NH-UNH: Tied race (user search)
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  NH-UNH: Tied race (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-UNH: Tied race  (Read 10273 times)
free my dawg
SawxDem
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« on: November 04, 2018, 11:21:55 PM »

Oh my god.

This can't be real. I mean it's UNH, but usually they're dead-on on the last poll of the race.

I can't believe this is happening.
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2018, 11:35:15 PM »

Isn't the same pollster that had Van Ostern up by double digits at this time in 2016?

Ostern +11

Squinting

Governor (since 2012):
Hassan +4 (+4)
Hassan +9 (+12)

Senate (since 2012):
Shaheen +2 (+3)
Hassan +4 (0)

It's actually happening
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2018, 02:24:47 PM »

Oh yes, I forgot:

2010: Lynch +9 (Lynch +8)
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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Posts: 14,144
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2018, 07:35:13 PM »

Dems oversampled, but his deficit among women voters is quite large...

I honestly don't know how to read this one. Part of me thinks he wins -- narrowly but I can also see her squeaking by.

Party ID and registration are two dramatically different things. Registration is still largely independent, and it's only natural some of those indies "magically" identify with wherever the winds of change blow.
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