Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Looks like it was a major tactical mistake for Democrats to go to the mat in opposing Kavanaugh's nomiantion. Donnelly and Nelson have lost while the one D Senator who voted for him is cruising to re-election.

I don't know how I can live in a world where people get punished for voting against people credibly accused of attempted rape.

It's sickening.

[ProudModerate2]

Braun defeats Donnelly, according to PBS.

With the numbers we see right now, I am not surprised if it's called.

[J. J.]

Looks like it was a major tactical mistake for Democrats to go to the mat in opposing Kavanaugh's nomiantion. Donnelly and Nelson have lost while the one D Senator who voted for him is cruising to re-election.

Has anyone called FL?

No, Gillim is within two points of being eliminated.

[henster]

Amendment 4 should help Ds in FL in the near future.

[Tintrlvr]

Looks like Spanberger won; she pulled ahead of Brat, almost all votes have been counted.

73% in and Brat is more than +2 on CNN.   

Where are these figures coming from?

CNN   https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/results/senate

NYT has 94% in with Spanberger ahead by 0.2%. They're way ahead of CNN on that one.

[Hammy]

Looks like it was a major tactical mistake for Democrats to go to the mat in opposing Kavanaugh's nomiantion. Donnelly and Nelson have lost while the one D Senator who voted for him is cruising to re-election.

I don't know how I can live in a world where people get punished for voting against people credibly accused of attempted rape.

It's sickening.

This is America. Our constitution will forever have wording (even if repealed) calling blacks less than people. We're a backwards culture and there is absolutely nothing unexpected here, awful as it is.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

CNN exit poll has Cramer +9.

[Beet]

Amendment 4 should help Ds in FL in the near future.

Is there a way to get a ballot initiative in Florida banning gerrymandering? That's the only I hope I can see for Florida right now.

[Cashew]

Well Dems, I hope you're happy about nominating the worst possible candidate possible in 2016 and essentially costing the Senate for the next several cycles in the process

Let's be real here, today would have been far worse had she won.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Looks like it was a major tactical mistake for Democrats to go to the mat in opposing Kavanaugh's nomiantion. Donnelly and Nelson have lost while the one D Senator who voted for him is cruising to re-election.

Has anyone called FL?

No, Gillim is within two points of being eliminated.

I know both FL races are looking bad, but they can't call them yet.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Looks like it was a major tactical mistake for Democrats to go to the mat in opposing Kavanaugh's nomiantion. Donnelly and Nelson have lost while the one D Senator who voted for him is cruising to re-election.

I don't know how I can live in a world where people get punished for voting against people credibly accused of attempted rape.

It's sickening.

No one was credibly accused of rape (or sexual assault of any kind). That's exactly the problem.

[NOVA Green]

Damn, Florida is definitely confirmed HP state.

Texas  and the GLORIOUS WEST ( NV, AZ, OR ) may yet deliver us a victory.

Assuming you are talking about a Gubernatorial DEM hold in OR there???

Or are we talking only GOV elections?

Confused....

[Hammy]

Well Dems, I hope you're happy about nominating the worst possible candidate possible in 2016 and essentially costing the Senate for the next several cycles in the process

Let's be real here, today would have been far worse had she won.

My point is her nomination itself is why we're where we are today. I regret the role I played in it even if she would've won the Georgia primary regardless.

[Crumpets]

CNN just called WV for Manchin.

[MillennialModerate]

Tennessee is the most pathetic state

Jesus

[MasterJedi]

NBC calls WI for Baldwin.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Cruz now leading. Slim but he's back on top.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Looks like it was a major tactical mistake for Democrats to go to the mat in opposing Kavanaugh's nomiantion. Donnelly and Nelson have lost while the one D Senator who voted for him is cruising to re-election.

You may be right.  More people still oppose Kavanaugh's confirmation than support nationwide (according to exits, anyway), but it hurt Democrats in the places they needed.

[Brittain33]

Steve Schale just posted that Broward has 150,000 votes left to count. Right now, Scott's up 55,000. This race is still close but not looking great for Ds, and the governor's race is worse. It's too early to call FL. I have to assume there are provisionals etc.

[Ronnie]

Some timeline we’re in, folx.

[Baki]

Nelson might eek it out, Gillum is gone.

[J. J.]

Next update might eliminate Gillum.  97% in and is losing by over 2 points. 

[Sestak]

wtf is happening in Texas

[Tintrlvr]

Steve Schale just posted that Broward has 150,000 votes left to count. Right now, Scott's up 55,000. This race is still close but not looking great for Ds, and the governor's race is worse. It's too early to call FL. I have to assume there are provisionals etc.

150,000 is *probably* not going to deliver a 55k margin for Nelson, but it's also unclear what exactly is outstanding elsewhere. Dade is supposed to have some outstanding, too. And, as you said, there will be provisionals. I think Florida won't be called tonight and may need to rely on the provisionals for the result.

[7,052,770]

Politico is further ahead of CNN, and Beto is now up by 200,000 votes.

https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/texas/