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Author Topic: NH-GOV Change Research (NHDP internal): Sununu (R-inc) 47, Kelly (D) 46  (Read 1088 times)
Mondale
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« on: November 02, 2018, 09:20:12 pm »

Quote
New Hampshire Primary Source on Friday night obtained a poll conducted Oct. 27-29 by Democratic pollster Change Research that showed Republican Gov. Chris Sununu leading Kelly by a single percentage point, 47 percent to 46 percent. The poll was conducted for the New Hampshire Democratic Party.

https://www.wmur.com/article/nh-primary-source-democratic-poll-claims-dead-heat-in-governors-race-as-rga-ups-its-anti-kelly-buy/24576396
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2018, 09:24:04 pm »

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This thread went completely off the rails. Exactly as Griffin would have wanted.
libertpaulian
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2018, 09:25:02 pm »

Sununu up in a Dem internal?!  LOL.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2018, 09:29:23 pm »

The real interesting part in that article:

Quote
And the Republican Governors Association is apparently concerned enough to have sharply increased its already big buy for a television ad attacking Democrat Molly Kelly.

Huh? But Atlas told me that Sununu was guaranteed to win by 25+ points because of muh April polls, and clearly me and MT Treasurer were delusional for insisting it would tighten...I guess the RGA is just making a big buy because they really love Sununununu and want to make sure he wins by 30 rather than 25. Smiley
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2018, 09:33:31 pm »

The real interesting part in that article:

Quote
And the Republican Governors Association is apparently concerned enough to have sharply increased its already big buy for a television ad attacking Democrat Molly Kelly.

Huh? But Atlas told me that Sununu was guaranteed to win by 25+ points because of muh April polls, and clearly me and MT Treasurer were delusional for insisting it would tighten...I guess the RGA is just making a big buy because they really love Sununununu and want to make sure he wins by 30 rather than 25. Smiley
Do you enjoy making strawmen up in your head?
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Pericles
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2018, 09:34:41 pm »

Looks like Sununu will win, I don't care if it's by 5 points or 15 points.
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Bennet or Bust
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2018, 09:37:07 pm »

Sorry, but the Tipton poll from earlier this week shows that Change Research is garbage.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2018, 09:38:12 pm »

The real interesting part in that article:

Quote
And the Republican Governors Association is apparently concerned enough to have sharply increased its already big buy for a television ad attacking Democrat Molly Kelly.

Huh? But Atlas told me that Sununu was guaranteed to win by 25+ points because of muh April polls, and clearly me and MT Treasurer were delusional for insisting it would tighten...I guess the RGA is just making a big buy because they really love Sununununu and want to make sure he wins by 30 rather than 25. Smiley
Do you enjoy making strawmen up in your head?

LOL, read this thread again and tell me it's a strawman.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=290435.0

And I'm pretty sure you mocked the idea of Molly Kelly winning yourself. But even if it was a strawman, it's still a lot more realistic than your new username. Wink
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2018, 09:40:57 pm »

It's a Change Research poll, so the MOE is +10000000.
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2018, 09:58:20 pm »

The real interesting part in that article:

Quote
And the Republican Governors Association is apparently concerned enough to have sharply increased its already big buy for a television ad attacking Democrat Molly Kelly.

Huh? But Atlas told me that Sununu was guaranteed to win by 25+ points because of muh April polls, and clearly me and MT Treasurer were delusional for insisting it would tighten...I guess the RGA is just making a big buy because they really love Sununununu and want to make sure he wins by 30 rather than 25. Smiley
Do you enjoy making strawmen up in your head?

LOL, read this thread again and tell me it's a strawman.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=290435.0

And I'm pretty sure you mocked the idea of Molly Kelly winning yourself. But even if it was a strawman, it's still a lot more realistic than your new username. Wink
WRONG, Heitkamp will win. And I mocked tn Vols insistence that NH will always go dem Tongue
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2018, 10:47:45 pm »

Candidates who trail in their own internals almost always lose. That being said, NH does have a strong pro woman bias in general elections
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2018, 11:40:27 pm »

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The Democratic poll showed Kelly with a 56 percent to 38 percent advantage among women, who are projected by the pollster to be 52 percent of the electorate, while Sununu held a 58 percent to 35 percent advantage among men.

lol
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2018, 11:46:10 pm »

LOL, RIP libertpaulian and Politician! Turns out Granite Staters will choose the White woman with the (D) next to her name over the male member of the hate group (R). Who would have thought? NH elections are so predictable.
« Last Edit: November 04, 2018, 09:38:50 pm by Brittain33 »Logged

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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2018, 11:48:56 pm »

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The Democratic poll showed Kelly with a 56 percent to 38 percent advantage among women, who are projected by the pollster to be 52 percent of the electorate, while Sununu held a 58 percent to 35 percent advantage among men.

lol

Yeah, and Sununu isnít winning New Hampshire males by 23 points. Stick a fork in him, heís done.

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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2018, 11:53:12 pm »

I don't know if its a tied race.

But I do think Sununu is vulnerable.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2018, 11:58:54 pm »

LOL, RIP libertpaulian and Politician! Turns out Granite Staters will choose the White woman with the (D) next to her name over the male member of the anti-women hate group (R). Who would have thought? NH elections are so predictable.
Hahahahahahahaha.

If being down one point is the best that a Democrat's OWN INTERNAL can show, stick a fork in Kelly.  She's done.

Sununu wins by 4-6%.  You heard it here first, ladies and germs.
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« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2018, 12:01:07 am »

Well, Sununu does seem to have this weird desire for executions in NH. At least this one will not be of a human, but rather a political career.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2018, 12:03:11 am »

Sununu wins by 4-6%.  You heard it here first, ladies and germs.

Definitely not. I've been saying that for like a year even while all you guys were still expecting a massive Sununu landslide, lol.
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Mondale
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« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2018, 12:08:09 am »

Well, Sununu does seem to have this weird desire for executions in NH. At least this one will not be of a human, but rather a political career.

Dont cry for Sununununu....hes already dead
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olowakandi
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« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2018, 01:32:22 am »

Gov elect Kelly
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Mumph
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« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2018, 01:59:10 am »

>Dem internal
>Change research

Yeah, it's Safe R
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Holmes
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« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2018, 02:20:32 am »

Safe R -> Safe D
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Ebsy
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« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2018, 02:26:24 am »

Not saying it will happen, but it could.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2018, 02:13:02 pm »

NH Gov, now is a tossup, as it was in 2016, with Van Ostern😄
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Snek!
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« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2018, 04:02:35 pm »

It's always been Likely R.
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