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  PA Franklin & Marshall: Wolf +26
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Author Topic: PA Franklin & Marshall: Wolf +26  (Read 1650 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: November 01, 2018, 07:49:06 am »

https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/499165642819184003-f-m-poll-release-october-2018-draft-1.pdf

Wolf 59
Wagner 33
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2018, 07:51:43 am »

No surprise.

Wolf has handled Pittsburgh well and there's a complete repudiation in PA of Trumpism right now.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2018, 08:12:27 am »

how are those golf spikes working for you Scott
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Badger
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2018, 08:32:46 am »

how are those golf spikes working for you Scott

It's shocking but sad that my mid-70s parents I believe both voted for this violent ass. My father, I can sadly understand. He's a 7 3 year old retired accountant whom it was one of my saddest days when I found and rand's The Fountainhead among his old books I was helping to clear out of the house. He's giving money to the Heritage Foundation forever, and I can think of only once or twice I know he's ever voted for a Democrat. But my mother? She likes Reagan and, to a lesser degree, W. I believe she was in Obama Romney Clinton voter. The Romney is the only part I'm not certain about. But the fact she could just poo poo such a vicious violent threat and still vote for the guy because she doesn't like Wolf's tax policies is... Beyond disappointing
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Bagel23
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2018, 09:16:43 am »

I'm moving this from likely D---> safe D. It's over.
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PA is Lean D
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2018, 10:42:45 am »

Oh wow, only 64% of Republicans say they support Wagner.

#WalkAway
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History505
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2018, 10:53:04 am »

I'm moving this from likely D---> safe D. It's over.
It's been over for a long time now.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2018, 11:56:11 am »

I will seriously LMAO if Wagner loses by 20+ points. It would be very interesting to see that map.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2018, 11:57:41 am »
« Edited: November 01, 2018, 12:12:14 pm by President Johnson »

Maybe Scotty's deplorable sign just helped to educate voters and they indeed want a more socialist PA.
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Jalawest2
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2018, 01:17:58 pm »

I think Wolf might break 70% in MontCo now.
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2018, 01:18:48 pm »

I think Wolf might break 70% in MontCo now.

If hes winning by anywhere near this margin, he definitely will.
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isoscelessquare
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2018, 01:32:39 pm »

I think Wolf might break 70% in MontCo now.

If hes winning by anywhere near this margin, he definitely will.

Yeah, this map may end up very similar to Rendell in 2006.
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ctherainbow
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2018, 03:14:41 pm »

I'm moving this from likely D---> safe D. It's over.

I meannnn... I'm used to you being pessimistic, Bagel, but come on.

Image Link

I think I feel safe enough calling this Wolf 60% at this point.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2018, 04:26:45 pm »

I think Wolf might break 70% in MontCo now.

As a Montco-er, that would be amazing. Hillary almost hit 60%, so I think 70% is definitely possible for Wolf
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PA is Lean D
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2018, 04:32:40 pm »

Oh how I would LOVE to see Westmoreland go blue again Sad
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Badger
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2018, 04:52:06 pm »
« Edited: November 01, 2018, 04:56:20 pm by Badger »

Oh how I would LOVE to see Westmoreland go blue again Sad

Won't happen. Wagner will still win their I'm afraid. However, I expect a bunch of other Southwest PA counties outside Allegheny flip. That being all the adjacent counties except Butler in Westmoreland, and possibly Fayette as well

EDIT: oh yeah, Mercer and Lawrence as well for sure.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2018, 04:59:09 pm »

I think Wolf might break 70% in MontCo now.

As a Montco-er, that would be amazing. Hillary almost hit 60%, so I think 70% is definitely possible for Wolf

Moreover, it looks like Wolf might get past the 60% mark in the statewide vote. That would be a repeat of 2006, when Ed Rendell got over 60% of the vote.
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Suburban Cincinnati Soccer Moms for Beshear
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« Reply #17 on: November 01, 2018, 05:36:27 pm »

How will the county map look like with that insane margin?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #18 on: November 01, 2018, 05:37:45 pm »

Its very possible that Wolf breaks 90-92% in Philly.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #19 on: November 01, 2018, 06:54:53 pm »

I wonder how the Alabama between Pittsburgh and Philly will look.
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Jalawest2
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« Reply #20 on: November 01, 2018, 06:56:48 pm »
« Edited: November 01, 2018, 08:30:57 pm by Jalaketu West »

How will the county map look like with that insane margin?
Image Link
This is Wolf's ceiling, I'd guess. Downshift margins a few points and you'd get the map.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2018, 07:54:28 pm »

How will the county map look like with that insane margin?
[img]https://preview.ibb.co/ccX650/2018-PA-GOV-1.png[/img
This is Wolf's ceiling, I'd guess. Downshift margins a few points and you'd get the map.


That's still pretty damn glorious.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #22 on: November 01, 2018, 09:33:35 pm »

Oh how I would LOVE to see Westmoreland go blue again Sad

Westmoreland is gone no matter what. Even Saccone and Corbett of all people landslided by double digits there.
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RoboWop
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« Reply #23 on: November 01, 2018, 09:35:36 pm »

You really think Wolf can win Union?
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PA is Lean D
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« Reply #24 on: November 01, 2018, 10:24:34 pm »

Of course this poll hasn't been entered in yet but the junk one showing Stefanowski winning in CT is Roll Eyes
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