Change Research: Stabenow + 2/ Espy + 12/Wicker + 8/Klobuchar + 15/ Smith + 9 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 02:28:59 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  Change Research: Stabenow + 2/ Espy + 12/Wicker + 8/Klobuchar + 15/ Smith + 9 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Change Research: Stabenow + 2/ Espy + 12/Wicker + 8/Klobuchar + 15/ Smith + 9  (Read 4961 times)
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,758


« on: November 05, 2018, 05:58:39 PM »

Their methodology (recruiting respondents using online ads primarily on facebook) makes them prone to attract hyperpartisans (resulting in sample-tainting), which explains the wild and inconsistent swings between plausibility and implausibility in their numbers.
Logged
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,758


« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2018, 07:53:15 PM »

I am absolutely convinced Change Research is a fake pollster. The sheer number of polls they're putting out is immediately suspicious, since these each would be quite expensive to conduct were they real and they're putting out fifteen or more a week without a client sponsoring them. They've also missed races by huge margins abnormally often. It's statistically unlikely for them to have had huge misses this often were they a real polling outfit.

Their methodology, while imperfect, is incredibly inexpensive and has a fast response rate.
I understand that much of their statistical programming process is automated as well, which explains their fast turnaround.

They are attempting to do something that, by every measure, is new to the field.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 14 queries.