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Author Topic: AK-Alaska Survey Research: Tie  (Read 946 times)
Fremont Speaker/Sen.-Elect ON Progressive
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« on: October 31, 2018, 12:47:10 pm »

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Ebsy
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2018, 12:48:35 pm »

Woah.
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wifikitten
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2018, 12:49:35 pm »

Jesus.... Who knows what happens in this race.
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2018, 12:49:56 pm »

But IceSpear told me this race was Safe R!
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2018, 12:49:59 pm »

I still think Dunleavy wins by 3-5, but I might move this from Lean R to Tossup if another poll confirms this.
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2018, 12:50:33 pm »

Whatís this pollsterís reputation? Crazy poll if reliable
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Former Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2018, 12:51:11 pm »

I need more polling, this could be insane!
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2018, 12:53:29 pm »

I need to see another poll, but it looks like Bad Boy Begich just might pull this out. I'll at least move this from Likely R to Lean R, and I may need to move it to Toss-Up if another poll confirms this.
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2018, 01:02:25 pm »

Poor Alaska.  Seems it can't keep any incumbents in the 21st century.
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2018, 01:10:59 pm »

Be careful, Ivan Moore is pretty dem friendly usually, not to say it's wrong, but caution is warranted.
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2018, 01:12:10 pm »

Be careful, Ivan Moore is pretty dem friendly usually, not to say it's wrong, but caution is warranted.

Ah, this is Ivan Moore? The same guys who showed Begich winning by 6 in 2014?
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2018, 01:14:21 pm »

ASR regularly polls Alaska. They've done polling here since at least 2016. I think they're separate from Ivan Moore

EDIT: no, they've worked with Ivan Moore since 2016. Here are some of there previous results:

https://s3.amazonaws.com/arc-wordpress-client-uploads/adn/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/13065501/ADN-poll-crosstabs-Oct-2016.pdf
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2018, 01:19:59 pm »

Big if true.
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« Reply #13 on: October 31, 2018, 01:29:44 pm »

Smiley

Go Begich Go!
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« Reply #14 on: October 31, 2018, 01:38:11 pm »

True if big, as Mondale would say! I still think KS>SD>AK when it comes to gubernatorial D wins, but all are either tossups to leans R
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olowakandi
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« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2018, 01:38:59 pm »

Big, Begich can win
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2018, 01:39:11 pm »

But IceSpear told me this race was Safe R!

It literally was in the three way race.
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2018, 01:49:01 pm »

But IceSpear told me this race was Safe R!

It literally was in the three way race.
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« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2018, 02:07:59 pm »

I need to see another poll, but it looks like Bad Boy Begich just might pull this out. I'll at least move this from Likely R to Lean R, and I may need to move it to Toss-Up if another poll confirms this.
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« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2018, 02:20:12 pm »

Beautiful Begich vs Dumb Dunleavy!
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2018, 06:53:07 pm »

So many of today's comforting polls, like this one, better not just be more false hope!
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« Reply #21 on: October 31, 2018, 06:55:09 pm »

They always fall for the bad boys
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« Reply #22 on: October 31, 2018, 07:37:08 pm »

This race might give me a heart attack, but I sill predict a Dulvaney victory by about 4-6 points. I don't trust Alaskan polls due to their track record and boy it's not good (anyone remembers 2016?). It'll be nice to see Bad Boy Begich pull it out though.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #23 on: November 01, 2018, 12:38:21 am »

...well, I wasn't expecting that. Maybe this is still winnable after all.
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« Reply #24 on: November 01, 2018, 02:04:29 am »

Decimals...
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