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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  NM-ABQ Journal/Research & Polling Inc.: Final poll has MLG (D) ahead by 10
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Author Topic: NM-ABQ Journal/Research & Polling Inc.: Final poll has MLG (D) ahead by 10  (Read 677 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: November 04, 2018, 02:33:04 am »

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Quote
The Journal Poll is based on a scientific, statewide sample of 993 likely general election voters, including new registered voters who said they were very likely to vote in this year’s election.

The poll was conducted from Oct. 26 through Nov. 1. The voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. The margin of error grows for subsamples.

All interviews were conducted by live, professional interviewers, with multiple callbacks to households that did not initially answer the phone.

Both cellphone numbers (71 percent) and landlines (29 percent) of proven general election voters were used.

https://www.abqjournal.com/1241676/poll-lujan-grisham-has-sizable-lead-over-pearce.html
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AudmanOut
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2018, 02:35:55 am »

Why are they polling this race?

Safe D
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yeah_93
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2018, 04:43:03 am »

Yeah, why would the Albuquerque Jorunal poll Albuquerque's State?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2018, 01:37:05 pm »

Dominating! Pearce should really stop trying to run statewide, lol.
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Mondale
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2018, 01:38:45 pm »

Another tremendous trifecta!
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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2018, 03:18:53 pm »

Weak Lean D.
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Politician
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2018, 03:19:15 pm »

Weak Lean D.
lol
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IA less likely to flip than OH/TX/FL/GA/NC/AZ
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2018, 04:12:33 pm »

I was always wary of taking Steve Pearce's internals at face value. Time for a ratings change, I guess:

Steve Pearce: Strong Candidate™ -> Weak Candidate™
Michelle Lujan-Grisham: Weak Candidate™ -> Strong Candidate™
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2018, 04:14:00 pm »

Were people ever seriously considering MLG a weak candidate and Steve Pearce a strong one? I can't recall anyone doing that. Not that I would be surprised because this IS Atlas we're talking about.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2018, 04:18:50 pm »

I was always wary of taking Steve Pearce's internals at face value. Time for a ratings change, I guess:

Steve Pearce: Strong Candidate™ -> Weak Candidate™
Michelle Lujan-Grisham: Weak Candidate™ -> Strong Candidate™

LOL, bold. Personally I only feel comfortable moving Steve Pearce from Strong Strong Candidate™ to Lean Tilt Weak Candidate™ at the moment, but ask me after Tuesday. Smiley
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2018, 04:24:10 pm »

Were people ever seriously considering MLG a weak candidate and Steve Pearce a strong one? I can't recall anyone doing that. Not that I would be surprised because this IS Atlas we're talking about.

Yes, people were unironically saying this stuff due to Steve Pearce's internal polls from 18 months before the election. Classic Atlas, LOL.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=265558.0
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=289916.0

Of course there were a few voices of reason, like MT Treasurer and Mizzouian. What a "coincidence." Tongue
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2018, 04:24:17 pm »

Were people ever seriously considering MLG a weak candidate and Steve Pearce a strong one? I can't recall anyone doing that. Not that I would be surprised because this IS Atlas we're talking about.

Yes, people were unironically saying this stuff due to Steve Pearce's internal polls from 18 months before the election. Classic Atlas, LOL.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=265558.0
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=289916.0

Of course there were a few voices of reason, like MT Treasurer and Mizzouian. What a "coincidence." Tongue

LMAO.

I find it amazing that LimoLiberal was one of the most reasonable people on those threads. Predictably, it was UncleSam making a bad take:
This’ll be way closer than it should be, and in a neutral environment Pearce would win. Won’t be a neutral environment though. Ds should take this.

Lol, the only evidence for this claim is an internal poll by the R that shows him losing. Has the RGA or DGA reserved airtime? GTFO with this "way closer than it should be"
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2018, 04:34:04 pm »

Were people ever seriously considering MLG a weak candidate and Steve Pearce a strong one? I can't recall anyone doing that. Not that I would be surprised because this IS Atlas we're talking about.

Yes, people were unironically saying this stuff due to Steve Pearce's internal polls from 18 months before the election. Classic Atlas, LOL.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=265558.0
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=289916.0

Of course there were a few voices of reason, like MT Treasurer and Mizzouian. What a "coincidence." Tongue

LMAO.

I find it amazing that LimoLiberal was one of the most reasonable people on those threads. Predictably, it was UncleSam making a bad take:
This’ll be way closer than it should be, and in a neutral environment Pearce would win. Won’t be a neutral environment though. Ds should take this.

Lol, the only evidence for this claim is an internal poll by the R that shows him losing. Has the RGA or DGA reserved airtime? GTFO with this "way closer than it should be"

I think that was when LimoLiberal was on thin ice and about to be banned so he stopped the concern trolling for a while. Because he also joined the "Pearce will win" brigade later when he felt more secure.

But yeah, it's funny how people always accuse me of "strawmanning" when I laugh at sh*t Atlas says like this, then they of course run away from the thread when I link to the proof (COUGH BRTD.)
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Wolverine22
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2018, 05:53:36 pm »

MLG is the right governor at the right time. Hopefully now that we have the trifecta, the Democrats can draw themselves veto-proof majorities in the legislature and three vertical Safe D House seats after 2020.
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