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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9  (Read 804 times)
Calthrina950
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« on: November 06, 2018, 12:41:18 am »

New Poll: Michigan Senator by Trafalgar Group on 2018-11-05

Summary: D: 53%, R: 44%, I: 1%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

This seems to be another poll suggesting that Stabenow will win by a comfortable, but underwhelming margin, at least compared to her past two victories.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2018, 01:53:12 am »

Remember when I told everyone for months that Stabenow would win by mid-high single digits and everyone said that was impossible because Stabenow was going to win by 134013491309

It's definitely looking possible now. I thought that Stabenow would win by the typical 15-18 pts. that she always wins by, and that too, is still a possibility tomorrow. But James managing to come within single digits in this environment would be an accomplishment by itself, since no Republican has come within single digits in a Senate race in Michigan since 2000, when Stabenow narrowly defeated her predecessor, Spencer Abraham, to win her first term.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2018, 03:43:19 am »

Either this or the Montana race could turn out to be one like Virginia 2014 where Democrats weren't too concerned but Republicans got pretty close.

West Virginia is another good candidate for that.
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