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| | |-+  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | | |-+  Fox Polls: AZ: Tie ; IN: Donnelly +7; MO: Tie; TN: Blackburn +9; ND: Cramer +9
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Author Topic: Fox Polls: AZ: Tie ; IN: Donnelly +7; MO: Tie; TN: Blackburn +9; ND: Cramer +9  (Read 2242 times)
reagente
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« on: October 31, 2018, 05:02:19 pm »

Senate Races:
AZ: Sinema 46% McSally 46%
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-arizona-senate-poll-10-31-2018
IN: Donnelly 45% Braun 38%
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-indiana-senate-poll-10-31-2018
MO: McCaskill 43% Hawley 43%
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-missouri-senate-poll-10-31-2018
TN: Bredesen 41% Blackburn 50%
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-tennessee-senate-poll-10-31-2018
ND: Heitkamp 42% Cramer 51%
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-north-dakota-senate-poll-10-31-2018


https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-trump-approval-remains-high-in-senate-battleground-states
« Last Edit: October 31, 2018, 05:24:59 pm by reagente »Logged
Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2018, 05:02:57 pm »

Huh, thats...um, rather anticlimactic
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2018, 05:03:13 pm »

I AM PSYCHIC.

FOX: Cramer +9

Atlas: "Told you guys Heidi was still in this. She's surging. At this rate she'll be ahead by January. Toss up/tilt D imo tbh imho"
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Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2018, 05:03:28 pm »

Donnelly lives!!!
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2018, 05:03:40 pm »

N U T at those Indiana numbers!!!

Air Claire still tied...

Bredesen and Heitkamp are done.

McSally can't lead even in a FOX poll.
« Last Edit: October 31, 2018, 05:10:00 pm by libertpaulian »Logged

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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2018, 05:04:13 pm »

Haha, remember when 2016 told us to wait for this poll for IN? Rest look about right.
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2018, 05:04:14 pm »

Maybe Nate Silver had a point rating Indiana as Likely D. Smiley
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2018, 05:09:17 pm »

I expected worse, to be honest. Iím REALLY liking the Indiana numbe in particular.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2018, 05:09:32 pm »

Anyway, this looks about right. ND/TN are safe R and AZ/MO are toss ups. IN looks a bit too gaudy for Dems though.
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2018, 05:09:39 pm »

That's a lot of undecideds.
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2018, 05:10:55 pm »

Sticking with my prediction of Dems gaining NV/AZ, Pubs gaining ND for a Dem net gain of one.
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2018, 05:11:05 pm »

Most of these numbers look believable, although I have my doubts that Donnelly is leading by that much. Glad that Hawley isn't ahead; Missouri remains a pure tossup.
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2018, 05:11:24 pm »

I'm speechless at Indiana! But I would be very surprised if Donnelly did better then Sinema.
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« Reply #13 on: October 31, 2018, 05:11:29 pm »

Sticking with my prediction of Dems gaining NV/AZ, Pubs gaining ND for a Dem net gain of one.
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« Reply #14 on: October 31, 2018, 05:12:32 pm »

all those Republicans will overperform. McSally will win by around +4, Braun will probably win by at least +2, Hawley will win by +6, Blackburn and Cramer will win by double digits.
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« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2018, 05:12:35 pm »

The only way I could maybe buy this is if the undecideds are R-leaning in MO/IN and D-leaning in AZ, because thereís no way that AZ is a Toss-up if Donnelly is leading by that much and McCaskill is tied with Hawley, and vice versa.
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Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2018, 05:12:51 pm »

Sticking with my prediction of Dems gaining NV/AZ, Pubs gaining ND for a Dem net gain of one.
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2018, 05:13:23 pm »

Sticking with my prediction of Dems gaining NV/AZ, Pubs gaining ND for a Dem net gain of one.
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« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2018, 05:13:42 pm »

Guess people were writing off McCaskill and Donnelly a little too soon (again.) MO/IN are still Toss-Ups, but Donnelly is more likely to survive than McCaskill. Heitkamp might be recovering a bit, but it's definitely too little too late. Pretty sure that if Sinema was losing ground in the polls, that's stopped by now.
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« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2018, 05:14:19 pm »

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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2018, 05:15:15 pm »

Not bad.  A D+1 result in the Senate is still very much in play.  Looking at the Trump approvals by state, Arizona seems too bullish on Trump and Indiana seems too bearish on Trump.
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« Reply #21 on: October 31, 2018, 05:15:56 pm »

The IN poll is garbage (WAY too high undecideds). The rest are not very revelatory.
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« Reply #22 on: October 31, 2018, 05:16:25 pm »

Wasn't Claire down the last Fox MO poll? If so, this is a pretty good result for her.
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« Reply #23 on: October 31, 2018, 05:16:45 pm »

McSally can't lead even in a FOX poll.

It really doesnít work like that.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #24 on: October 31, 2018, 05:16:58 pm »

Wasn't Claire down the last Fox MO poll? If so, this is a pretty good result for her.

Nah, the previous one was a tie as well.
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