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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  IA Emerson: Reynolds +4
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Author Topic: IA Emerson: Reynolds +4  (Read 1200 times)
Scottholes 2.0
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« on: November 02, 2018, 09:36:07 am »
« edited: November 02, 2018, 09:43:49 am by BlueFlapjack »



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Councilor Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2018, 09:39:43 am »

>>>>>>>>>>>>>Emerson
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IA less likely to flip than OH/TX/FL/GA/NC/AZ
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2018, 09:39:45 am »

>Emerson, but this is believable. Not buying that this race is Lean D.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2018, 09:42:05 am »

I don't really follow polling, so I don't know which pollsters Atlas people worship as gold standards and which ones they completely disregard, but I predict Reynolds will win by 3%.
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DaWN
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2018, 09:42:57 am »

>Emerson, but this is believable. Not buying that this race is Lean D.

Completely agree. Never quite understood why so many are acting like this is guaranteed to flip.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2018, 09:44:33 am »

I'm still waiting for a last minute Selzer poll.
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TX more competitive than OH
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2018, 09:44:47 am »

>Emerson, but this is believable. Not buying that this race is Lean D.

Completely agree. Never quite understood why so many are acting like this is guaranteed to flip.

Good thing no one is doing that then
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SirWoodbury
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2018, 09:45:00 am »

Iowa is Trump country.
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Councilor Zaybay
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2018, 09:45:40 am »

>Emerson, but this is believable. Not buying that this race is Lean D.

Completely agree. Never quite understood why so many are acting like this is guaranteed to flip.

Good thing no one is doing that then
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2018, 09:46:12 am »

Interesting considering Inside Elections (the most cautious of the prognosticators) moved this to Tilt-D yesterday.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2018, 09:49:34 am »

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Stephen Curry is Awesome
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2018, 09:50:03 am »

Reynolds will win
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2018, 09:52:44 am »

It is what it is, I guess.
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DaWN
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2018, 09:53:38 am »

>Emerson, but this is believable. Not buying that this race is Lean D.

Completely agree. Never quite understood why so many are acting like this is guaranteed to flip.

Good thing no one is doing that then

Maybe guaranteed was a strong word, but I've seen people both on this forum and out on Twitter etc. being quite confident this will flip. Hubbell could certainly win, but compared to say, Walker for instance, Reynolds is a relatively inoffensive incumbent in a more Republican state. I could be completely wrong of course and he'll win easily, but I don't think saying Hubbell is favoured is a wise prediction.
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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2018, 12:16:18 pm »

Always said Lean R.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2018, 01:19:48 pm »

I'm still waiting for a last minute Selzer poll.

Yeah, same. They usually release their polls on Sunday I think. Whatever they say is what my prediction for this race will be, lol.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2018, 01:20:26 pm »

I'm still waiting for a last minute Selzer poll.

Yeah, same. They usually release their polls on Sunday I think. Whatever they say is what my prediction for this race will be, lol.

Saturday night, in the Sunday morning paper.
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RFayette
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2018, 01:21:43 pm »

Poll doesn't mean much.  I'd say this is a tossup, like always
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The Unbearable Inevitability of Nevada going Democratic
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2018, 03:31:39 pm »

Hopefully Selzer polls this again, but Toss-Up.
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indietraveler
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2018, 05:43:52 pm »

DMR poll will be released online tomorrow at 6pm.

Whether Reynolds wins or not I always assumed she would easily out pace GOP house candidates in IA-1 and 3.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2018, 01:13:59 am »

The Governor landscape could be a real bloodbath for the Republicans ...

But the Democrats need a really lucky Tuesday as well to flip all the close races in their favour.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #21 on: December 13, 2018, 03:00:36 pm »

I don't like to say it, but Memerson was the gold standard here. Sad!
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