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| | |-+  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | | |-+  OK-Sooner Poll: Stitt +3
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Author Topic: OK-Sooner Poll: Stitt +3  (Read 633 times)
Fremont Speaker ON Progressive
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« on: November 04, 2018, 06:48:49 pm »

Kevin Stitt (R) 47 (+1 from last poll)
Drew Edmondson (D) 44 (+2 from last poll)

https://soonerpoll.com/final-poll-before-election-day-shows-republican-kevin-stitt-with-three-point-lead/
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WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 6
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kevin Abel
26,735   53.9%   

Lucy McBath
22,883   46.1   
49,618 votes, 89% reporting (184 of 207 precincts)

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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2018, 06:54:58 pm »

I'm still saying Stitt wins, but it's clear this will be close.
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WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 6
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kevin Abel
26,735   53.9%   

Lucy McBath
22,883   46.1   
49,618 votes, 89% reporting (184 of 207 precincts)

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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2018, 06:57:24 pm »

interesting
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Polarized Elastic Libertarian MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2018, 07:12:37 pm »

IceSpear and Mizzouian told me this was Safe R even in a Democratic tidal wave, though.
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2018, 08:11:56 pm »

IceSpear and Mizzouian told me this was Safe R even in a Democratic tidal wave, though.

Because it is. Stitt is ahead by 5 in the average and hasn't trailed in a poll since August. Good luck hoping for a massive Demoncrat poll overperformance in Oklahoma of all places, lol.
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2018, 08:51:33 pm »

IceSpear and Mizzouian told me this was Safe R even in a Democratic tidal wave, though.

Because it is. Stitt is ahead by 5 in the average and hasn't trailed in a poll since August. Good luck hoping for a massive Demoncrat poll overperformance in Oklahoma of all places, lol.
You do you but I'm still predicting an upset. Edmondson will burbstomp enough that it overcomes the Dictatotrial like margins in rural OK
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2018, 01:40:11 am »

#StittUnder50

That said, still have this as Lean R and all the way down the line as the 31st Dem governor seat in the event of a tsunami.
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2018, 01:41:52 am »

I still have a hard time seeing Edmonson pull this off, but I guess I'll move this to Lean R.
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2018, 01:44:10 am »

I still have a hard time seeing Edmonson pull this off, but I guess I'll move this to Lean R.

Perhaps these OK early vote numbers can help make sense of whether or not Edmonson can pull it off

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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2018, 01:54:46 am »

IceSpear and Mizzouian told me this was Safe R even in a Democratic tidal wave, though.

Because it is. Stitt is ahead by 5 in the average and hasn't trailed in a poll since August. Good luck hoping for a massive Demoncrat poll overperformance in Oklahoma of all places, lol.

Itís not like Oklahoma hasnít elected a Democrat to the governors mansion as recently as 2006 or anything.
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2018, 02:00:42 am »

And gubernatorial races are far less partisan than Senate races anyway (think of MA, MD, VT, LA, and now SD, OK, KS, etc. etc. etc.).
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2018, 02:11:17 am »

IceSpear and Mizzouian told me this was Safe R even in a Democratic tidal wave, though.

Because it is. Stitt is ahead by 5 in the average and hasn't trailed in a poll since August. Good luck hoping for a massive Demoncrat poll overperformance in Oklahoma of all places, lol.

Itís not like Oklahoma hasnít elected a Democrat to the governors mansion as recently as 2006 or anything.

The Democrat that was leading by a landslide in every poll? And who only won in 2002 with 43% of the vote due to a right wing vote split to begin with?

Yes, if Edmondson was leading by 30-40 points in every poll and/or there was a right wing third party candidate getting double digit support I would concede he could win. Neither of these things are true. He's trailing in every poll.
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2018, 03:02:16 am »

He's trailing in every poll.

TBF, it's not like we have a ton of Oklahoma polls. Only this local outfit has polled the race during the last month or so.
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« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2018, 04:46:14 am »

IceSpear and Mizzouian told me this was Safe R even in a Democratic tidal wave, though.

Because it is. Stitt is ahead by 5 in the average and hasn't trailed in a poll since August. Good luck hoping for a massive Demoncrat poll overperformance in Oklahoma of all places, lol.

Itís not like Oklahoma hasnít elected a Democrat to the governors mansion as recently as 2006 or anything.

But just consider how hyper-partisan $hit has gotten since then, even at the gubernatorial level.
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2018, 11:44:49 am »

IceSpear and Mizzouian told me this was Safe R even in a Democratic tidal wave, though.

Because it is. Stitt is ahead by 5 in the average and hasn't trailed in a poll since August. Good luck hoping for a massive Demoncrat poll overperformance in Oklahoma of all places, lol.

Itís not like Oklahoma hasnít elected a Democrat to the governors mansion as recently as 2006 or anything.

But just consider how hyper-partisan $hit has gotten since then, even at the gubernatorial level.

How much of it was only due to the fact Obama was in the Oval Office? Considering this is first mid-term since then in which Obama is no longer president, itís ridiculous to call this Safe R, with Falin at a 17% approval.
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« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2018, 11:47:42 am »

Pretty pathetic for a Republican in Oklahoma, regardless of final result.
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« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2018, 03:32:11 pm »

JUNK POLL!

I tried to tell you guys this was safe R, I really did. Okies will never elect a Demoncrat under any circumstances EVER!

IceSpear and Mizzouian told me this was Safe R even in a Democratic tidal wave, though.

Indeed, we did. And it was.
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« Reply #17 on: November 08, 2018, 01:22:36 am »

So, was SD, Dem poll had Sutton winning
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