Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Tender Branson]

Hmm, FL only has some 10.000 to 20.000 provisional ballots.

Compared with smaller OH, which has more than 100.000 left to count ...

[Comrade Funk]

https://twitter.com/ncarper/status/1060614489773666305

LMFAO

[Tintrlvr]

https://twitter.com/ncarper/status/1060614489773666305

Don't talk about that.

[Gass3268]

Anyone have a rough estimate of how many votes are out still in Broward County? Enough to close the gap prior to recount or unlikely?

We don't know, and Broward County's head of elections has said publicly (yesterday, I think) that she also doesn't know (indicative of the level of extreme incompetence in her office). Ignoring the undervote debacle, there would need to be around 45,000 votes left just in Broward for Nelson to tie, although we know there are some uncounted in Palm Beach also, so he might be able to get by with 35,000 in Broward and 12,000 in Palm Beach, e.g. Those numbers don't seem unrealistic at all (e.g., they would leave Broward and Palm Beach with turnout numbers around average for statewide while right now Broward is somewhat below average and Palm Beach in the range of average), but who knows.

And that is before provisionals, which are mostly uncounted except in a few rural counties, though Nelson should not expect to gain more than around 2,000 net votes from provisionals statewide.

Jeb Bush appointee, please clap.

[BigSerg]

This could reach the supreme court?

[Doimper]

This could reach the supreme court?

I'm sure the Supreme Court would have every reason to impartially mediate a disputed election in Florida.

[Ronnie]

Any idea as to how UT-04 will end up?  That one looks like it might be a nail biter in the end.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Any idea as to how UT-04 will end up?  That one looks like it might be a nail biter in the end.

McAdams has enough of a lead that this isn't really in doubt.

[Bojack Horseman]

Any idea as to how UT-04 will end up?  That one looks like it might be a nail biter in the end.

There is 30% of the vote outstanding and McAdams leads 51.3%-48.7%, just a hair over 5,000 votes. The Salt Lake Tribune just put out an article an hour ago saying Love still has a narrow path, but that it's highly unlikely.

https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2018/11/08/rep-mia-love-could-still/

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

It would be hilarious if she came back and won, after Trump's comments about her in that press conference yesterday.

[Storebought]

It would be hilarious if she came back and won, after Trump's comments about her in that press conference yesterday.

Even more so as she will vote exactly the way she is told.

[YE]

https://twitter.com/meganmesserly/status/1060620635947261952?s=21

My SD going to recount for a supermajority.

[Sestak]

https://twitter.com/meganmesserly/status/1060620635947261952?s=21

My SD going to recount for a supermajority.

Come on Julie!

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/meganmesserly/status/1060620635947261952?s=21

My SD going to recount for a supermajority.

Has there been any talk of repealing Right to Work in Nevada as a gift to the Culinary Union?

[Doimper]

https://twitter.com/meganmesserly/status/1060620635947261952?s=21

My SD going to recount for a supermajority.

Has there been any talk of repealing Right to Work in Nevada as a gift to the Culinary Union?

Any Democratic trifecta that doesn't immediately repeal RTW deserves everything it gets in the next Republican wave.

[VPH]

So does Jared Golden pull off a win?

[Sestak]

So does Jared Golden pull off a win?

Given RCV, probably.

[YE]

https://twitter.com/meganmesserly/status/1060620635947261952?s=21

My SD going to recount for a supermajority.

Has there been any talk of repealing Right to Work in Nevada as a gift to the Culinary Union?

There’s been speculation from pundits but nothing yet. They’ll likely dismantle the GOP’s anti-labor laws passed when there was a trifecta first but I expect it to happen.

[J. J.]

Apparently the GOP has filed a lawsuit in AZ?

McSally has actually gained a bit.  It went from a 0.9 to 1.0 for McSally, with Maricopa reporting.

Totally relevant with the question asked above.

A good reason notto file a lawsuit. 

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1060615070890086400

[KingSweden]

There better be D lawyers galore down in Broward rn figuring out the 30k undervote. Was there an underbite in the other row offices there too?

I’m sure Marc Elias has a legion of lawyers on his team

[MT Treasurer]

Calling it now: MN-SEN 2008 redux.

[beesley]

Is it now close to certain Jeff Denham and Young Kim have lost?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Calling it now: MN-SEN 2008 redux.

Except in Florida, it will be Alligator People rather than Lizard.

[Tintrlvr]

Is it now close to certain Jeff Denham and Young Kim have lost?

I don't think we've gotten any ballot updates since election night. I think it's close to certain Denham loses but would be less confident about Kim (and also Walters). I think their opponents are favored but there's a lot of uncertainty in those two races.