Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[libertpaulian]

Per a FB friend in Hamilton County, Indiana (the wealthiest and most educated county in the state):

"Hamilton County early voting: 32,844.  Mailed-in absentee ballots: 9,777.  Over 23,000 voted in person already today."

[libertpaulian]

Voted at 9am, had to wait 20 min in a rural area, longest lines I've ever seen. Coworker had to wait 45min to vote.

Which part of IN are you?

[libertpaulian]

Voted at 9am, had to wait 20 min in a rural area, longest lines I've ever seen. Coworker had to wait 45min to vote.

Which part of IN are you?

NE, near the Fort Wayne area.

Ah.  That's definitely Braun Country.

[libertpaulian]

Good news for Braun from the reports I've seen. Monitoring Wisconsin turnout on Twitter as well, but no real forecasts either way.

What "reports" are you speaking of?

[libertpaulian]

Democrats won in Guam!

was it a pickup

Yes.  The GOP picked up this seat 8 years ago.  Wonder what happened 8 years ago today...

[libertpaulian]

Well, here we go!  The moment we've all been waiting for.  We've discussed the campaigns.  We've been through the October surprises.  The gaffes.  The debates.  And of course, the speculation about what's happening on the ground during Election Day.

Now it's time to kick back and watch the returns!  Preliminary exit polls should be dropping momentarily.

Discuss!

[libertpaulian]

Exit Polls

Approve: 44%
Disapprove: 55%

That’s not that bad for Republicans, considering that his approvals were in the 30s last year, IMHO.

Uh, he wasn't even in the 30s in Virginia last year, and Virginia is to the left of the country as a whole.

Yeah, he was at 43% here in VA.

So tonight could be worse!

Worse for whom?

[libertpaulian]

Anything for Indiana?

[libertpaulian]

Dems win both.

LET'S GO JOE!

[libertpaulian]

What's important about those Sullivan numbers is that Sullivan went for Donnelly 51-43 last go around.

[libertpaulian]

Which results are you following?  I see no results from Whitley.

[libertpaulian]

https://twitter.com/adamwren

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[libertpaulian]

Grant County might be an encouraging sign...Mourdock won by 7% there, and Braun is only up by 3% there.

However, some of us are freaking out because Donnelly was doing better in the rurals last go around than he is now.

[libertpaulian]

Bartholomew County about 40% in, Braun up by 9 points

Young beat Bayh here by 24

Mourdock was up by a 7-8%ish margin.

[libertpaulian]

Donnelly won Vermillion in 2012 by 17%.  He'll obviously get less this time, but let's hope the margin is strong enough.

[libertpaulian]

Donnelly is improving on his 2012 margins in Boone a bit.  Boone is home to Zionsville, an affluent Indy suburb.

[libertpaulian]

HOLY CRAP GILLUM UP IN DUVAL

[libertpaulian]

How much of Lexington and Frankfort have reported?  That's what's key.  If there's still a lot of rural vote out left with 40% in, then that's not a good night for McGrath.

[libertpaulian]

Braun is losing the Lake by 34 points.  Hoe does fit with previous years?

Mourdock lost it by 40.

F#$k

These Lake County numbers are early vote and absentee vote.

[libertpaulian]

To those watching KY-06: How much of Lexington and Frankfort have to report?

[libertpaulian]

Initial results from Hamilton County: 50-48 Donnelly.

[libertpaulian]

FL is 89-90% in.

Is that only early vote?

[libertpaulian]

If Beto wins while Donnelly and Heitkamp lose...

[libertpaulian]

This election is so stinkin' weird.

[libertpaulian]

Did only 600K really vote in Maricopa?!