McAdams up by 1,020 after the latest Utah County dump. Another Salt Lake dump is coming at 5pm ET. Not sure how many votes are left.
The fair districts amendment has fallen behind
Hopefully Salt Lake pushes that back up and over.
Stephen Wolf thinks it will narrowly fail when all is said and done.
I don't think it really matters in the end. It was only an initiated statute and the legislature could have repealed it, and given that Congressional repercussions of not doing so, it's easy to see them gutting it or repealing entirely. But maybe it's worth trying again in 2020.
Wouldn't it just be easier to give the Democrats a Salt Lake City anchored district and be done with it? Salt Lake City isn't even in the 4th district and it looks like McAdams is going to win anyway. The gerrymander failed, and they'll have to add a 5th seat in the next round of redistricting.
No, Colorado and probably Arizona are adding seats, not Utah.
I really doubt the Utah GOP would give up the seat willingly.
I was confused then, I thought Utah was on track to gain another seat.
I guess they won't do so willingly and it shouldn't be expected, but willingly is they key word here. They might not have a choice by the time redistricting comes around again for the 2030s. The Democrat is winning a seat that doesn't even include Salt Lake City proper.
I believe Salt Lake County is trending Democratic at a faster rate than what recent elections indicate. Between Romney running in 2012, the third vote split with McMullin in 2016, and Romney running for the Senate seat this year, a deep blue tint has been difficult to detect. The results in the 4th point to a much greater potential underlying trend that could lead to the the county eventually becoming a Democratic vote sink.