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December 11, 2018, 05:27:48 pm
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| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections
| | |-+  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | | |-+  Emerson: Gillum +5 (FL)/Sisolak +1 (NV)/Noem +1 (SD)/Ducey +15 (AZ)
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Author Topic: Emerson: Gillum +5 (FL)/Sisolak +1 (NV)/Noem +1 (SD)/Ducey +15 (AZ)  (Read 543 times)
Fremont Speaker ON Progressive
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Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

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« on: November 05, 2018, 10:53:36 am »

FL:
Andrew Gillum (D) 51
Ron DeSantis (R) 46

NV:
Steve Sisolak (D) 48
Adam Laxalt (R) 47

SD:
Kristi Noem (R) 48
Billie Sutton (D) 47

AZ:
Doug Ducey (R-inc) 55
David Garcia (D) 40

https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/final-emerson-battleground-polls-finds-democratic-momentum-florida-nevada-south-dakota-arizona-republicans-poised-take-missouri-0#.W-BeKmlOk0M
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WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 6
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kevin Abel
26,735   53.9%   

Lucy McBath
22,883   46.1   
49,618 votes, 89% reporting (184 of 207 precincts)

New Frontier
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E: -5.42, S: -1.22

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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2018, 11:55:57 am »

These polls sound about right.
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Make Congress Blue Again #BlueWave2018
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2018, 12:38:54 pm »

Going to be real sad if Sutton loses by like <= 2 points Sad
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2018, 01:28:59 pm »

These polls sound about right.

Hate to say that about Emerson, but yeah. Maybe slightly increase Sisolak’s margin.
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Beto 2020
❤️ Jacinda Ardern ❤️      E: -3.48 S: -7.48
Polarized Elastic Libertarian MT Treasurer
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2018, 01:33:20 pm »

Sisolak will definitely win by more than 1 if Gillum wins FL by 5, lol.
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Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech

Remember when MT Treasurer spent months and months telling us all that Heitkamp is favored and will easily win because of retail politics (TM).

Sorry to say MT Treasurer, but you aren't as intelligent as you think. You can write a lot of posts but that doesn't mean what you say will come
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2018, 02:06:55 pm »

Title is incorrect, SD poll has Sutton up 1.
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Recovered professional pollster and analyst. Returning from sabbatical in 2019.
Fremont Speaker ON Progressive
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Political Matrix
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2018, 02:08:23 pm »

Title is incorrect, SD poll has Sutton up 1.

I'm pretty sure it's correct:
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WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House District 6
Democratic Primary Runoff

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kevin Abel
26,735   53.9%   

Lucy McBath
22,883   46.1   
49,618 votes, 89% reporting (184 of 207 precincts)

Pollster
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2018, 02:12:48 pm »

Odd, they tweeted the same graph but with Sutton leading. The tweet now appears to be deleted.
« Last Edit: November 05, 2018, 02:16:56 pm by Pollster »Logged

Recovered professional pollster and analyst. Returning from sabbatical in 2019.
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E: -6.71, S: -7.65

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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2018, 07:08:21 pm »

Even if Noem does win, her likely winning by such a measly margin basically enshrines South Dakota as the better one since this will simultaneously happen with Heitkamp losing.
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« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2018, 07:51:39 am »

At least most of the undecideds have been brushed out.
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