I still think that MO and IN will be won by the Democrats in the end, no matter what these polls show.
This and the gains in AZ, NV and possibly even in TN and TX will offset the loss in ND and will still put the Senate in play ...
So you think TN and TX are more likely to flip than IN and MO?
The thing is I really don't think we know. Polling has been awful this cycle unless it's Florida or Texas. There have been some rumblings of a Bredesn comeback in TN, but no one has polled there since to find out. There has been talk and some Republican polls that have Republicans up in MO and IN, but nothing to back it up from serious pollsters. Some pollsters have shown MI, MN, and OH tightening for Democrats, but almost all from below average pollsters and neither party are pumping money into that state (except OH-GOV). We are so devoid right now of sound information. It's really frustrating.