TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 01:35:38 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10  (Read 2218 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 761
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 30, 2018, 01:37:16 PM »

https://dfw.cbslocal.com/2018/10/30/cruz-abbott-pull-ahead-in-latest-poll/

Cruz 52
Beto 42
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,781
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2018, 01:39:16 PM »

Beto is too liberal to win in TX
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2018, 01:39:35 PM »

Just what we need another Texas poll.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2018, 01:40:31 PM »

Probably a little too Republican, but Likely R, and closer to Safe than Lean.
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,350


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2018, 01:41:32 PM »

Just what we need another Texas poll.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,303


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2018, 01:44:59 PM »

Game Over for O'Rourke.
Logged
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,046


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2018, 01:49:16 PM »


You have to admit, it was pretty funny watching democrats draining millions of dollars down the drain, only for O'Rourke too lose by near double digits.
Logged
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,761


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2018, 01:49:18 PM »

Despite most people seeming to think it will end up Cruz+5 or less, it is not really implausible that Cruz could end up winning by this much. Despite Dems improving a lot in early vote relative to 2014, Republicans are also turning out a lot of voters, including infrequent voters. Maybe that might change in the last few days of early voting, but so far...
Logged
Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2018, 01:52:26 PM »

Despite most people seeming to think it will end up Cruz+5 or less, it is not really implausible that Cruz could end up winning by this much. Despite Dems improving a lot in early vote relative to 2014, Republicans are also turning out a lot of voters, including infrequent voters. Maybe that might change in the last few days of early voting, but so far...
They overestimated Trump in TX in 2016 too so I'm not really all that concerned Tongue
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2018, 02:00:54 PM »

Lol. Junk poll.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,303


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2018, 03:01:54 PM »


You have to admit, it was pretty funny watching democrats draining millions of dollars down the drain, only for O'Rourke too lose by near double digits.

It was.
Logged
Webnicz
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 498
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2018, 03:01:59 PM »

I Would rather see a poll for the election of constable in a small county of 300 people before I see another Texas poll
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2018, 03:09:26 PM »

Dixie Strategies is not a good pollster. who care
Logged
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2018, 03:24:03 PM »

Cruz will probably win by low double digits so I say this is the most accurate poll of all the latest ones
Logged
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,929
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2018, 03:30:23 PM »


You have to admit, it was pretty funny watching democrats draining millions of dollars down the drain, only for O'Rourke too lose by near double digits.

It's actually not so funny for Republicans if Beto performs well enough to help bring down Republican incumbents in House districts. But pettiness is all some people have, especially the users that show up right before every election to be cheerleaders for Republicans.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,237
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 30, 2018, 04:11:19 PM »

Dixie Strategies is not a good pollster. who care

Fivethirtyeight ranking?
Logged
DataGuy
Rookie
**
Posts: 217


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 30, 2018, 04:16:56 PM »

Dixie Strategies is not a good pollster. who care

Fivethirtyeight ranking?

FiveThirtyEight ranks Dixie Strategies as a B minus. It's not a top-tier gold standard pollster, but I wouldn't call it trash. They're about average.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 30, 2018, 05:53:55 PM »

Outlier, but yeah, Cruz is almost certainly going to win.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,547
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 30, 2018, 07:47:38 PM »


The game actually never really started, despite the press attention.
Logged
Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,127
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2018, 10:14:46 PM »

Likely R -> Safe R.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,937
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2018, 10:25:16 PM »


Safe Republican is a stretch, but Cruz has the upper hand, and has had it the entire year. Democrats have wasted millions of dollars and a significant amount of resources on a state they were never going to win in the first place. All of those funds, ads, campaign volunteers, posters, rallies, etc. could have been focused in states like Missouri, Indiana, Arizona, and Nevada, where they actually have a chance of winning. We will see what the results of this strategy will reap next week.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,781
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2018, 12:28:38 AM »

An upset can happen like it did to Feingold on election day. Just like in TN. These are tilt R but not safe GOP. Due to another poll showing Cruz up by 4-5 again
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 13 queries.