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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  OH Predictive Insights- McSally +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH Predictive Insights- McSally +7  (Read 1839 times)
Stranger in a strange land
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Posts: 8,267
United States

« on: November 02, 2018, 09:49:11 am »

They've only rated two of their polls, but they gave them a C+.

Given 538's track record perhaps they should be assessing 538, not the other way around.


538's number crunching is the creme de la creme of poll analysis.

I agree, though, that their punditry is mediocre.

Yes, 538 came closer to predicting a Trump victory than nearly anyone else (IIRC, their chance of a Trump victory was around 30% on election day, when nearly all the other prognosticators had the chance at less than 5%). But again, Nate's model is only as good as the polls that feed into it.
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