PA Franklin & Marshall: Wolf +26

[IceSpear]

Of course this poll hasn't been entered in yet but the junk one showing Stefanowski winning in CT is

Uh, I entered it in hours ago.

[Strong Candidate]

Of course this poll hasn't been entered in yet but the junk one showing Stefanowski winning in CT is

Well, this poll is junk too, with its sample size of only 214 likely voters.

[ctherainbow]

Call me biased because I live in NEPA, but knowing PA demographics pretty well off the top of my head, I have a hard time believing that Elk and Cameron counties would flip before Susquehanna, Snyder, or Lycoming.   

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Oh how I would LOVE to see Westmoreland go blue again

Westmoreland is gone no matter what. Even Saccone and Corbett of all people landslided by double digits there.

Corbett won it by 15 while losing by 10. Given an even swing, it'd be very close, and given that Corbett also had ties to the area, it probably goes D.

[IceSpear]

Oh how I would LOVE to see Westmoreland go blue again

Westmoreland is gone no matter what. Even Saccone and Corbett of all people landslided by double digits there.

Corbett won it by 15 while losing by 10. Given an even swing, it'd be very close, and given that Corbett also had ties to the area, it probably goes D.

Uniform swing doesn't exist though. Besides, I'm skeptical Wolf can actually win by 26.

[Comrade Funk]

It's somewhat amusing the only statewide race ads I've seen are from New Jersey.

[cg41386]

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Haven’t one or both voted Dem in the recent past? And aren’t they sparsely populated to begin with?

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Bottom really falling out for the Republicans in this state. Would be great if Wagner drags Perry and Kelly down with him.

[ctherainbow]

Haven’t one or both voted Dem in the recent past? And aren’t they sparsely populated to begin with?

Elk voted Obama in '08, then Romney in '12, so Elk I could see flipping first.  That's my bad; NWPA is the quarter of the state I've researched the least.  Cameron is much more Republican, though, on par with Lycoming and Susquehanna Counties when it comes to the past few presidential elections, so I would think they would flip together.  We'll have to see.  The way things are looking, Wolf might even convince some Potter and Juniata County residents to vote for him.