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August 24, 2019, 09:21:03 pm
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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  IA Des Moines Register: Hubbell +2
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Author Topic: IA Des Moines Register: Hubbell +2  (Read 2485 times)
yeah_93
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« Reply #25 on: November 04, 2018, 04:45:26 am »

Tossup, but I have a hard time seeing Reynolds winning if like every GOP Representative is in danger of losing.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #26 on: November 04, 2018, 04:48:21 am »

This is bad for Trump, Iowa is the lone holdout state, that can help him achieve reelection, that is gone now, as well as WI.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #27 on: November 04, 2018, 06:07:09 am »

Toss-up, but I think Hubell will win by around three to five points.
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SirWoodbury
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« Reply #28 on: November 04, 2018, 06:20:33 am »

Tilt R
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Bagel23
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« Reply #29 on: November 04, 2018, 03:17:43 pm »
« Edited: November 04, 2018, 09:34:28 pm by Brittain33 »

I believe this race is Strong Lean R
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #30 on: November 04, 2018, 03:18:46 pm »


How can you look at a Selzer poll showing Hubbell ahead by 2 and say "Strong Lean R"?

(looks at username)

Nevermind.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #31 on: November 04, 2018, 07:31:47 pm »

I mean, Iowa is still a swing-y state, especially in wave elections. Remember when Chet Culver lost by 10 in 2010? I have little doubt that Republicans are going to win this (and IA-01/IA-03) back in 2022.

If it's a Democratic midterm, sure, but if Trump is still president, there's a good chance Democrats hold all of those races.
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Silurian
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« Reply #32 on: November 04, 2018, 08:58:03 pm »

I mean, Iowa is still a swing-y state, especially in wave elections. Remember when Chet Culver lost by 10 in 2010? I have little doubt that Republicans are going to win this (and IA-01/IA-03) back in 2022.

If it's a Democratic midterm, sure, but if Trump is still president, there's a good chance Democrats hold all of those races.

I don't know who or when, but eventually we're going to get another president that doesn't instantly piss more than half the country off, and we'll get a more neutral midterm that isn't particularly exciting. What I do know is that the generation(s) largely driving this toxic political environment are dying off and the 2020s is exactly the time where they will be marginalized for the first time since they moved beyond where Millennials are now.

Point being that I think it's a uniquely bad time to try and forecast midterms 4 or more years from now, potentially under an administration from the current opposition. The only instance where I think it would be more than appropriate is under a 2nd-term Trump, given who we know the man to be (and how set in his volatile ways he is), the nature of his presidency and the tendency for 6-year itches to be rather brutal, even for presidents who were actually somewhat popular during their first term.
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jrk26
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« Reply #33 on: November 04, 2018, 09:10:47 pm »


How can you look at a Selzer poll showing Hubbell ahead by 2 and say "Strong Lean R"?

(looks at username)

Nevermind.

He suffers from a disease known as idiocy.
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Storr
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« Reply #34 on: November 04, 2018, 09:12:38 pm »


How can you look at a Selzer poll showing Hubbell ahead by 2 and say "Strong Lean R"?

(looks at username)

Nevermind.

Remember, he isn't even old enough to vote.
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Kodak
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« Reply #35 on: November 04, 2018, 09:17:51 pm »

So much for Iowa becoming a permanent red state as the GOP marches up the Mississippi River.

There's a small chance the Democrats will control all but one of the Mississippi River governorships by 2021, creating the reverse of the last 2 years.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #36 on: November 04, 2018, 09:31:00 pm »

I mean, Iowa is still a swing-y state, especially in wave elections. Remember when Chet Culver lost by 10 in 2010? I have little doubt that Republicans are going to win this (and IA-01/IA-03) back in 2022.

If it's a Democratic midterm, sure, but if Trump is still president, there's a good chance Democrats hold all of those races.

Oh of course, but I donít think Trump will be president in 2022 if Republicans lose all of those races this year.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #37 on: November 04, 2018, 09:42:35 pm »

I mean, Iowa is still a swing-y state, especially in wave elections. Remember when Chet Culver lost by 10 in 2010? I have little doubt that Republicans are going to win this (and IA-01/IA-03) back in 2022.

If it's a Democratic midterm, sure, but if Trump is still president, there's a good chance Democrats hold all of those races.

Oh of course, but I donít think Trump will be president in 2022 if Republicans lose all of those races this year.
Just like how Obama wasn't going to be President anymore because the GOP swept the governor races, US House, and state legislative races in 2010...
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Bagel23
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« Reply #38 on: December 17, 2018, 09:59:09 am »


How can you look at a Selzer poll showing Hubbell ahead by 2 and say "Strong Lean R"?

(looks at username)

Nevermind.


How can you look at a Selzer poll showing Hubbell ahead by 2 and say "Strong Lean R"?

(looks at username)

Nevermind.

He suffers from a disease known as idiocy.


How can you look at a Selzer poll showing Hubbell ahead by 2 and say "Strong Lean R"?

(looks at username)

Nevermind.

Remember, he isn't even old enough to vote.

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