Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Nyvin]

Meh, mediocre results so far

[Nyvin]

Marion County (Indianapolis) is over 50% in and Braun still up by 14.  I except a check mark here soon...

Probably...

[Nyvin]

The results aren’t bad yet for either party really...nothing to panic over

[Nyvin]

Losing IN is fine. Donnelly always was a fluke.

[Nyvin]

VA-7 will be called any moment for Spanberger.  Lead just got bigger (almost 2k now) with just 3% left

[Nyvin]

Off topic... but Nh dems are leading in the NH state senate

[Nyvin]

CNN projects KS3, PA6, MN3, and NY1 for Democrats.

Wow, Ny-1???

[Nyvin]

Van Drew is hardcore underperforming against a C-grade opponent...

[Nyvin]

Manchin and Doug Jones are going to literally be the only moderate senate dems left...

[Nyvin]

Democrats flipping the House is the key.  Taking the Senate would have been fantastic but was always a very unlikely shot.  Now we'll finally get to see some real oversight of the Trump administration.  Say hello to Intel Committee Chairman Adam Schiff, for one.

It's good, but even if Dems couldn't flip the Senate, we're going to be in a deeper hole for 2020. Not great. But may have been unavoidable given the Senate's bias to rural states and could have been even worse.

Meh, they purged the moderates from the Senate.  Time to move on from them

[Nyvin]

What's really awful is that through all this the NCGOP's house gerrymander holds.

[Nyvin]

NH-1 Called for Pappas by NYT

[Nyvin]

NC elects Anita Earls (D) to the state Supreme Court.   Dems will have 5-2 majority.  

[Nyvin]

NC elects Anita Earls (D) to the state Supreme Court.   Dems will have 5-2 majority.  

On top of this....both of the NCGOP's ballot proposals went down in utter flames.

The Judicial Vacancy Commission is losing 33% - 67%

The Legislative Appointments to Elections Board is losing 38% - 62%

both with 97% in

The voter ID proposal is approved though

[Nyvin]

The worst Governor Oregon has had in at least the past 60 years got reelected


Just damn

Ha, just like I called it as well. 7 + points.

So proud to have voted to reelect Kate earlier.

All of Oregon's conservative ballot proposals went down too.

[Nyvin]

Hearing talk about Steve King losing, but CNN has him up 8? What?

Yeah, I don't get it either. The NYT tracker has him ahead now after trailing all night.

NYT has him up by 40 votes with 69% in.

[Nyvin]

McAdams still has a big lead with 71% in...I think he's going to pull this off.

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/CookPolitical/status/1060040816624893952

It's over.

Florida was such a flop.    Gawd I wish we could just replace the entire FL Dem Party.

[Nyvin]

Democrats won a trifecta in Maine.

[Nyvin]

NH Dems won the State House easily.

Also won 3 of 5 executive council districts, with a 4th still pretty much neck and neck with 3 precincts left.

Looks like the State Senate will either be Dem majority or split 12-12 at the worst.

This on top of winning both congressional districts means NH Dems had a really good night!

[Nyvin]

Clark results coming in...

http://www.silverstateelection.com/USSenate/

54-42 Rosen. Overperforming Clinton's 52-42 margin by 2 points. Rosen wins.

Yeah, there's no come back for that.   Rosen wins.  Sisolak too.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1060064379889082368

[Nyvin]

the conservatives say to an opponent they disagree with, "You're  wrong."   Liberals say to an opponent they disagree with,"You're evil."  It gets bad when the data doesn't even support the liberals.

The American people don't like that.  You can about Trump's tone, but I'm seeing much more of that on the left.

Its delusional even for you to say that Republicans dont call Democrats evil. Have you never heard of the Religious Right?

Even they do not do it at the same level.  Further, they call actions evil, i.e. abortion is evil, but the people that have them are not evil.  Except for the absolute extremist, the Fred Phelps types, you don't have that.

It is easy to say "Trump is wrong about Soros backing the caravan." Instead, we have, "Trump is trying to stoke antisemitism by saying Soros is backing the caravan."

You've gotta be kidding me....you must live in a bubble.    Ever see quotes like this?

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[Nyvin]

If Cuomo wants to keeps the GOP-IDC coalition in the NY State Senate, they'd need 9 state senators to flip now.

[Nyvin]

What is the current House vote total in NC? I know that their gerrymander was so effective not a single seat switched there, but I'd like to see just how effective.

Barely held on to NC-09 and NC-02/NC-13 were 5-6 point wins.

Bad night for the NCGOP altogether though. Their supreme court packing scheme backfired hugely and now Democrats have a bigger majority on the state Supreme Court, so I'd expect challenges to the Congressional and legislative maps at the state level.

The pro-ICE Sheriff in Wake County lost too.

[Nyvin]

It's kinda looking like ME-2 is gonna go down to the wire...