Change Research: Stabenow + 2/ Espy + 12/Wicker + 8/Klobuchar + 15/ Smith + 9
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  Change Research: Stabenow + 2/ Espy + 12/Wicker + 8/Klobuchar + 15/ Smith + 9
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Author Topic: Change Research: Stabenow + 2/ Espy + 12/Wicker + 8/Klobuchar + 15/ Smith + 9  (Read 4874 times)
Pollster
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« Reply #25 on: November 05, 2018, 07:53:15 PM »

I am absolutely convinced Change Research is a fake pollster. The sheer number of polls they're putting out is immediately suspicious, since these each would be quite expensive to conduct were they real and they're putting out fifteen or more a week without a client sponsoring them. They've also missed races by huge margins abnormally often. It's statistically unlikely for them to have had huge misses this often were they a real polling outfit.

Their methodology, while imperfect, is incredibly inexpensive and has a fast response rate.
I understand that much of their statistical programming process is automated as well, which explains their fast turnaround.

They are attempting to do something that, by every measure, is new to the field.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #26 on: November 05, 2018, 07:58:43 PM »

I'd really like to see the world where Wicker wins by only 8 and Stabenow wins by only 2 simultaneously. I'm sure it would be quite an interesting place.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #27 on: November 05, 2018, 08:00:53 PM »

I am absolutely convinced Change Research is a fake pollster. The sheer number of polls they're putting out is immediately suspicious, since these each would be quite expensive to conduct were they real and they're putting out fifteen or more a week without a client sponsoring them. They've also missed races by huge margins abnormally often. It's statistically unlikely for them to have had huge misses this often were they a real polling outfit.

It wouldn't surprise me. They do give me an Overtime Politics vibe.

Hopefully when they become discredited tomorrow people will stop peddling their garbage here.
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SN2903
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« Reply #28 on: November 05, 2018, 08:28:48 PM »

John James will win! Great poll!
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #29 on: November 05, 2018, 08:31:05 PM »


Never change krazey.
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henster
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« Reply #30 on: November 05, 2018, 08:39:40 PM »

Dems are spending in MN and NJ but haven't spent a dime in Michigan. Stabenow hasn't run a single negative ad against James.
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SN2903
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« Reply #31 on: November 05, 2018, 08:50:43 PM »

Dems are spending in MN and NJ but haven't spent a dime in Michigan. Stabenow hasn't run a single negative ad against James.
Which is a mistake. Hillary started campaigning in MI in the last week and it was too late by then. It's also going to rain here in Michigan tomorrow in the morning which could hurt turnout in urban areas helping James.
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America Needs R'hllor
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« Reply #32 on: November 06, 2018, 12:29:25 AM »

This firm is getting annoying as hell. They make absolutely no effort but crank out dozens of wild polls, which means that the averages are full of these polls. They should seriously stop flooding us with this garbage.
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Skunk
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« Reply #33 on: November 06, 2018, 01:06:13 AM »

Dems are spending in MN and NJ but haven't spent a dime in Michigan. Stabenow hasn't run a single negative ad against James.
Which is a mistake. Hillary started campaigning in MI in the last week and it was too late by then. It's also going to rain here in Michigan tomorrow in the morning which could hurt turnout in urban areas helping James.
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jfern
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« Reply #34 on: November 06, 2018, 01:44:41 AM »

This firm is getting annoying as hell. They make absolutely no effort but crank out dozens of wild polls, which means that the averages are full of these polls. They should seriously stop flooding us with this garbage.

Clearly they should have created careful herding results so that everyone is sure exactly how the races will end up until it turns out that the actual election didn't herd.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #35 on: November 06, 2018, 01:47:14 AM »

Dems are spending in MN and NJ but haven't spent a dime in Michigan. Stabenow hasn't run a single negative ad against James.
Which is a mistake. Hillary started campaigning in MI in the last week and it was too late by then. It's also going to rain here in Michigan tomorrow in the morning which could hurt turnout in urban areas helping James.
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At least we will get a new meme out of it
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IceSpear
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« Reply #36 on: November 11, 2018, 06:27:25 PM »

Can we stop posting these "polls" here now?
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #37 on: November 27, 2018, 04:49:45 PM »

Same firm that has Hyde-Smith only +5 over Espy for today's runoff. We'll find out in a few hours how accurate that was.
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