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December 14, 2019, 03:41:53 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions close today at noon

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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  Fox Polls: AZ: Tie ; IN: Donnelly +7; MO: Tie; TN: Blackburn +9; ND: Cramer +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Fox Polls: AZ: Tie ; IN: Donnelly +7; MO: Tie; TN: Blackburn +9; ND: Cramer +9  (Read 3499 times)
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« on: October 31, 2018, 05:12:35 pm »

The only way I could maybe buy this is if the undecideds are R-leaning in MO/IN and D-leaning in AZ, because thereís no way that AZ is a Toss-up if Donnelly is leading by that much and McCaskill is tied with Hawley, and vice versa.
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2018, 05:16:45 pm »


It really doesnít work like that.
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2018, 05:24:31 pm »

They also polled NV: Heller +5

/s
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2018, 05:43:53 pm »

I donít see AZ voting seven points to the right of IN just because Donnelly is the incumbent, and I highly doubt that Republicans have the same chance of winning AZ as MO.
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2018, 10:47:59 pm »

Sticking with my prediction of Dems gaining NV/AZ, Pubs gaining ND for a Dem net gain of one.

If I had an option to either take that or leave it, I would so take that in a heartbeat. I am afraid McCaskill will lose. I'd say most likely at the moment is Rs pick up ND and MO, and Dems pick up NV and AZ. But Rs have a chance at AZ/MT/IN (although I think Dems are a bit favored in each of them).

I donít quite think FL is lost for Rs yet, but I pretty much agree with this. ND > MO > IN > MT > FL > AZ is how I would rank them, although the last three are debatable.
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