »


Tender Branson only cares about polls when they show Democrats winning every competitive race.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2018, 12:12:08 PM »

Other polls have shown Braun +3/4 as well. R+1 (with IN/MO/ND/AZ/NV flipping) is really looking more and more likely.

Also lol@believing YouGov is a Republican pollster.

YouGov and a couple R pollsters are not great company. MO is even worse.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2018, 12:12:14 PM »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...

So you think TN and TX are more likely to flip than IN and MO?

In the coming Democratic wave, they will likely hold both states and there's a chance that they will gain TX and/or TN.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 30, 2018, 12:14:46 PM »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...

So you think TN and TX are more likely to flip than IN and MO?

The thing is I really don't think we know. Polling has been awful this cycle unless it's Florida or Texas. There have been some rumblings of a Bredesn comeback in TN, but no one has polled there since to find out. There has been talk and some Republican polls that have Republicans up in MO and IN, but nothing to back it up from serious pollsters. Some pollsters have shown MI, MN, and OH tightening for Democrats, but almost all from below average pollsters and neither party are pumping money into that state (except OH-GOV). We are so devoid right now of sound information. It's really frustrating.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,303


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 30, 2018, 12:16:48 PM »

I see, you're both desillusional getting the Senate. Give it up boys. You won't get it.
Logged
GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,629
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 30, 2018, 12:18:10 PM »

https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/trash
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 30, 2018, 12:18:45 PM »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...

So you think TN and TX are more likely to flip than IN and MO?

The thing is I really don't think we know. Polling has been awful this cycle unless it's Florida or Texas. There have been some rumblings of a Bredesn comeback in TN, but no one has polled there since to find out. There has been talk and some Republican polls that have Republicans up in MO and IN, but nothing to back it up from serious pollsters. Some pollsters have shown MI, MN, and OH tightening for Democrats, but almost all from below average pollsters and neither party are pumping money into that state (except OH-GOV). We are so devoid right now of sound information. It's really frustrating.

That's of course correct. There's only limited polling right now in these races and the fact that mostly R pollsters are jumping in right now is IMO a sign of desperation on their part.

I'm more looking at past cycles such as 2006 or the special elections, where Dems did well in the last 2 years and had huge swings in their favour. All of this is bad news for the Republicans.

Some Democrats like Rosen will outperform their poll numbers and some others like Donnelly might too. But there could also some surprises for the Rs ... maybe also on the Governor side with Lamont losing or something.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 30, 2018, 12:19:57 PM »

Imagine actually believing that TX is more likely to flip than IN and MO.
Logged
Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,472
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 30, 2018, 12:23:37 PM »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...

So you think TN and TX are more likely to flip than IN and MO?

In the coming Democratic wave, they will likely hold both states and there's a chance that they will gain TX and/or TN.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0YIJQ1jgEI
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,303


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 30, 2018, 12:27:14 PM »


Tender Branson only cares about polls when they show Democrats winning every competitive race.

I think so too. Zaybay might have a good point regarding Fox Polls. I checked out their Pollsters and their Polls are done by a Democrat and a Republican similar to the NBC/WSJ National Poll which are done by McInturff/Yang.

The Marist Poll however was founded by Lee Miringoff and he is a Democratic Hack.
Logged
junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 30, 2018, 12:27:54 PM »

I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.

This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...

So you think TN and TX are more likely to flip than IN and MO?

The thing is I really don't think we know. Polling has been awful this cycle unless it's Florida or Texas. There have been some rumblings of a Bredesn comeback in TN, but no one has polled there since to find out. There has been talk and some Republican polls that have Republicans up in MO and IN, but nothing to back it up from serious pollsters. Some pollsters have shown MI, MN, and OH tightening for Democrats, but almost all from below average pollsters and neither party are pumping money into that state (except OH-GOV). We are so devoid right now of sound information. It's really frustrating.

I think Dems will do far better than the polling indicates on election night...particularly in the Senate (tho I wouldn't go so far as to say it'll flip but the chances are higher than people think). I'm glad there's barely any polling...makes election night and the results more interesting.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,964
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 30, 2018, 12:28:26 PM »

FOR THE LOVE OF GOD WHY ARE ONLY JUNK POLLSTERS POLLING INDIANA

edit: Zaybay beat me to it, lol
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 30, 2018, 12:45:49 PM »


MT Treasurer only cares about polls when they show Republicans winning every competitive race.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.062 seconds with 14 queries.